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Purveyor

(29,876 posts)
Sat Feb 7, 2015, 05:35 PM Feb 2015

Russian-Backed Rebels Massing To Attack Key Ukrainian Towns: Kiev

Source: REUTERS

(Reuters) - Pro-Russian separatists have intensified shelling of government forces on all front lines and appear to be amassing forces for new offensives on the key railway town of Debaltseve and the coastal city of Mariupol, Ukraine's military said on Saturday.

Five Ukrainian soldiers have been killed and 26 wounded in fighting in the past 24 hours, spokesman Volodymyr Polyovy told a briefing in Kiev.

The center of the main regional city of Donetsk echoed on Saturday with the sound of artillery blasts coming from the north and east. "The situation inside the city is tense and we can hear powerful artillery fire … but we have no immediate information about casualties and damages," an official of the rebel-controlled city administration said by phone.

Separatist gains against Kiev government forces in eastern Ukraine, particularly a rebel advance on Debaltseve to the northeast of Donetsk, have given impetus to a Franco-German initiative to try to end the Ukrainian crisis.

Read more: http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/02/07/us-ukraine-crisis-casualties-idUSKBN0LB0C420150207

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Russian-Backed Rebels Massing To Attack Key Ukrainian Towns: Kiev (Original Post) Purveyor Feb 2015 OP
of course they Duckhunter935 Feb 2015 #1
If you're patient, one of our resident Putinistas will be along... ColesCountyDem Feb 2015 #2
I know, Duckhunter935 Feb 2015 #3
The talks fell apart the week before and Ukraine authorized three new offensives newthinking Feb 2015 #7
Both sides broke the cease fire Duckhunter935 Feb 2015 #9
Hello, Kiev . . . another_liberal Feb 2015 #4
You truly are a gem. Throd Feb 2015 #5
Wow, 5300 dead. joshcryer Feb 2015 #8
That is about it for some here Duckhunter935 Feb 2015 #11
They disgust me. joshcryer Feb 2015 #12
yep Duckhunter935 Feb 2015 #13
What is your alternative . . . another_liberal Feb 2015 #16
here are a couple of things Duckhunter935 Feb 2015 #21
The Separatist Republics are supposed to just agree to hosting hostile observers on their territory? another_liberal Feb 2015 #22
th UN is hostile? Duckhunter935 Feb 2015 #23
If the UN sends forces to seal the Separatist Republics' borders . . . another_liberal Feb 2015 #26
Ukraine already passed "special status" Duckhunter935 Feb 2015 #29
The "false flag" attack Separatists warned of was a plot by Kiev to shell a refugee bus . . . another_liberal Feb 2015 #31
these are not your words? Duckhunter935 Feb 2015 #32
Stop arming the rebels. joshcryer Feb 2015 #34
Agreed . . . another_liberal Feb 2015 #35
how can you have a cease fire Duckhunter935 Feb 2015 #10
The fighting has to stop . . . another_liberal Feb 2015 #14
Putin can stop it today Duckhunter935 Feb 2015 #15
Maybe he could, though I do doubt that is really true . . . another_liberal Feb 2015 #17
at least they showed up at the last Minsk meeting Duckhunter935 Feb 2015 #18
Are you really trying to already "Revise" history which happened just days ago? another_liberal Feb 2015 #19
Statement by the Chairmanship on the Trilateral Contact Group consultations in Minsk Duckhunter935 Feb 2015 #20
Are you trying to claim the Separatists did not send representatives? another_liberal Feb 2015 #24
and where are you getting that from Duckhunter935 Feb 2015 #25
The "signatories" mentioned in your quote are the leaders of the Separatist Republics . . . another_liberal Feb 2015 #30
one side is winning a military victory Duckhunter935 Feb 2015 #27
God fingrin Feb 2015 #6
that country needs war to keep thousands of young adults 'employed' Sunlei Feb 2015 #28
We need to send drones to Ukraine on search and destroy missions against Russian tanks. luke102938 Feb 2015 #33
How will a drone be able to tell that a tank is "Russian?" another_liberal Feb 2015 #36
 

Duckhunter935

(16,974 posts)
1. of course they
Sat Feb 7, 2015, 05:55 PM
Feb 2015

unilaterally pulled out of the cease fire they signed and have been resupplied by Russia. It is amazing how many artillery shells and grad rockets have been fired over the last few months along the whole front. They must be getting resupplied by someone..... who? This in addition to new trucks, tanks, artillery systems and you are seeing brand new winter uniforms and colds weather gear. They also seem to have new Russian military rations. Must be part of the "humanitarian aid".

