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DippyDem

(659 posts)
Thu Jun 25, 2015, 07:03 AM Jun 2015

Bernie Sanders Gains on Hillary Clinton in Bloomberg Early-State Polling

Source: Bloomberg News

Bernie Sanders is gaining on Hillary Clinton in Iowa and New Hampshire, with an appeal as an issue-oriented protest vehicle potentially capable of slowing any coronation of the popular front-runner.

In simultaneous surveys, the U.S. senator from Vermont received nearly a quarter of support from likely Democratic caucus and primary voters in the states that host the first presidential nomination balloting early next year, cutting sharply into Clinton's still-huge lead.

The polls suggest substantive and symbolic support for the socialist, as well as a craving among some Democrats for a Clinton rival to rise.

Read more: http://www.bloomberg.com/politics/articles/2015-06-25/bernie-sanders-gains-on-hillary-clinton-in-bloomberg-early-state-polling



YES! Now Bernie is at 24%!!!
Feel the Burn!
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Bernie Sanders Gains on Hillary Clinton in Bloomberg Early-State Polling (Original Post) DippyDem Jun 2015 OP
That's quite a chunk of support Chemisse Jun 2015 #1
Wonderful news. SamKnause Jun 2015 #3
I'm starting to believe Bernie's campaign is going to also raindaddy Jun 2015 #14
Indeed it is. Betty Karlson Jun 2015 #23
objects in your rear view mirror are closer than they appear... And gaining Berniementum! peacebird Jun 2015 #2
Note the use of the word "coronation" Android3.14 Jun 2015 #4
Growing problem? Hillary thinks she's been entitled for quite some time now. InAbLuEsTaTe Jun 2015 #17
This doesn't help... L0oniX Jun 2015 #28
She's doomed in the general november3rd Jun 2015 #40
Great news 4dsc Jun 2015 #5
Graphs of Clinton and Sanders--Iowa and NH riversedge Jun 2015 #6
Very revealing charts. thesquanderer Jun 2015 #11
You are correct, the reality is "cutting into the still huge lead" for Clinton. Thor_MN Jun 2015 #15
I think he needs to take a page out of JFK's book. Kennedy surrounded himself with good jwirr Jun 2015 #34
Hang onto these Plucketeer Jun 2015 #32
When I see how many think Clinton will fight for the average person I realize how uninformed Dustlawyer Jun 2015 #7
not to mention he will actually answer the questions restorefreedom Jun 2015 #45
That's for true! Dustlawyer Jun 2015 #47
I'm totally in for Bernie, but..... Chasstev365 Jun 2015 #8
I think that label has become meaningless. Jester Messiah Jun 2015 #20
Oh, they would use it for sure DFW Jun 2015 #22
First, they call every Democrat a socialist. jeff47 Jun 2015 #26
They've been caling Obama a socialist almost from the start, lol. BeanMusical Jun 2015 #29
right. i mean, if a "kenyan muslim socialist" could get elected restorefreedom Jun 2015 #46
But there is this.. DCBob Jun 2015 #9
These early numbers are encouraging florida08 Jun 2015 #10
I think one has to bear in mind the sheer number of corporatists raouldukelives Jun 2015 #21
very well said florida08 Jun 2015 #30
Dems Rock! Gamecock Lefty Jun 2015 #12
Are you aware of what caused florida08 Jun 2015 #13
A global recession? OilemFirchen Jun 2015 #39
ROFL florida08 Jun 2015 #43
The best documentary I have found is florida08 Jun 2015 #19
So you don't understand why Wall Street and big banks are hated? Wow! Where have you been? L0oniX Jun 2015 #25
And lost our retirement savings and our homes. We just love Wall Street. I wonder if he is prepared jwirr Jun 2015 #35
On DU many are at or approching retirement age. It's expected we will have investment class members L0oniX Jun 2015 #36
HUGE K & R !!! - THANK YOU !!! WillyT Jun 2015 #16
I needed a "lift" fredamae Jun 2015 #18
great job Bernie. stonecutter357 Jun 2015 #24
` L0oniX Jun 2015 #27
Kick and R BeanMusical Jun 2015 #31
And it should be noted that Iowa is a caucus state. That means that the polls have a hard time jwirr Jun 2015 #33
Let's be realistic and give the COMPLETE results of the two polls: George II Jun 2015 #37
Much more interesting will be what the numbers are in six months. Comrade Grumpy Jun 2015 #38
Who are the biggest oligarchs in the Democratic party right now? november3rd Jun 2015 #41
K&R CharlotteVale Jun 2015 #42
I expected some early loft from Bernie, but not this much. Exultant Democracy Jun 2015 #44
FEEL THE BERN!!! cui bono Jun 2015 #48

raindaddy

(1,370 posts)
14. I'm starting to believe Bernie's campaign is going to also
Thu Jun 25, 2015, 09:23 AM
Jun 2015

expose how little people respect the constant corporatist propaganda spewing from their TVs...

