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brooklynite

(94,598 posts) Mon Aug 3, 2015, 06:28 PM Aug 2015

Here Are the Polls Fox News Will Use to Select the Candidates for the First GOP Debate

Source: New York Magazine

Tomorrow around 5 p.m., Fox News executives are scheduled to gather in Roger Ailes's second-floor conference room at the network's midtown headquarters to decide the lineup of candidates who will participate in the first Republican debate on Thursday in Cleveland. Fox’s decision to limit the prime-time field to ten candidates has become a flash point in the GOP. Perhaps the biggest point of contention: The network’s refusal to tell campaigns which polls it will be using to select the participants for the 9 p.m. debate moderated by Megyn Kelly, Bret Baier, and Chris Wallace (the remaining seven candidates will face off in a 5 p.m. debate that’s being viewed as something of a JV contest). How Fox will choose the field has been an intense topic of speculation.

According to a source with direct knowledge of the plans, Fox's team of election analysts is currently crunching numbers to set the field. "It’s going to be the most recent polls by nonpublic entities,” the network source explained. “They need to be done with live interviewers, as opposed to internet responses like what Rasmussen does.” According to the source, candidates will be chosen from the following polls: Monmouth University (released today), NBC News/Wall Street Journal (August 2), Quinnipiac University (July 30), Bloomberg, CBS/New York Times, and Fox News (all releasing tomorrow). If a poll from ABC News or another organization fitting Fox's criteria is released overnight, then it will be swapped in. Based on the five most recent polls that meet Fox's standards, Trump will be center stage flanked by Jeb Bush and Scott Walker. On the bubble, it’s looking like Ohio governor John Kasich will edge out Rick Perry for the final spot. If current numbers hold, the remaining prime-time participants will be: Marco Rubio, Ted Cruz, Mike Huckabee, Chris Christie, Ben Carson, and Rand Paul.

Read more: http://nymag.com/daily/intelligencer/2015/08/polls-that-will-determine-fox-news-debaters.html

17 replies

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Highlight:

Here Are the Polls Fox News Will Use to Select the Candidates for the First GOP Debate (Original Post) brooklynite Aug 2015 OP

Naturally they're using a Fox poll. arcane1 Aug 2015 #1

Do you think a Fox poll will be markedly different in choosing among Republicans? brooklynite Aug 2015 #2

I was thinking more about candidates buying ad time on Fox in order to place higher in the poll arcane1 Aug 2015 #5

Fox is conducting/sponsoring the poll Gore1FL Aug 2015 #13

The questions should be interesting DeeDeeNY Aug 2015 #3

And who here believes in Women's Equality? Raise your hand now. Dont call me Shirley Aug 2015 #6

And then watch their campaigns die out in favor of stronger, fitter campaigns arcane1 Aug 2015 #7

I hope Perry gets it. Erich Bloodaxe BSN Aug 2015 #4

+1 davidpdx Aug 2015 #16

Ugh lakercub Aug 2015 #8

CSPAN has debate (forum) with 14 of the 17 candidates starting @ 7:00 PM tonight. Jim__ Aug 2015 #9

Shakes head, fake news is part of the GOP crazy party. Iliyah Aug 2015 #10

I hope Trump has the "best" showing in this "debate" MrBig Aug 2015 #11

"Roger Ailes's second-floor conference room ... crunching numbers to set the field." PSPS Aug 2015 #12

This will be the biggest manure spreading clown fest of the year... Little Tich Aug 2015 #14

If I am going to watch this, murielm99 Aug 2015 #15

Poor Poor Perry davidpdx Aug 2015 #17

arcane1

(38,613 posts)

1. Naturally they're using a Fox poll.

Reply to brooklynite (Original post)

Mon Aug 3, 2015, 06:31 PM

Aug 2015

brooklynite

(94,598 posts)

2. Do you think a Fox poll will be markedly different in choosing among Republicans?

Reply to arcane1 (Reply #1)

Mon Aug 3, 2015, 06:32 PM

Aug 2015

arcane1

(38,613 posts)

5. I was thinking more about candidates buying ad time on Fox in order to place higher in the poll

Reply to brooklynite (Reply #2)

Mon Aug 3, 2015, 06:37 PM

Aug 2015

A rather convenient arrangement for the network

Gore1FL

(21,132 posts)

13. Fox is conducting/sponsoring the poll

Reply to arcane1 (Reply #5)

Tue Aug 4, 2015, 12:14 AM

Aug 2015

it is not a poll of Fox viewers, though.

DeeDeeNY

(3,355 posts)

3. The questions should be interesting

Reply to brooklynite (Original post)

Mon Aug 3, 2015, 06:34 PM

Aug 2015

Who here doesn't believe in evolution? Raise your hand.

Dont call me Shirley

(10,998 posts)

6. And who here believes in Women's Equality? Raise your hand now.

Reply to DeeDeeNY (Reply #3)

Mon Aug 3, 2015, 06:38 PM

Aug 2015

arcane1

(38,613 posts)

7. And then watch their campaigns die out in favor of stronger, fitter campaigns

Reply to DeeDeeNY (Reply #3)

Mon Aug 3, 2015, 06:38 PM

Aug 2015

(Shamelessly stolen from Bill Maher)

Erich Bloodaxe BSN

(14,733 posts)

4. I hope Perry gets it.

Reply to brooklynite (Original post)

Mon Aug 3, 2015, 06:36 PM

Aug 2015

I want Kasich relegated to the second tier.

davidpdx

(22,000 posts)

16. +1

Reply to Erich Bloodaxe BSN (Reply #4)

Tue Aug 4, 2015, 04:35 AM

Aug 2015

I'd like to see Perry up against Trump. No, I didn't mean that literally.

lakercub

(659 posts)

8. Ugh

Reply to brooklynite (Original post)

Mon Aug 3, 2015, 06:41 PM

Aug 2015

10 fanatics and lunatics asked questions by three conservative lapdogs. All this to help determine who will be a major party candidate for one of the most powerful offices in the world. How the hell did it come to this?

Jim__

(14,077 posts)

9. CSPAN has debate (forum) with 14 of the 17 candidates starting @ 7:00 PM tonight.

Reply to brooklynite (Original post)

Mon Aug 3, 2015, 06:43 PM

Aug 2015

CSPAN will probably have a more open and honest format - not attending: Trump, Huckabee, and Gilmore.

Iliyah

(25,111 posts)

10. Shakes head, fake news is part of the GOP crazy party.

Reply to brooklynite (Original post)

Mon Aug 3, 2015, 06:46 PM

Aug 2015

MrBig

(640 posts)

11. I hope Trump has the "best" showing in this "debate"

Reply to brooklynite (Original post)

Mon Aug 3, 2015, 06:55 PM

Aug 2015

The longer Trump is able to stay in the news and make the GOP more of a joke than it already is, the better the chances for the whomever that may be.

I know Trump doesn't have any shot at actually winning the nomination (let alone the Presidency), but he sure is a blessing for the Democrats.

PSPS

(13,601 posts)

12. "Roger Ailes's second-floor conference room ... crunching numbers to set the field."

Reply to brooklynite (Original post)

Mon Aug 3, 2015, 08:47 PM

Aug 2015

It's kind of like gerrymandering. They have to carefully select the polls to produce the desired results:

1. Promote the Chosen One.
2. Squeeze every penny possible out of the campaigns so they blow their wad buying ad time on Fox.
3. Insure (or promote that there will be) enough truly crazy to get people to tune in, thus raising their ad rates for the spectacle.