ColesCountyDem

(6,943 posts)
2. If you're patient, one of our resident Putinistas will be along...
Sat Feb 7, 2015, 07:27 PM
Feb 2015

... to explain to you why this is just peachy keen.

 

Duckhunter935

(16,974 posts)
3. I know,
Sat Feb 7, 2015, 07:48 PM
Feb 2015

they also go away when I provide the proof of the unilaterally pulling out of the cease fire they signed.

newthinking

(3,982 posts)
7. The talks fell apart the week before and Ukraine authorized three new offensives
Sun Feb 8, 2015, 04:08 AM
Feb 2015

Of course things fell apart.

The legislature officially approved the offensives January 15th and within a week lo and behold we had fighting, imagine that.

The truce never really held, basically because while Europe seemed to want it, the US was sending mixed messages and Kiev has continued to hope to bring America in.

Remember the current administration in Kiev are Right Wing Nationalists. Most of us understand that those kinds of people always look at war and hate as answers. Just like neocons here, warhawks only lay off if they get pressure.

 

Duckhunter935

(16,974 posts)
9. Both sides broke the cease fire
Sun Feb 8, 2015, 07:38 AM
Feb 2015

only one unilaterally pulled out and actually stated and offensive and gained ground. That is the "pro-Russians". They did not even send anybody to the last Minsk meeting that had any power to negotiate a cease fire, Ukraine did though. They have started an offensive along the entire front. Now they all have nice new winter uniforms and coats. They have an unlimited supply of munitions. They are getting new trucks and tanks. They have Russian military rations. Where is this coming from? Could it be RUSSIA from the unmonitored border?

 

another_liberal

(8,821 posts)
4. Hello, Kiev . . .
Sat Feb 7, 2015, 08:44 PM
Feb 2015

It is time you agreed to a ceasefire in place. It is past time you did so. There will be plenty of opportunities to shift the final line of occupation later during negotiations. Just stop the war now, stop it before it's too late.

 

another_liberal

(8,821 posts)
16. What is your alternative . . .
Sun Feb 8, 2015, 11:34 AM
Feb 2015

Should we send a dozen NATO divisions with full air and naval support? Should we start a World War and then nuke each other to total oblivion? That is want the rationale of our intervening militarily in Ukraine would logically lead to.

 

Duckhunter935

(16,974 posts)
21. here are a couple of things
Sun Feb 8, 2015, 01:02 PM
Feb 2015

1. enforce the border with international observers that are not a party to the conflict.

2. establish the September line of contact and require both sides to pull back heavy arms.

 

another_liberal

(8,821 posts)
22. The Separatist Republics are supposed to just agree to hosting hostile observers on their territory?
Sun Feb 8, 2015, 01:22 PM
Feb 2015

You don't see any potential for trouble there? Will we also close Ukraine's other borders, to prevent western weapons from flowing in? I assume you see the need that weapons for both sides be kept out?

As to your second point: Where the final line of authority between Kiev and the Separatist Republics is drawn is a matter for negotiations. To insist that the September ceasefire line (which was never enforced or complied with by Kiev) is the only option now for a ceasefire is merely to insure the fighting will go on indefinitely.

 

Duckhunter935

(16,974 posts)
23. th UN is hostile?
Sun Feb 8, 2015, 01:48 PM
Feb 2015

So only Russia can be trusted, give me a break. Yes, those western weapons are just flooding in . That is quite unlike how now the pro-Russians have more weapons and munitions than Ukraine started out with. I wonder how that happened?

There is a slight difference as Ukraine is a sovereign state and the pro-Russians do not have a sovereign state and are part of Ukraine and in the past even agreed to remain a part of Ukraine.