 

Betty Karlson

(7,231 posts)
23. Indeed it is.
Thu Jun 25, 2015, 10:00 AM
Jun 2015

I'm curious how much further it will grow before the MSM start taking notice - and mention they have done so.

 

Android3.14

(5,402 posts)
4. Note the use of the word "coronation"
Thu Jun 25, 2015, 07:13 AM
Jun 2015

The perception of arrogant entitlement is a serious and growing problem for Ms. Clinton.

 

L0oniX

(31,493 posts)
28. This doesn't help...
Thu Jun 25, 2015, 10:18 AM
Jun 2015


I'll bet they've been trying to scrub that one off of Google. Hell ...that pic even gets alerts here.
 

november3rd

(1,113 posts)
40. She's doomed in the general
Thu Jun 25, 2015, 02:24 PM
Jun 2015

Hate to say it, but in a general election, almost anybody the GOP runs will beat Hillary. Bernie, on the other hand, will win lots of Republican votes.

thesquanderer

(11,991 posts)
11. Very revealing charts.
Thu Jun 25, 2015, 09:00 AM
Jun 2015

I understand the OP's enthusiasm ("YES! Now Bernie is at 24%!!! &quot -- after all, Bernie was barely a blip a couple of months ago. And maybe it's easy to think that his numbers will continue to grow as more people get to know him (after all, they all know HRC already).

But these charts show that these voters do know him, and still choose HRC overall... and it indicates exactly where the strengths and weaknesses are. They give Bernie his props for being authentic and for being more willing to take on Wall Street. But HRC wins on foreign policy, knowing how to get things done, and being perceived as being a stronger candidate in the general election.

So how can Bernie become more competitive in these areas?

For foreign policy, HRC's credentials are hard to top... Bernie mostly benefits in this area only to the extent that there are dems who, while acknowedling HRC's expertise, are uncomfortable with her hawkish slant. Jeb Bush announced a team of foreign policy advisors even before he officially declared himself a candidate. Maybe Sanders could make some inroads in this area by doing something similar.

Knowing how to get things done... well, Sanders has certainly been in Congress a long time. While understandably focusing on the future and what he wants to try to do, he'll need to find a way to also make people aware of what he has successfully accomplished in the past, as evidence that he can do more than just talk a good game. I love that he voted against things like IWR and Patriot Act and DOMA, but I like Sanders and even I can't tell you of anything he's actually accomplished. I understand that he has long been something of a David against a Goliath, and it's better to accomplish nothing than to facilitate bad policies, but if he could point to some legislative sucesses, that would help him in this area.

If he can address those two areas, that will go a long way toward addressing the third. By shoring up his weaknesses, and then continuing to gain on HRC, he will increasingly be seen as a viable candidate in November. It's a circular, self-fulfilling proposition: starting as the underdog has has been from the start, the more he wins, the more he will be seen as someone who can win.

 

Thor_MN

(11,843 posts)
15. You are correct, the reality is "cutting into the still huge lead" for Clinton.
Thu Jun 25, 2015, 09:24 AM
Jun 2015

I'm sitting on the fence, but the breathless reports of "Gaining!!" when the reality is "24%" is getting old.

I hope this becomes a real race rather than what it currently is.

jwirr

(39,215 posts)
34. I think he needs to take a page out of JFK's book. Kennedy surrounded himself with good
Thu Jun 25, 2015, 11:11 AM
Jun 2015

advisors who knew what they were doing. In the debates Bernie will have the answers we want to hear.

As to not knowing how to get things done - the voters need to be reminded what triangulation gets us: welfare "reform", NAFTA, (and not TPP), repeal of banking regulations, etc. Those things are not popular and she needs to be asked about them. As her husbands advisor we need to know how she stood on these issues.

And above all we need to get Bernie's voting record and his rating from groups like NAACP, NARAL and other out in the public.

 

Plucketeer

(12,882 posts)
32. Hang onto these
Thu Jun 25, 2015, 10:41 AM
Jun 2015

They'll make amusing "How about that" points of reflection by this time next year.

Dustlawyer

(10,497 posts)
7. When I see how many think Clinton will fight for the average person I realize how uninformed
Thu Jun 25, 2015, 07:56 AM
Jun 2015

so many are. That actually gives me hope. Once they debate let's see how the numbers move. The debates will be the key I think. If Hillary does well vs Sanders it's over. If Bernie is able to show how she is not authentic based on policy positions he has a real chance to move some more voters to his side.

restorefreedom

(12,655 posts)
45. not to mention he will actually answer the questions
Thu Jun 25, 2015, 06:09 PM
Jun 2015

not trumpet some vague platitudes and dance around her positions

Chasstev365

(5,191 posts)
8. I'm totally in for Bernie, but.....
Thu Jun 25, 2015, 08:44 AM
Jun 2015

Wouldn't the Republicons use the socialist label so effectively that Sanders could never win in a general election?

