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forest444

(5,902 posts)
Sun Aug 9, 2015, 05:58 PM Aug 2015

Polls close in Argentina with Scioli projected winner; Macri, Massa complete podium

Source: Buenos Aires Herald

The Victory Front's Daniel Scioli has triumphed in the PASO (first round) presidential elections, with exit polls predicting a margin of victory of around 12 points over the right-wing PRO candidate, Mauricio Macri. Sergio Massa, of the centrist UNA front, takes third place.

The first formal results will be available around 10 pm (9 pm, EST), electoral authorities have confirmed, after a day of voting that was carried out "with complete normality" across Argentina.

32,064,323 citizens were eligible to vote today in Argentina, with almost 12 million registered in the Province of Buenos Aires, the country's largest electoral district.

A total of 15 presidential hopefuls were seeking a place in the October 25 general election with the ruling Victory Front (FpV) party bringing only one candidate to get the party’s nomination: the outgoing governor of Buenos Aires Province Daniel Scioli, joined by longtime presidential adviser Carlos Zannini as his running mate.

Buenos Aires Mayor Mauricio Macri (PRO - right wing), Congressman Ernesto Sanz (UCR - center-right) and Congresswoman Elisa Carrió (Civic Coalition - right/left umbrella) were competing to win the nomination of the Let’s Change (Cambiemos) coalition. In the UNA front (centrist Peronists), the contenders are suburban Tigre Mayor Sergio Massa (Renewal Front) and the outgoing Governor of Córdoba Province, José Manuel de la Sota.

Read more: http://buenosairesherald.com/article/196020/polls-close-with-scioli-projected-winner-macri-massa-complete-podium



While this is the first of two (possibly three) rounds, it's a significant vote of confidence in Argentina's populist incumbents, the Front for Victory (FpV).

This is all the more so since it comes on the heels of 7 years of Fox News-like attacks from Argentina's three largest media groups (all good friends of the fascist 1976 dictatorship), from most of the U.S. press (especially the Wall Street Journal), and of course from GOP megadonor Paul Singer (the Caymans launderer and TARP baby who was put up by neocons in 2008 to sabotage Argentina's successful debt restructuring and overall economy).
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Polls close in Argentina with Scioli projected winner; Macri, Massa complete podium (Original Post) forest444 Aug 2015 OP
'Course, if you call yourselves the Victory Front, you kind of have to win. Ken Burch Aug 2015 #1
BaDumChing! forest444 Aug 2015 #2
Good news. Hope he will keep the momentum, by all means. Judi Lynn Aug 2015 #3
Scioli Vows to Keep Argentina on Progressive Path as President Judi Lynn Aug 2015 #4
Thank you as always for those stellar updates. forest444 Aug 2015 #5
Great seeing the background elements illuminated. Thanks for the deeper information. n/t Judi Lynn Aug 2015 #6

Judi Lynn

(160,631 posts)
3. Good news. Hope he will keep the momentum, by all means.
Sun Aug 9, 2015, 11:16 PM
Aug 2015

Looked for an update after seeing your posted original article, found this:


Argentina to choose post-Fernandez path in primaries

Choice of candidate likely to impact whether outgoing President Cristina Fernandez's policies to aid poor will continue.

09 Aug 2015 11:38 GMT

Argentina is holding an open primary election that will gauge the country's appetite for change after eight years under the rule of outgoing President Cristina Fernandez.

The election will reveal if the public supports the policies of Fernandez, who imposed heavy state control on the economy and spent generously on welfare during her time.

The frontrunner ahead of the October 25 general election is Daniel Scioli, governor of Buenos Aires province and a member of Fernandez's party.

Running second is Mauricio Macri, the business-friendly mayor of the capital city who wants to do well enough in the October vote to force a November run-off.

More:
http://www.aljazeera.com/news/2015/08/argentina-choose-post-fernandez-path-primaries-150809092405027.html

Thanks for the helpful information.

