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bemildred

(90,061 posts)
Sat Feb 21, 2015, 02:00 PM Feb 2015

Ukraine preparing for 'full-scale war,' says former envoy to Canada

Source: CBC

Ukraine's deputy foreign minister says he is preparing for "full-scale war" against Russia and wants Canada to help by supplying lethal weapons and the training to use them.

Vadym Prystaiko, who until last fall was Ukraine's ambassador to Canada, says the world must not be afraid of joining Ukraine in the fight against a nuclear power.

In an interview with CBC Radio's The House airing Saturday, Prystaiko says the ceasefire brokered by Germany and France was not holding.

"The biggest hub we ever had in the railroad is completely destroyed and devastated," he told host Evan Solomon about Debaltseve, captured by Russian-backed rebels after the terms were to have taken effect earlier this week.

Read more: http://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/ukraine-preparing-for-full-scale-war-says-former-envoy-to-canada-1.2964887

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Ukraine preparing for 'full-scale war,' says former envoy to Canada (Original Post) bemildred Feb 2015 OP
Putin wont stop till he gets everything he wants. His supporters here are clueless. 7962 Feb 2015 #1
Russia can't take on the whole of NATO, and they know it. CJCRANE Feb 2015 #2
NATO could do nothing Duckhunter935 Feb 2015 #6
It's not like the Warsaw Pact has changed sides jakeXT Feb 2015 #16
by choice and Duckhunter935 Feb 2015 #28
I doubt any major future conflict would involve infantry, at least Germany opposes the crazy ideas jakeXT Feb 2015 #29
In a full scale conventnal war? No, they couldn't.... Adrahil Feb 2015 #21
As long as NATO looks scared at every move he makes, he'll continue nt 7962 Feb 2015 #31
I agree. But even then, the reality is that... Adrahil Feb 2015 #32
Putin likes it fine just like this. bemildred Feb 2015 #5
Not yet.... Adrahil Feb 2015 #33
Right, he is desperately unhappy with this outcome and needs much more to feel good. nt bemildred Feb 2015 #35
It sounds like Ukraine's deputy foreign minister is a big mouthed idiot. Comrade Grumpy Feb 2015 #3
It is kind of nuts Duckhunter935 Feb 2015 #7
Well our army of course. zeemike Feb 2015 #19
I doubt he wants it. But Putin does... Adrahil Feb 2015 #22
Sad to see the Republicans push for war like this scscholar Feb 2015 #4
A Year After Fleeing Ukraine, Yanukovich Speaks of Return bemildred Feb 2015 #8
Russian news report: Putin approved Ukraine invasion before Kiev government collapsed bemildred Feb 2015 #9
So an oligarch proposes a plan and one year later it appears in the news ? The CIA knew what would jakeXT Feb 2015 #15
Shit, I predicted this outcome in November 2013 when I first found out Nuland was involved. bemildred Feb 2015 #26
The headline left out that he expects Canada to bankroll and arm them (probably fight for them too.) PSPS Feb 2015 #10
Ukraine closes 23 checkpoints on the border with Russia bemildred Feb 2015 #11
Ukraine must pay for Russian gas sent to rebel areas: Medvedev bemildred Feb 2015 #12
First Ukraine war prisoner exchange completed bemildred Feb 2015 #13
. nt bemildred Feb 2015 #14
The United Boneheads of America hate to see peace working. DeSwiss Feb 2015 #17
"Peace" meaning do nothing to stop Putin. Shit from RT? Please. 7962 Feb 2015 #34
there are people in the US as in Ukraine EAGER for a showdown b/t US and Russia cloudythescribbler Feb 2015 #18
''...Ukraine is fundamental to their interests...'' DeSwiss Feb 2015 #20
So, I suppose you denounce Putin, who is prosecuting this war? n/t Adrahil Feb 2015 #23
Speaking of history..."Russka" by Edward Rutherford is an amazing historical/fictional libdem4life Feb 2015 #27
For a variety of reasons this mess reminds me of August 1914. gordianot Feb 2015 #24
Yes, I think of that a lot. nt bemildred Feb 2015 #25
US, Britain talk sanctions on Russia, but no clear plan yet bemildred Feb 2015 #30
 