DFW

(54,436 posts)
22. Oh, they would use it for sure
Thu Jun 25, 2015, 09:55 AM
Jun 2015

They'd use "socialist" just like they use "liberal." But just like "corporatist," the bogey man loses some of his fearsome image when there's nothing behind the hype.

In the debates on TV, there won't be "a socialist" or "a corporatist," but rather Bernie and Hillary. It's there where the party will be demanding, "montrez vos couleurs!" Bernie has nothing to lose, so I have every confidence that he will. Hillary had better be prepared to do the same, or seriously diminish her chances with those of us whose primary preferences are as yet undecided.

jeff47

(26,549 posts)
26. First, they call every Democrat a socialist.
Thu Jun 25, 2015, 10:09 AM
Jun 2015

Second, people who would say "I like him, but I can't vote for him because he's a Socialist" are not going to be voting for the Democratic nominee anyway.

restorefreedom

(12,655 posts)
46. right. i mean, if a "kenyan muslim socialist" could get elected
Thu Jun 25, 2015, 06:11 PM
Jun 2015

and again in 2012 , there will be no problem for bernie

DCBob

(24,689 posts)
9. But there is this..
Thu Jun 25, 2015, 08:45 AM
Jun 2015

While Sanders is indeed enjoying something of a mini-surge in the two states, the polls show he's almost certain to hit a ceiling eventually, said Purple Strategies' Doug Usher.

“Clinton remains enormously well-known and well-liked in New Hampshire, a state she won before,” Usher said. “She benefits from a gender gap in a primary that will be disproportionately female, and even Sanders’ voters admit Clinton is likely the nominee. As long as Democrats like both candidates simultaneously, Sanders will have an uphill climb.”

The New Hampshire survey shows the race not as close there as a poll released last week by Suffolk University, which had Clinton at 41 percent and Sanders at 31 percent. Unlike the Bloomberg Politics/Saint Anselm poll, the Suffolk survey didn’t start with a database of registered voters, instead relying more on the self-reported likelihood of voting in the primary. It also included Vice President Joe Biden, while this one didn’t.

florida08

(4,106 posts)
10. These early numbers are encouraging
Thu Jun 25, 2015, 08:49 AM
Jun 2015

But the polls really show how crazy voters are.

They don't believe Hillary would go after Wall St the way Bernie will

They are really concerned about beating Republicans more than anything else

Hillary is not as authentic as Bernie

Hillary can get things done

But how can you trust someone you don't believe is forthright & you know favors Wall Street? Bill C. got things done too. Nafta & repeal of Glass Steagell. Seems that the majority is only sure that they want to beat republicans...not really change anything.

raouldukelives

(5,178 posts)
21. I think one has to bear in mind the sheer number of corporatists
Thu Jun 25, 2015, 09:53 AM
Jun 2015

that exist in our party today. That is to say, people who prefer to be led than to lead.

In many ways, the Democratic Party has personally left me behind over the last few decades and that is fine if it is what the majority prefers. If the majority of a people in a party prefer to support the goals of Milton Friedman, and provide that goal with more money and more power than they do to the people fighting for goals opposite of him, that reality will be reflected.

A fact which I have been struggling with for years but am slowly coming to grips with. Polls like this always seem to bear it out for me. The more we relinquish our self determination to Wall St, the softer our grip on democracy. For some, that has been the goal all along.

"Freedom of choice is what you've got, freedom from choice is what you want."

florida08

(4,106 posts)
30. very well said
Thu Jun 25, 2015, 10:22 AM
Jun 2015

And sadly it's true. So uninformed and this blind loyalty to party meme keeps us that way. "The more we relinquish our self determination to Wall St, the softer our grip on democracy." Absolutely! The omnibus bill is the prime example.
Profound statement at the end. We don't really have choices. One from side A or one from side B. No one ever wonders how they're picked in the first place. Groomed so to speak to continue the same policies over and over again.
A lot of sleepers are waking up. Just hope it's not too late. Bernie talks about a revolution. That's what it will take to clean out Congress. Years. Sadly most voters want instant success.

