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brooklynite

(94,727 posts) Mon Aug 10, 2015, 04:14 PM Aug 2015

Trump’s Lead Grows After Debate, Controversy

Source: Morning Consult

Real estate magnate Donald Trump’s lead over the Republican field grew in the several days after his performance at the first GOP presidential debate, according to a new Morning Consult survey, even after he invited a new round of scorn from fellow candidates over impolitic comments about Fox News host Megyn Kelly.

Trump leads the Republican field with 32 percent of the vote, up 7 percentage points over last week’s Morning Consult tracking poll. Trump’s nearest GOP rival, former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush, clocked in at 11 percent.

No other Republican contender reaches double digits – retired neurosurgeon Ben Carson sits in third place at 9 percent, followed by Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker and Sen. Marco Rubio (Fla.) at 6 percent.

...snip...

The share of Republican primary voters who say they view Trump favorably increased since the last tracking poll, to 62 percent from 57 percent. But the number of registered voters who say they see Trump unfavorably remains high — 52 percent of all voters say they see him in a negative light. That makes Trump both the most popular candidate within the Republican field and the least popular candidate Republicans could nominate for next year’s general election.

Giving the people what they want...

16 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

Trump’s Lead Grows After Debate, Controversy (Original Post) brooklynite Aug 2015 OP

Is this a scientific poll? leftynyc Aug 2015 #1

Morning Consult is new to the game this year... brooklynite Aug 2015 #4

National Journal and Politico relationships ArizonaLib Aug 2015 #5

This message was self-deleted by its author ArizonaLib Aug 2015 #7

This message was self-deleted by its author ArizonaLib Aug 2015 #8

The answer is, maybe. Gormy Cuss Aug 2015 #9

Trump has recognized the fundamental truth about the GOP... Salviati Aug 2015 #2

Excuse me for a second Dopers_Greed Aug 2015 #3

Yay... Mike Nelson Aug 2015 #6

Yeah-Except they still control the House and The Senate redstateblues Aug 2015 #10

But they could lose a lot of seats in 2016 with Trump on the ticket Dopers_Greed Aug 2015 #11

"They" made this monster and now "they" are really screwed Botany Aug 2015 #12

I am not surprised, but I'm waiting for PollingReport.com to list these new polls ericson00 Aug 2015 #13

A Marriage Made in H . . . Gamecock Lefty Aug 2015 #14

No surprise that so many republicans hate women. LynnTheDem Aug 2015 #15

I guess all publicity is good publicity Qutzupalotl Aug 2015 #16

leftynyc

(26,060 posts)

1. Is this a scientific poll?

Reply to brooklynite (Original post)

Mon Aug 10, 2015, 04:19 PM

Aug 2015

I've never heard of them and this poll is now being posted all over the internet.

brooklynite

(94,727 posts)

4. Morning Consult is new to the game this year...

Reply to leftynyc (Reply #1)

Mon Aug 10, 2015, 04:29 PM

Aug 2015

I think they did corporate polling and decided to add some political questions for publicity

How Morning Consult Conducts Polls

The polling industry is in a state of flux. Pollsters who conduct surveys for partisan clients and for media organizations are struggling to figure out how to understand the American electorate, especially at a moment when more of us are eschewing landline phones in favor of cell phones.

At Morning Consult, we’re embracing a new way of contacting voters, one that we think gives us the ability to survey voters and model the electorate in a timely, accurate manner. And we want to be transparent about that process. To that end, we offer answers to these frequently asked questions about how we conduct our polls:

Who paid for the surveys?

Morning Consult regularly runs surveys containing both Morning Consult and client content. When we have room for additional questions (which happens in almost every poll we run), our editorial and polling teams independently write questions. Those questions are never vetted or approved by any clients. The data produced from questions that the Morning Consult editorial and polling teams write is proprietary to Morning Consult.

How are the polls conducted?

In many polls, especially statewide surveys, we use both live telephone interviews conducted using random digit dialing (RDD) and online interviews using several well-known, well-respected national vendors to provide a broad cross-section of registered voters across the country. For our weekly 2,000 person national polls, we use several national online vendors to recruit a broad cross-section of Americans.

http://morningconsult.com/polls/how-morning-consult-conducts-polls/

ArizonaLib

(1,242 posts)

5. National Journal and Politico relationships

Reply to leftynyc (Reply #1)

Mon Aug 10, 2015, 04:30 PM

Aug 2015

in looking at their web site in the 'about' page under the heading 'our readers' they list National Journal and Politico readers. I also couldn't find when they started. CorporationWiki website lists them as an 'Advertising Agency'.

Response to leftynyc (Reply #1)

ArizonaLib This message was self-deleted by its author.

Response to leftynyc (Reply #1)

ArizonaLib This message was self-deleted by its author.

Gormy Cuss

(30,884 posts)

9. The answer is, maybe.

Reply to leftynyc (Reply #1)

Mon Aug 10, 2015, 04:42 PM

Aug 2015

The vague methodology description posted by brooklynite has many of the right words but it's not the same as a methodology report which would allow an independent assessment of their methods and conclusions. They seem to be members of AAPOR, the leading organization for polling/survey interviewing professionals.

Salviati

(6,008 posts)

2. Trump has recognized the fundamental truth about the GOP...

Reply to brooklynite (Original post)

Mon Aug 10, 2015, 04:22 PM

Aug 2015

It's no longer a party of conservatives, it's a party of assholes.

Dopers_Greed

(2,640 posts)

3. Excuse me for a second

Reply to brooklynite (Original post)

Mon Aug 10, 2015, 04:28 PM

Aug 2015

Not sure about the veracity of this poll, other than it predicts doom for the GOP next year.

Mike Nelson

(9,966 posts)

6. Yay...

Reply to brooklynite (Original post)

Mon Aug 10, 2015, 04:32 PM

Aug 2015

...we may be witnessing the end of the Republican Party!

redstateblues

(10,565 posts)

10. Yeah-Except they still control the House and The Senate

Reply to Mike Nelson (Reply #6)

Mon Aug 10, 2015, 05:07 PM

Aug 2015

Dopers_Greed

(2,640 posts)

11. But they could lose a lot of seats in 2016 with Trump on the ticket

Reply to redstateblues (Reply #10)

Mon Aug 10, 2015, 05:27 PM

Aug 2015

Botany

(70,581 posts)

12. "They" made this monster and now "they" are really screwed

Reply to brooklynite (Original post)

Mon Aug 10, 2015, 05:30 PM

Aug 2015

Giving Trump a platform to spew his bullshit like Obama's place of birth,
the economy, and international affairs liike he really knew anything is
coming back to bite Fox News in the ass.

ericson00

(2,707 posts)

13. I am not surprised, but I'm waiting for PollingReport.com to list these new polls

Reply to brooklynite (Original post)

Mon Aug 10, 2015, 05:38 PM

Aug 2015

before I truly believe it. But then again, shouldn't more polls be being done online, given how landlines are dying and internet is the most pop means of communication anyway nowadays?

HAHAHAHAH GOP establishment is probably all writing GBCW notes