7962

(11,841 posts)
1. Putin wont stop till he gets everything he wants. His supporters here are clueless.
Sat Feb 21, 2015, 02:10 PM
Feb 2015

I look forward to their apologies when the Baltic states are next to need "rescuing"

CJCRANE

(18,184 posts)
2. Russia can't take on the whole of NATO, and they know it.
Sat Feb 21, 2015, 02:11 PM
Feb 2015

The MSM assertion is all bluster to feed the MIC, and perhaps distract from what's kicking off in Libya and Syria/Iraq.

 

Duckhunter935

(16,974 posts)
6. NATO could do nothing
Sat Feb 21, 2015, 02:22 PM
Feb 2015

over the last 25 years NATO has been reduced greatly. The US has moved most troops out and has just recently shipped a few A10 aircraft over for a rotation but not permanent stationing. Russia has increased it's presence and has threatened many countries and invaded a couple during this time frame and NATO has done nothing.


http://www.nytimes.com/2014/03/27/world/europe/military-cuts-render-nato-less-formidable-as-deterrent-to-russia.html?_r=0

During the height of the Cold War, United States troops in Europe numbered around 400,000, a combat-ready force designed to quickly deploy and defend Western Europe — particularly what was then West Germany — against a potential Soviet advance.

Today there are about 67,000 American troops in Europe, including 40,000 in Germany, with the rest scattered mostly in Italy and Britain. The Air Force has some 130 fighter jets, 12 refueling planes and 30 cargo aircraft. At the end of the Cold War in the early 1990s, it had 800 aircraft in Europe.


So, as we have been saying one side has been drawing down and one side has been invading it's neighbors and threatening others.

jakeXT

(10,575 posts)
16. It's not like the Warsaw Pact has changed sides
Sat Feb 21, 2015, 03:08 PM
Feb 2015



Still, I'm reminded of WWII where Poland fought with horses against tanks




It will be interesting to see what the new goodies are


Conventional prompt global strike

(CPGS) weapons would allow the United States to strike
targets anywhere on Earth in as little as an hour. This capability may bolster U.S. efforts to deter
and defeat adversaries by allowing the United States to attack high-value targets or “fleeting
targets” at the start of or during a conflict. Congress has generally supported the PGS mission, but
it has restricted funding and suggested some changes in funding for specific programs.

CPGS weapons would not substitute for nuclear weapons, but would supplement U.S.
conventional capabilities. They would provide a “niche” capability, with a small number of
weapons directed against select, critical targets.
Some analysts, however, have raised concerns
about the possibility that U.S. adversaries might misinterpret the launch of a missile with
conventional warheads and conclude that the missiles carry nuclear weapons. The U.S.
Department of Defense (DOD) is considering a number of systems that might provide the United
States with long-range strike capabilities.

The Air Force and Navy have both considered deploying conventional warheads on their long-
range ballistic missiles. The Navy sought to deploy conventional warheads on a small number of
Trident II submarine-launched ballistic missiles. In FY2008, Congress rejected the requested
funding for this program, but the Navy has continued to consider the possibility of deploying
intermediate-range technologies for the prompt strike mission. The Air Force and the Defense
Advanced Research Projects Agency (DARPA) are developing a hypersonic glide delivery
vehicle that could deploy on a modified Pea
cekeeper land-based ballistic missile—a system
known as the conventional strike missile (CSM).
In FY2008, Congress created a single, combined
fund to support research and development for the CPGS mission. Congress appropriated $65.4
million for this program in FY2014 and $95.6 million in FY2015; the Obama Administration has
requested $78.8 million for FY2016.

