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tomm2thumbs

(13,297 posts)
Fri Jul 24, 2015, 09:15 AM Jul 2015

China manufacturing activity hits 15-month low

Source: Marketwatch

A preliminary gauge of manufacturing activity in China sunk to a 15-month low, suggesting that the world's second-largest economy is struggling to stabilize and arrest a broad slowdown. <snip>

The low reading suggests that the economy has yet to regain momentum despite several rounds of interest rate cuts, higher spending on infrastructure and signs that the real-estate market is emerging from a slump. It's also likely to further cast doubt on the 7% growth the government reported for the second quarter after other indicators, from industrial production to investment in factories and buildings, pointed to persisting weakness.

"Policy easing clearly is not working," said Kevin Lai, an economist at Daiwa Capital.

Read more: http://www.marketwatch.com/story/china-manufacturing-activity-hits-15-month-low-2015-07-24




Seems like China is about to experience what we did under Jeb Bush's brother. Ironic that Bush led our country into the same situation as China appears to be falling into. Don't know that even Amazon's news will be able to counter the news coming out of China.


5 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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China manufacturing activity hits 15-month low (Original Post) tomm2thumbs Jul 2015 OP
some differences, though NewJeffCT Jul 2015 #1
China and Russia's long-term tactic appears to be to pump up the infrastructure MisterP Jul 2015 #2
Meanwhile NewJeffCT Jul 2015 #3
in LA the Westside LRT was promised for '09--so I figured "that means '10 once all the long lunch MisterP Jul 2015 #5
This isn't a horrible thing. Igel Jul 2015 #4

NewJeffCT

(56,829 posts)
1. some differences, though
Fri Jul 24, 2015, 09:50 AM
Jul 2015

China doesn't have a lot of debt. W inherited an annual surplus and a shrinking amount of long-term debt, and turned it into a huge deficit and greatly increased our long-term debt. W did not invest in infrastructure - unless you count expanding the military budget for the GWoT. Of course, while some of China's infrastructure spending was good (increased high speed rail), they also built ghost cities that sit empty. (Imagine Palin's bridge to nowhere expanded to be entire cities of "nowhere" where nobody lives)

MisterP

(23,730 posts)
2. China and Russia's long-term tactic appears to be to pump up the infrastructure
Fri Jul 24, 2015, 01:13 PM
Jul 2015

for once the US stops selling them our jobs/oil gets costlier to extract/whatever

NewJeffCT

(56,829 posts)
3. Meanwhile
Fri Jul 24, 2015, 01:29 PM
Jul 2015

in many areas, our infrastructure is going to hell in a handbasket...and, Republicans have blocked efforts to set up a piddly little infrastructure bank.


MisterP

(23,730 posts)
5. in LA the Westside LRT was promised for '09--so I figured "that means '10 once all the long lunch
Fri Jul 24, 2015, 01:58 PM
Jul 2015

breaks and lawsuits are factored in"

it's not opening until early next year, thanks to what appears to have been a plushly-funded media circus that quickly degenerated into race-baiting in the council chambers ...

Igel

(35,359 posts)
4. This isn't a horrible thing.
Fri Jul 24, 2015, 01:45 PM
Jul 2015

No, I'm not in terror over internal stresses in the PRC.

Much of their manufacturing is outsourced European and American jobs and has as a cost a balance of payments deficit with Europe and the US. When Chinese manufacturing drops that could be from reduced domestic demand or reduced orders from the US and Europe. If the latter, that could be bad--expectations of reduced demand in those economies--or because manufacturing's moved elsewhere. Perhaps to Africa or SE Asia, perhaps returning to become domestic producting.

Moreover, reduced manufacturing there means less income for a command economy with very, very nationalistic views and increased military might to go along with those views. At the same time, it might make them a bit less capable of supporting the equally nationalistic but economically weaker Russia state.

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