Judi Lynn

(160,631 posts)
4. Scioli Vows to Keep Argentina on Progressive Path as President
Mon Aug 10, 2015, 01:54 PM
Aug 2015

Scioli Vows to Keep Argentina on Progressive Path as President
Published 10 August 2015 (1 hours 20 minutes ago)

Daniel Scioli secured 38 percent in the primaries against his closest rival, the Buenos Aires mayor Mauricio Macri.



After winning Sunday’s presidential primaries in Argentina, the ruling party candidate Daniel Scioli promised to continue progressive social programs if he wins the general election to be held on October 25, at a press conference Monday. With more than 90 percent of Sunday’s votes counted, Scioli leads the race with more than 38 percent of the vote cast, against his closest rival, the opponent Buenos Aires mayor Mauricio Macri who reached 22 percent in the ballots.

At the press conference the candidate of current President Cristina Fernandez's Front for Victory party said he is seeking to show all Argentinians who voted for him and also those who didn't, that he will continue a project of government that has taken the country in the right direction.

“This is a new chapter, Argentina is free of debt and the social programs are the backbone of our programs, we will continue showing the people that their confidence in us is being rewarded.” Scioli said and revealed that his current strategy includes also an ambitious international agenda.

More:
http://www.telesurtv.net/english/news/Scioli-Vows-to-Keep-Argentina-on-Progressive-Path-as-President-20150810-0014.html

forest444

(5,902 posts)
5. Thank you as always for those stellar updates.
Mon Aug 10, 2015, 04:46 PM
Aug 2015

Last edited Mon Aug 10, 2015, 08:20 PM - Edit history (1)

The progressive community should indeed have great hopes for Governor Scioli, as he's sure to maintain President Fernández de Kirchner's array of populist reforms but is known to be more flexible than Mrs. Kirchner when disputes over policy arise (always a plus!).

Here's a further update, with 98% of the vote counted. Those in bold face go on to the general election (10/25):

Daniel Scioli________FpV (incumbents)______________38.4

Mauricio Macri________PRO (right-wing)__________________24.3
Ernesto Sanz_________UCR (centrist)_____________________3.5
Elisa Carrió___________CC (Catholic right)_________________2.3
Mauricio Macri______"Let's Change" alliance__________30.1

Sergio Massa_________Peronist from Buenos Aires (centrist)_14.2
José Manuel de la Sota_Peronist from Córdoba (centrist)_____ 6.4
Sergio Massa_______UNA alliance__________________20.6

Margarita Stolbizer___Progressive___________________3.5

Nicolás del Caño______Socialist Workers' Party_____________1.7
Jorge Altamira________Workers' Party____________________1.6
Nicolás del Caño_____FIT__________________________3.3


One more round -the general election itself- remains, of course. A runoff will also take place in November if no candidate reaches 40% of the vote, with at least a 10% difference over the runner-up.

Given that Scioli has 38.4% of the vote (winning in 20 of 24 districts) and that Macri's "Let's Change" coalition has 30.1%, a runoff is still very much possible. Macri himself has 24.3% of the vote, and more than half of the other 5.8% went to a party -the centrist UCR- whose voters are mostly opposed to the dictatorship-coddling, race-baiting, laissez-faire PRO.

The UCR joined Macri's coalition only after its March convention was hijacked by its small but well-financed right wing; polls show, however, that most UCR voters will vote for Progressive Party candidate Margarita Stolbizer rather than Macri. A good deal of the Massa/da la Sota Peronist vote may also go to Scioli (a fellow Peronist, after all) after last night's disappointing results for them. UNA voters are Peronists who are largely economic populists but social conservatives (in many ways akin to the U.S. labor vote). They dislike Mrs. Kirchner but not Scioli, and around 60% of the UNA vote would opt for Scioli in the event of a runoff according to polls.

Taking all that into account -plus the fact that Scioli's turnout was dampened somewhat by heavy rains in suburban Greater Buenos Aires- it's quite likely that Scioli can avoid a runoff by reaching the 40% mark with the requisite 10% difference. Should a runoff take place, polls already have Scioli 10 points ahead of Macri (which seems to confirm my assessment of the UNA vote). Stay tuned!



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