Gamecock Lefty

(700 posts)
12. Dems Rock!
Thu Jun 25, 2015, 09:04 AM
Jun 2015

As a Hillary supporter, these polls do not surprise me because I think Bernie is an interesting and exciting candidate. I also think Hillary is, too. I am a bit surprised that Bernie has not caught up to her in these two states – what with all the hoopla over his candidacy, how Hillary is 'phony' and how IA and NH are progressive states that, of course, would never vote for a 'Wall Streeter like Hillary.' And the fact she is 30+ ahead in NH really surprises me. What’s even more surprising is how Chafee got 1% in NH - what are these people thinking???

As far as the word ‘coronation’ goes that is thrown around quite a bit, you don’t hear that from Hillary (or her supporters) – that’s media and anti-Hillary jargon. Just because some of us believe Hillary will be our nominee does not translate into that we think she should be crowned Queen and everyone else step aside. The Bernie supporters on DU believe he will be the nominee, but I have never heard him being accused of being crowned King. And Hillary not caring about working folks or standing up for us is just plain hogwash. That’s the ‘drip, drip, drip’ of anti-Hillary speak that those who support others hope will take hold in the minds of voters.

I will be the first to admit that I do not believe Hillary is as far left as Bernie is, but that does not mean she is not a progressive.

And one more thing, I like to consider myself a pretty far left liberal (maybe I’m delusional), but I’m not getting (or understanding) all the hate towards Wall Street. I hear in speeches about breaking up banks, etc, but I don’t even know what that means. Hell, a lot of my retirement investments are from so-called Wall Street companies and I’m pretty happy about that. I’m definitely not an anti-corporation guy (oh my gosh I even support GMOs!), so I think it’s probably something I just don’t understand. Anybody shedding some light on the anti-Wall Street rhetoric would be appreciated!

Dems in 2016!

OilemFirchen

(7,143 posts)
39. A global recession?
Thu Jun 25, 2015, 12:56 PM
Jun 2015

A global recession combined with upper-percentile tax cuts?

A global recession combined with upper-percentile tax cuts and massive defense spending?

Oh hell... what was I thinking?

It was the Clenis!

 

L0oniX

(31,493 posts)
25. So you don't understand why Wall Street and big banks are hated? Wow! Where have you been?
Thu Jun 25, 2015, 10:08 AM
Jun 2015

Maybe because you are in the investment class everyone else seems to be wrong? Just what % of the US people do you think have the extra money to invest? Did you forget about those that live pay check to pay check? How about those that have no retirement savings? Enjoy your group class and Wall Street ...many of us, I guess not including you will continue to fight against those that brought us the recession.

jwirr

(39,215 posts)
35. And lost our retirement savings and our homes. We just love Wall Street. I wonder if he is prepared
Thu Jun 25, 2015, 11:27 AM
Jun 2015

for the next crash? It could be his savings and his home and investments that go belly up. And this time I do not see the people being willing to bail the banks out.

 

L0oniX

(31,493 posts)
36. On DU many are at or approching retirement age. It's expected we will have investment class members
Thu Jun 25, 2015, 11:39 AM
Jun 2015

and that would explain why some are pro TPP and pro Hillary and even pro war if they have MIC stocks.

fredamae

(4,458 posts)
18. I needed a "lift"
Thu Jun 25, 2015, 09:33 AM
Jun 2015

and a smile.....
Thank you...thank you all for Promoting this Most amazing candidate....nay...this Most Amazing Leader, Educator and Trustworthy Statesman who speaks To and For All of us!

jwirr

(39,215 posts)
33. And it should be noted that Iowa is a caucus state. That means that the polls have a hard time
Thu Jun 25, 2015, 10:58 AM
Jun 2015

zeroing in on what exactly will happen. When you go to the caucus you do not just walk in and vote and leave. Everyone gets to have a say if they wish and tell why they like their candidate. So once inside the caucus many can and will change their minds.

This is very good news. Iowa Bernie supporters have your arguments ready.

George II

(67,782 posts)
37. Let's be realistic and give the COMPLETE results of the two polls:
Thu Jun 25, 2015, 12:10 PM
Jun 2015

New Hampshire - Clinton 56%, Sanders 24%

Iowa - Clinton 50%, Sanders 24%
 

november3rd

(1,113 posts)
41. Who are the biggest oligarchs in the Democratic party right now?
Thu Jun 25, 2015, 02:28 PM
Jun 2015

Sanders should just keep doing what he's doing. He has time. His campaign doesn't have to peak until next Spring.

It's about the grass roots.







Exultant Democracy

(6,594 posts)
44. I expected some early loft from Bernie, but not this much.
Thu Jun 25, 2015, 03:52 PM
Jun 2015

Thing will get ugly soon those numbers go any hire and we can look forward to more trashy PUMA antics.

The good news for Bernie if anything is that Clinton is hiring a lot of the same people that projected her to win 100% of the caucus state delegates. They probably did learn their lesson about assuming things in caucus states, but they are still the same incompetents they were so they are bound to make some other grave errors.

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