Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

brooklynite

(94,598 posts)
Fri Mar 13, 2015, 10:27 AM Mar 2015

Tribune poll shows Emanuel with double-digit lead on Garcia

Source: Chicago Tribune

Mayor Rahm Emanuel has opened up a double-digit lead on challenger Jesus "Chuy" Garcia, gaining support from a majority of voters for the first time in his bid for a second term, a new Chicago Tribune poll has found.

The survey had Emanuel at 51 percent to 37 percent for Garcia with less than four weeks before the April 7 runoff election. Both candidates have gained around 5 percentage points since the first round of voting last month. Another 11 percent of voters remained undecided in the poll, which was conducted March 6 through Wednesday.

For Emanuel, the survey's results illustrate a steady rebound in his approval ratings, which have been on the uptick since the mayor started airing a nonstop stream of TV ads after launching his re-election campaign in November. This week, the mayor and his allies began running commercials attacking Garcia as an old-school politician unwilling to offer specific solutions for Chicago.

For Garcia, the poll reflects a gradual increase in support as Chicagoans continue to become more familiar with him, but it also shows he has not enjoyed a groundswell of voters flocking to his campaign since he emerged as the runner-up Feb. 24.


Read more: http://www.chicagotribune.com/news/local/politics/ct-chicago-mayors-race-met-0313-20150312-story.html#page=1



I've never taken sides in this race, but based on what I know about Chicago politics, I never thought Rahm was likely to lose. I think some people used the first round to express some irritation with him, but Garcia is much more of a factional candidate than a real expression of city-wide reform.
17 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
Tribune poll shows Emanuel with double-digit lead on Garcia (Original Post) brooklynite Mar 2015 OP
To quote Lucy... SoapBox Mar 2015 #1
It's a shame they don't have someone to beat Rahm. LiberalFighter Mar 2015 #2
Maybe they don't want someone to beat him Renew Deal Mar 2015 #7
it's not too late. Give to Garcia, also, with unions behind him, he's got a powerful get out the yurbud Mar 2015 #16
Unfortunately the link has a paywall. former9thward Mar 2015 #3
disabling cookies for chicagotribune.com disables the paywall nt alp227 Mar 2015 #13
Kick the 3rd-Way to the curb Cosmic Kitten Mar 2015 #4
Trib poll? lofty1 Mar 2015 #5
Do you have any evidence for skewing, other than you don't like the results? brooklynite Mar 2015 #11
A shame oldandhappy Mar 2015 #6
It's not over Renew Deal Mar 2015 #8
Exactly lofty1 Mar 2015 #10
Tribune Wants Emmanuel McKim Mar 2015 #9
We need a progressive billionare to take control of this party bigdarryl Mar 2015 #12
Who's watching Diebold/SES as they count the votes??? blkmusclmachine Mar 2015 #14
I voted paper ballot in the first vote alcibiades_mystery Mar 2015 #17
No doubt being flush with money from posh donors helps. grntuscarora Mar 2015 #15

SoapBox

(18,791 posts)
1. To quote Lucy...
Fri Mar 13, 2015, 10:34 AM
Mar 2015

Boy are you stupid, Charlie Brown.

(Thinking of Charlie Brown as those that actually vote)

yurbud

(39,405 posts)
16. it's not too late. Give to Garcia, also, with unions behind him, he's got a powerful get out the
Sun Mar 15, 2015, 01:24 PM
Mar 2015

vote machine.

It aint over yet.

former9thward

(32,025 posts)
3. Unfortunately the link has a paywall.
Fri Mar 13, 2015, 10:39 AM
Mar 2015

I would have liked to see the internals of the poll such as racial demographics.

lofty1

(62 posts)
5. Trib poll?
Fri Mar 13, 2015, 10:58 AM
Mar 2015

The best skewed poll money can buy. There is no major opposition newspaper in Chicago and hasn't been one in years.

brooklynite

(94,598 posts)
11. Do you have any evidence for skewing, other than you don't like the results?
Fri Mar 13, 2015, 11:47 AM
Mar 2015

FWIW - As enthusiastic as people here have been for Garcia, the first round was NOT close: Rahm came in with 45% to 34% for Garcia. So gaining 5% is not unreasonable, unless you imagined that every single non-Rahm vote was going to shift to Garcia, which would be completely inconsistent with Chicago politics. If you look at the first round, there was an establishment candidate (Rahm), and then a group of candidates representing the local political factions (black, hispanic, white catholic, etc.). There was never evidence of a progressive wave waiting to be unleased; the non-Rahm votes will be reallocated based on policy closeness, deal-making, and any number of local political matters.

oldandhappy

(6,719 posts)
6. A shame
Fri Mar 13, 2015, 11:20 AM
Mar 2015

Was rooting for Chuy. Guess Rahm has the money. Sad way to choose politicians/leaders/mayors/congress folk.

lofty1

(62 posts)
10. Exactly
Fri Mar 13, 2015, 11:43 AM
Mar 2015

It ain't over 'til it's over. There is a lot more anti-Rahm sentiment in the city of Chicago than they realize.

McKim

(2,412 posts)
9. Tribune Wants Emmanuel
Fri Mar 13, 2015, 11:41 AM
Mar 2015

Sounds like to me that our wonderful media is hard at work. Bless Chuy with more funding. This smells. Maybe it's the Tribune that wants Emmanuel. Don't trust them.

 

bigdarryl

(13,190 posts)
12. We need a progressive billionare to take control of this party
Fri Mar 13, 2015, 12:10 PM
Mar 2015

That's the only way the progressives are going to win back the party Unfortunately

 

alcibiades_mystery

(36,437 posts)
17. I voted paper ballot in the first vote
Sun Mar 15, 2015, 05:02 PM
Mar 2015

I suspect the run off will be the same.

Every vote I've ever cast in Chicago has had at least a paper record that you can view before finalizing. Do you live in a different ward here that has only electronic?

Latest Discussions»Latest Breaking News»Tribune poll shows Emanue...