 

another_liberal

(8,821 posts)
26. If the UN sends forces to seal the Separatist Republics' borders . . .
Sun Feb 8, 2015, 02:01 PM
Feb 2015

Yes, I think they might see that as hostile indeed.

A ceasefire needs to be negotiated first. Afterward it will be time to arrange for an arms embargo on all Ukrainian factions.

When the Separatists agreed to remain part of Ukraine it was before fifty thousand had died and the central government had turned their cities into wastelands; at any rate, the establishment of autonomous rights for the Separatists is another matter for negotiations. One thing is certain, however, the longer this fighting and dying goes on, the less likely Ukraine will emerge from it's civil war a united whole.

 

Duckhunter935

(16,974 posts)
29. Ukraine already passed "special status"
Sun Feb 8, 2015, 02:07 PM
Feb 2015

as part of the prior negotiations. Why would the "pro-Russians" think border monitoring would be a hostile act if they have nothing to hide. Maybe the fact that there arms and equipment would be interrupted from mother Russia? No one said seal the borders, monitor them by parties not involved in the conflict.

Should the "pro-Russians be shelling Debaltseve and Mariupol? Oh that's right, you stated that was a false flag operation and Ukraine was shelling themselves.

 

another_liberal

(8,821 posts)
31. The "false flag" attack Separatists warned of was a plot by Kiev to shell a refugee bus . . .
Sun Feb 8, 2015, 02:19 PM
Feb 2015

That is what I wrote an OP in regard to. Don't distort my words to try and prove some unrelated point of your own.

See you around, Duck.

 

Duckhunter935

(16,974 posts)
32. these are not your words?
Sun Feb 8, 2015, 02:50 PM
Feb 2015
That really makes me suspect a "false flag" operation in this case . . .

Sounds more and more like Kiev's fascists decided to "sacrifice" a few civilians to gain some big time international support.

At any rate, some day we'll know the truth.


http://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=view_post&forum=1014&pid=997647

In response to the shelling of Marupol, not any "planned" attack on a bus

They changed the name to "Academi" . . .

Otherwise, it's still Eric Prince's plain old "Blackwater."

Perhaps they staged the rocket attack, as a false flag operation to pin on the Separatists. The guy recorded here may have been sent to check and make sure no evidence of their involvement remained.


http://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=view_post&forum=1014&pid=997555
 

another_liberal

(8,821 posts)
35. Agreed . . .
Mon Feb 9, 2015, 08:21 AM
Feb 2015

I am for a complete arms embargo on both sides in the civil war. As long as both sides are treated equally, Russia should have no reason to complain.

 

Duckhunter935

(16,974 posts)
10. how can you have a cease fire
Sun Feb 8, 2015, 07:40 AM
Feb 2015

when the "pro-Russian' side unilaterally pulled out of the last one, attacked along the entire front gaining ground and refuses to send anyone with any power to Minsk to negotiate? At least Ukraine did.

 

another_liberal

(8,821 posts)
14. The fighting has to stop . . .
Sun Feb 8, 2015, 11:26 AM
Feb 2015

We don't have a time machine to take everyone back to last September, so that the initial ceasefire can be enforced and made to work. Now is now, and the fighting has to end now.

 

another_liberal

(8,821 posts)
17. Maybe he could, though I do doubt that is really true . . .
Sun Feb 8, 2015, 11:40 AM
Feb 2015

The Russian President doesn't command any of the forces currently engaged in the fighting, so I just don't see how he could do what you suggest. He can, however, use his influence with the ethnic Russian Separatists to get them to agree to a ceasefire.

Might it not be an equally good idea for us to use our influence with Kiev to convince them a military victory is unattainable and that they should reach a peaceful accommodation with the Separatists in open negotiation?

 

Duckhunter935

(16,974 posts)
18. at least they showed up at the last Minsk meeting
Sun Feb 8, 2015, 11:47 AM
Feb 2015

quite unlike the "pro-Russians"

Kind of hard to negotiate when only one side shows up.

 

another_liberal

(8,821 posts)
19. Are you really trying to already "Revise" history which happened just days ago?
Sun Feb 8, 2015, 12:25 PM
Feb 2015

Representatives of the Separatist Republics did go to Minsk, and Kiev's representative refused to negotiate with them (claiming they were not of sufficiently high authority to accept Kiev's terms). That is not at all the same as "Only one side" showing up.