https://fas.org/sgp/crs/nuke/R41464.pdf
 

Duckhunter935

(16,974 posts)
28. by choice and
Sat Feb 21, 2015, 05:15 PM
Feb 2015

if you look, they are no threat to Russia. Less than 6000 troops in Latvia, Estonia? I sure see what Russia is fearing.

jakeXT

(10,575 posts)
29. I doubt any major future conflict would involve infantry, at least Germany opposes the crazy ideas
Sat Feb 21, 2015, 05:22 PM
Feb 2015

for now

NATO officials are considering deploying a long-planned missile defense system -- aimed at protecting Europe from attacks from the Middle East -- against Russia as well, SPIEGEL has learned.

Calls for such an expansion to the system's remit, which is backed by the United States, are growing in Poland as well as in NATO member states Lithuania, Estonia and Latvia. In the run-up to next week's NATO summit, the four countries called for the remaining members to agree on language at the summit that would pave the way for the plan. They feel threatened by Russia's intervention in Ukraine.

But the majority of NATO members, especially Germany, are opposed to the proposal, warning that it could result in an unnecessary provocation of Moscow. Representatives of these countries have warned that NATO has for years pledged to Russia that the missile defense system would not be directed at the country. Further debate on the issue has since been delayed until after the summit.

http://www.spiegel.de/international/europe/nato-considers-missle-shield-directed-against-russia-a-987899.html
 

Adrahil

(13,340 posts)
21. In a full scale conventnal war? No, they couldn't....
Sat Feb 21, 2015, 04:34 PM
Feb 2015

But there is no chance of that and Putin knows it. He will push until he gets what he wants.

He knows he can take what he wants in Ukraine.by force a little at a time and NATO will not respond. I doubt NATO would do anything, even if he pushed onto Kyiv.

 

Adrahil

(13,340 posts)
32. I agree. But even then, the reality is that...
Sat Feb 21, 2015, 07:24 PM
Feb 2015

NATO would not risk direct conflict with Russia over Ukraine.... And Putin knows it. Unfortunately I think Putin wouldn't risk conflict with NATO over Ukraine either... But believes he was won this game of chicken, which he probably has.

 

Comrade Grumpy

(13,184 posts)
3. It sounds like Ukraine's deputy foreign minister is a big mouthed idiot.
Sat Feb 21, 2015, 02:15 PM
Feb 2015

Really, fella? You want a "full-scale war" against Russia? You and whose army?

zeemike

(18,998 posts)
19. Well our army of course.
Sat Feb 21, 2015, 04:06 PM
Feb 2015

This is the same kind of madness as in the movie Doctor Strangelove.
They want war and they don't care if it kills millions...they will be safe in the bunkers.

bemildred

(90,061 posts)
8. A Year After Fleeing Ukraine, Yanukovich Speaks of Return
Sat Feb 21, 2015, 02:32 PM
Feb 2015

MOSCOW—

Ousted Ukrainian President Viktor Yanukovich, who fled to Russia a year ago after being toppled by months of street protests, said he was ready to return to Ukraine if the opportunity arose.

The pro-Russian leader was overthrown by the "Maidan" uprising in Kyiv against his decision to back away from a deal that would have taken the country towards integration with Europe and instead tighten economic ties with Russia, Ukraine's old Soviet master.

Just weeks after his departure, Moscow annexed the Crimean peninsula, a base for Russia's Black Sea fleet, and pro-Russian separatists seized key buildings in the east of the country leading to a conflict in which more than 5,000 people have been killed.

Interpol has put Yanukovich on the international wanted list at the behest of Kiev authorities on charges of embezzlement and financial wrongdoing. But Russia is likely to turn down any request to extradite him, Interfax news agency said last month, citing a source familiar with the situation.

http://www.voanews.com/content/a-year-after-fleeing-ukraine-yanukovich-speaks-of-return/2653220.html

bemildred

(90,061 posts)
9. Russian news report: Putin approved Ukraine invasion before Kiev government collapsed
Sat Feb 21, 2015, 02:33 PM
Feb 2015

BERLIN — A Russian newspaper claims to have an official government strategy document outlining the invasion of Ukraine that was prepared weeks before the Ukrainian government collapsed last year.

