Poll: Hillary Clinton's Margins Narrow In Key Swing States (Quinnipiac University Survey)
Source: Real Clear Politics
As Hillary Clinton prepares to launch her presidential campaign within the next month, a new poll finds her vulnerable in three critical swing states. Voters in Florida, Ohio, and Pennsylvania question the former secretary of state’s trustworthiness and honesty, according to a new Quinnipiac University survey taken after the controversy surrounding Clinton’s use of a private email server for government communications. Her favorability ratings are down in all three states.
Also in all three states, Clinton’s previous leads have shrunk. In diverse and delegate-rich Florida, former Gov. Jeb Bush leads Clinton, 45 percent-42 percent. Clinton edges Sen. Marco Rubio, 46 percent-44 percent, and leads Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker, considered another early frontrunner, 46 percent-40 percent. Pennsylvania, a key state that has been elusive for Republicans recently, could be competitive this cycle, with Kentucky Sen. Rand Paul narrowly topping Clinton, 45 percent-44 percent. Clinton beats Bush by six percentage points, Walker by five and Rubio by four in the Keystone State.
“A red flag in blue state Pennsylvania. Hillary Clinton, seemingly invincible before the e-mail scandal, ends up tied with Rand Paul,” said Tim Malloy, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll, in a press release. Clinton seems to have a stronger command in Ohio at this early stage of the campaign than her GOP rivals, though her margins are smaller than they were last month. In the closest matchup there, Clinton leads Paul, 46 percent-41 percent. The Democrat tops Walker by 11 points in the Buckeye State, and leads Bush and Rubio by nine points.
“Something for Secretary Clinton’s team to worry about: Thirty-six percent of independent voters in the key state of Ohio say they are less likely to vote for her because of the e-mail controversy,” said Peter Brown, another assistant director of the Quinnipiac Poll. The poll was conducted March 17-28 and surveyed 1,087 Florida voters, 1,077 Ohio voters, and 1,036 Pennsylvania voters via landlines and cell phones. The margin of error in each state survey is +/- 3 percent.
Read more: http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2015/03/31/poll_clintons_margin_narrows_in_key_swing_states_126105.html
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TheCowsCameHome
(40,168 posts)With the election right around the corner, we're doomed. Say hello to president-elect Cruz.
Yupster
(14,308 posts)There will be so many issues debated and plans to be put forth.
It's just too early.
TheCowsCameHome
(40,168 posts)This is waaaaay to early for this stuff.
msongs
(67,430 posts)Comrade Grumpy
(13,184 posts)Let alone that they are less likely to vote for Hillary because of it.
This whole email thing is way inside-the-beltway stuff.
Larry Engels
(387 posts)I can't imagine Hillary being sworn in as President.
Comrade Grumpy
(13,184 posts)She's probably the odds on favorite among bookmakers.
Not my cup of tea, really, but there it is.
onecaliberal
(32,878 posts)
LynneSin
(95,337 posts)Hillary isn't even a candidate yet. The elections are 18 months away and people really don't give a rats ass.
Can't they find something else for their interns to do?
bigdarryl
(13,190 posts)In a election year.And right now the democrats who currently whole the WH are 4 keys down a possible key might go in our favor if the Obama Administration can get a Iranian nuclear deal that would put us only 3 keys down.Making it a major foreign policy change.
blkmusclmachine
(16,149 posts)NoMoreRepugs
(9,449 posts)over whom they may vote for/support for President of the most influential country in the Free World??
That's so far past stooopid we may need the Hubble to see it...
SoapBox
(18,791 posts)She cannot and will not win the White House, among those that cast a final ballot during the election.
There remains Clinton "burnout"...more so, I personally feel, than even Bush "burnout" (terrifying).
I also believe, that as much as I would love to see it, that America will not elect a woman as President for my foreseeable future.
We need a viable, realistic candidate and looks, demeanor, poise, etc. all matter...unfortunately.
I have no hope of us holding the White House, if, as it seems for whatever reason, that she will be our candidate.
fbc
(1,668 posts)There sure will be a hell of a lot of downside though
AngryAmish
(25,704 posts)JoePhilly
(27,787 posts)Apparently, we should piss ourselves if she's not killing all potential GOP whack jobs in all states.
Godhumor
(6,437 posts)Then report that she is not beating every candidate in every swing state.
This is just asinine.
Divernan
(15,480 posts)The university does not disclose the Institute's operating budget, and the poll does not accept clients or outside funding.[1][11]
The poll has been cited by major news outlets throughout North America and Europe, including The Washington Post,[5] Fox News,[6] USA Today,[7] The New York Times,[8] CNN,[9] and Reuters.[10] Quinnipiac's Polling Institute receives national recognition for its independent surveys of residents throughout the United States. It conducts public opinion polls on politics and public policy as a public service as well as for academic research.[1][3] Andrew S. Tanenbaum, the founder of the poll-analysis website Electoral-vote.com, compared major pollsters' performances in the 2010 midterm Senate elections and concluded that Quinnipiac was the most accurate, with a mean error of 2.0 percent.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Quinnipiac_University_Polling_Institute
HRC fans can be heard to say that these results aren't significant. But they are whistling in the wind if they dispute or ridicule the quality of Quinnipiac's polling. Here in Pennsylvania, politicians of all stripes pay close attention to Quinnipiac's results.