 

Duckhunter935

(16,974 posts)
20. Statement by the Chairmanship on the Trilateral Contact Group consultations in Minsk
Sun Feb 8, 2015, 12:58 PM
Feb 2015

on 31 January 2015

MINSK, 31 January 2015 - The participants in the Trilateral Contact Group came to Minsk for consultations with the representatives of certain areas of the Donetsk and Luhansk regions. The TCG had prepared a detailed plan for the concrete implementation of the Minsk Protocol and Memorandum, which continue to be the indispensable basis for any peaceful settlement.

Unfortunately, the signatories of these documents from Donetsk and Luhansk did not participate, although they had been personally invited by the Trilateral Contract Group. Their representatives who were present were not in a position to discuss the proposal put forward by the TCG. In fact, they were not even prepared to discuss implementation of a ceasefire and withdrawal of heavy weapons. Instead, they called for revision of the Protocol and Memorandum. The meeting was adjourned.

The TCG remains open to continuing consultations at any time. In view of the seriously deteriorating situation and growing numbers of casualties, the TCG calls on all actors involved to engage responsibly in the comprehensive implementation of the Minsk documents with no further delays.


http://www.osce.org/cio/138331

I will take the facts from the international group, where are you getting uopur facts, RT or the Kremlin? What you say is quite different from the actual facts.
 

another_liberal

(8,821 posts)
24. Are you trying to claim the Separatists did not send representatives?
Sun Feb 8, 2015, 01:50 PM
Feb 2015

Because they did. The Western side merely insisted they were not senior enough to negotiate with, and then called off the talks.

Looks to me like one side still thinks it can win a military victory. I just wonder how many more will have to die before they change their minds (and we stop encouraging them to fight on).

 

Duckhunter935

(16,974 posts)
25. and where are you getting that from
Sun Feb 8, 2015, 02:00 PM
Feb 2015

that is not what the statement said.

Unfortunately, the signatories of these documents from Donetsk and Luhansk did not participate, although they had been personally invited by the Trilateral Contract Group. Their representatives who were present were not in a position to discuss the proposal put forward by the TCG. In fact, they were not even prepared to discuss implementation of a ceasefire and withdrawal of heavy weapons. Instead, they called for revision of the Protocol and Memorandum. The meeting was adjourned.


http://www.osce.org/cio/138331

What source are you using or are you making that up? I can source my material. I never said the "pro-Russians" never showed, I guess my words could be misunderstood if you did not read the statement. They did not send a representative that was able to to negotiate as they were not signatories to the agreement. Ukraine did send their signatories, the "pro Russians" did not.
 

another_liberal

(8,821 posts)
30. The "signatories" mentioned in your quote are the leaders of the Separatist Republics . . .
Sun Feb 8, 2015, 02:13 PM
Feb 2015

They did attend the original Minsk meeting in September and did sign the initial ceasefire agreement (which Kiev failed to make its forces comply with). The Republics sent lower level representatives to the more recent Minsk meeting, which decision Kiev and its western backers used as an excuse to call off the talks.

You can look that up on Google, just like I did for this:

http://en.belapan.com/archive/2015/01/16/en_media_separatisty_v/

 

Duckhunter935

(16,974 posts)
27. one side is winning a military victory
Sun Feb 8, 2015, 02:02 PM
Feb 2015

supplied with troops, equipment and munitions from Russia.

That is why they will not negotiate a cease fire and unilaterally pulled out of the last cease fire they signed.

 

luke102938

(24 posts)
33. We need to send drones to Ukraine on search and destroy missions against Russian tanks.
Sun Feb 8, 2015, 02:56 PM
Feb 2015

Attacking things like Armored columns and Aircraft is morally different than bombing villages in Iraq. With the Drones we can have plasable deniability on even being there.

 

another_liberal

(8,821 posts)
36. How will a drone be able to tell that a tank is "Russian?"
Mon Feb 9, 2015, 08:25 AM
Feb 2015

Both sides use the same "Russian" designed equipment. Are you expecting any Russian tank crews (if there even are such in Ukraine) to fly their national flag from the turrets of their vehicles?

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