The editor of Novaya Gazeta, Dmitri Muratov, reported the document during an interview with Echo of Moscow, a radio station. In the interview, which was reported by news outlets Saturday, he did not reveal how the newspaper came into possession of the document in the media unfriendly Russian world, but said he had confidence it was authentic.

Novaya Gazeta is considered a rarity in Russia these days, an independent investigative newspaper that’s known to anger the Kremlin on a regular basis. The editor said the paper’s plan is to publish the full details of the strategy document next week.

Muratov said the document characterized then Ukrainian President Viktor Yanukovych as “a person without morals and willpower whose downfall must be expected at any moment.” Yanukovych fled Ukraine for Russia on Feb. 22, 2014.

http://www.mcclatchydc.com/2015/02/21/257386/russian-news-report-ukraine-invasion.html

jakeXT

(10,575 posts)
15. So an oligarch proposes a plan and one year later it appears in the news ? The CIA knew what would
Sat Feb 21, 2015, 02:54 PM
Feb 2015

happen, maybe even wanted it.

Beyond that, Muratov said that while he could not definitively show who prepared the document, he could with some confidence speculate that the authors included Russian oligarch Konstantin Malofayev, who has been reported to have funded the pro-Russian uprisings in Crimea, including giving $1 million to the new mayor of Sevastopol.

Muratov said the document was passed from Malofayev to aids of Russian President Vladimir Putin, who then approved of the plan.

Read more here: http://www.mcclatchydc.com/2015/02/21/257386/russian-news-report-ukraine-invasion.html#storylink=cpy



Ukraine crisis: CIA, not Pentagon, forecast Russian move - sources

(Reuters) - Until recently, collecting intelligence on Ukraine was a low priority for U.S. spy agencies, and as a result their reporting on recent developments was patchy, several current and former U.S. security officials said this week.

The Central Intelligence Agency says it was following events closely enough to have outlined scenarios in which upheaval in Ukraine would become so intense that Russia would take military action.

Two national security sources said the CIA had specifically warned policymakers, shortly before the Russian military moved into the Crimean peninsula, that such a move could be imminent.

The Pentagon's Defense Intelligence Agency, however, predicted such a move was unlikely, said the sources, who requested anonymity to discuss intelligence matters.

http://www.reuters.com/article/2014/03/05/us-ukraine-crisis-intelligence-idUSBREA242I720140305


Nyet Means Nyet: Russia's Nato Enlargement Redlines
Origin Embassy Moscow (Russia)
Cable time Fri, 1 Feb 2008 14:25 UTC


C) Ukraine and Georgia's NATO aspirations not only touch a raw nerve in Russia, they engender serious concerns about the consequences for stability in the region. Not only does Russia perceive encirclement, and efforts to undermine Russia's influence in the region, but it also fears unpredictable and uncontrolled consequences which would seriously affect Russian security interests. Experts tell us that Russia is particularly worried that the strong divisions in Ukraine over NATO membership, with much of the ethnic-Russian community against membership, could lead to a major split, involving violence or at worst, civil war. In that eventuality, Russia would have to decide whether to intervene; a decision Russia does not want to have to face.

https://cablegatesearch.wikileaks.org/cable.php?id=08MOSCOW265

bemildred

(90,061 posts)
26. Shit, I predicted this outcome in November 2013 when I first found out Nuland was involved.
Sat Feb 21, 2015, 05:10 PM
Feb 2015

Not otherwise knowing a damn thing about it.

PSPS

(13,600 posts)
10. The headline left out that he expects Canada to bankroll and arm them (probably fight for them too.)
Sat Feb 21, 2015, 02:34 PM
Feb 2015

It's easy to "prepare for full-scale war" when someone else will be doing the heavy lifting.

bemildred

(90,061 posts)
11. Ukraine closes 23 checkpoints on the border with Russia
Sat Feb 21, 2015, 02:34 PM
Feb 2015

Baku-APA. The Ukrainian State Border Guard Service has closed 23 border crossing points on the border with Russia, the service’s website reports on Saturday, APA reports quoting ITAR-TASS.

This comes in line with Ukraineian cabinet of ministers’ order of February 18, 2015, to close 23 checkpoints on the border with Russia

According to the decree, the border were to be closed for vehicle traffic and pedestrians across one checking point in the Kharkov region, ten - in the Lugansk region, nine - in the Sumy region, one - in the Chernigov region and two - in the Donetsk region.

http://en.apa.az/-_223433.html

bemildred

(90,061 posts)
12. Ukraine must pay for Russian gas sent to rebel areas: Medvedev
Sat Feb 21, 2015, 02:35 PM
Feb 2015

Baku-APA. Ukraine must pay for Russian gas being supplied to rebel areas in the country's war-torn east, Russian Prime Minister Dmitry Medvedev said Friday, raising the possibility of another gas dispute in the midst of winter, APA reports quoting AFP.

Russian gas giant Gazprom began direct deliveries to separatist areas on Thursday in addition to other areas of Ukraine after Kiev temporarily cut supplies.

Ukrainian state firm Naftogaz had warned that it would not pay for deliveries to rebel areas.

"According to existing contractual obligations, Kiev must pay for the Russian gas," Medvedev wrote on his Facebook page.

http://en.apa.az/xeber_ukraine_must_pay_for_russian_gas_sent_to_223416.html

bemildred

(90,061 posts)
13. First Ukraine war prisoner exchange completed
Sat Feb 21, 2015, 02:36 PM
Feb 2015

ZHOLOBOK, Ukraine (AP) -- The Ukrainian government and Russian-backed separatists completed an exchange of prisoners Saturday, starting a process outlined in a peace deal brokered by international leaders.

A separatist representative overseeing the exchange in a remote location on the frontline between the warring sides said 139 Ukrainian troops and 52 rebels were transferred.

Ukrainian President Petro Poroshenko wrote on his Twitter account that he was informed the process had begun by the national security service.

"In the near time, 140 of our heroes will be free," he wrote, without specifying further. His spokesman, Svyatoslav Tsegolko, later confirmed only 139 Ukrainian soldiers were released Saturday and that another would follow in the coming days.

http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/stories/E/EU_UKRAINE?SITE=AP&SECTION=HOME&TEMPLATE=DEFAULT&CTIME=2015-02-21-13-22-00

 

DeSwiss

(27,137 posts)
17. The United Boneheads of America hate to see peace working.
Sat Feb 21, 2015, 03:53 PM
Feb 2015
THE USA IS MAJORLY PISSED THAT GERMANY AND FRANCE HAVE THE AUDACITY TO MAKE PEACE WITHOUT THE US's PERMISSION!!!!

So they are pounding the table demanding WAR!!!

You couldn't see it, but the USA had it's arm and hand up his puppet's butt moving the strings to make him scream for a war he can't win.

And Poroshenko is a total idiot.

And this Prystaiko clown would be at the head of the line running away from Russia if war broke out. You old fart.

You want a war?

Go and fight it yourselves.

That especially includes you America.

This country will fall flat on it ass if peace is declared and established.

And that's why they want war. But not a big one they could get their asses kicked in. Again.

So they pump up these Ukrainian clowns to do their dirty work for them.

- They just want the money. What a waste.......

K&R

Psaki as the all new Bahgdad Bob?








cloudythescribbler

(2,586 posts)
18. there are people in the US as in Ukraine EAGER for a showdown b/t US and Russia
Sat Feb 21, 2015, 03:54 PM
Feb 2015

And that agenda is as evil and as dangerous as can be

You don't have to be a Putin fan (something of a red herring issue) to see that Ukraine is fundamental to their interests (and vice versa). ANY Russian leader would have to react strongly (how in particulars is another matter) to an attempt by the West to "flip" Ukraine -- which was initially foist on an unwilling Janukovitch before he was deposed -- the way that the Baltics were flipped. Now you can see that the reaction -- which hasn't been pretty but is NOT to those who are both knowledgeable and more objective about the situation than the MSM (listen to "Democracy Now" eg for a more sane perspective on this issue) in any way really surprising. So you have those like McCain who don't just want to ramp up military aid to Ukraine; they KNOW that the Russians would reply in kind and they want to push the issue until "we win". This is simply irresponsible.

The only solution is for some kind of guarantee negotiated for both federal autonomy for the Russian-dominant areas of Ukraine and a parallel guarantee against Ukraine "flipping" in that way without Russian consent. Russia for its part should have to reciprocate with concessions that Ukraine needs, such as guaranteeing the flow of oil on good credit terms and low prices, and other concessions including economic.

Russia and Ukraine are closely intertwined and totally interdependent, and that reality has to be recognized in any resolution of the issue. The current situation is indeed ugly, but it was one that specifically grows out of the efforts to force Ukraine to choose between Russia and the West, which is untenable as Ukraine needs both and so does Russia.

I know that some will consider this approach an outrage but no other general outline will produce a stable and prosperous peace

 

DeSwiss

(27,137 posts)
20. ''...Ukraine is fundamental to their interests...''
Sat Feb 21, 2015, 04:12 PM
Feb 2015

This is largely America's problem. We don't know shit about history. We think history began in 1776 and the only good parts are the ones about us and our ''Manifest Destiny'' -- cover for where we're allowed by god to kill anyone who gets in our way.

Same thing happened with Vietnam. The Vietnamese of the North and of the South had been fighting each other for over a thousand years. And the only time they weren't fighting each other was when they joined together to fight the Chinese. And then here we come and fuck everything up.

The Ukrainians and the Russians are essentially the same. North and South.

The Rus People.

I'm sick of war as is most of humanity.

If we can't find leaders who can lead us to peace, then we need new leaders.

- We already know how to get to war.........

 

libdem4life

(13,877 posts)
27. Speaking of history..."Russka" by Edward Rutherford is an amazing historical/fictional
Sat Feb 21, 2015, 05:12 PM
Feb 2015

novel, heavy on the history. I surely saw the vast gorge between Westerners understanding of the ancient Slavic civilization and understand how far the typical Russian people are removed from whatever government happens to be installed.

gordianot

(15,238 posts)
24. For a variety of reasons this mess reminds me of August 1914.
Sat Feb 21, 2015, 04:44 PM
Feb 2015

It did start 100 years from those events, plenty of similar issues.

bemildred

(90,061 posts)
30. US, Britain talk sanctions on Russia, but no clear plan yet
Sat Feb 21, 2015, 05:43 PM
Feb 2015

LONDON (AP) -- The United States and Britain on Saturday discussed new sanctions against Russia as Ukraine's week-old cease-fire showed further signs of unraveling, yet emerged with no clear plan for further targeting an economy that means far more to Europe.

After meeting his British counterpart for two hours, U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry said he was confident that the U.S. and its European allies would respond with "very serious" measures to cease-fire violations by Ukraine's rebels and their Russian backers. He said trans-Atlantic talks on the matter would continue.

"We know to a certainty what Russia has been providing and no amount of propaganda is capable of hiding these actions," Kerry told reporters.

Last week's cease-fire agreement was not vague or optional, he said, but that Russia and its proxies are complying only in a few places while seizing land and resupplying forces.

http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/stories/E/EU_KERRY?SITE=AP&SECTION=HOME&TEMPLATE=DEFAULT&CTIME=2015-02-21-14-45-08

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