Trump Soars To New High In New Hampshire Poll, Walker Tanks
Source: TPM
The latest poll from New Hampshire showed real estate mogul Donald Trump leading the Republican presidential field with more than three times the support of his closest competitor. The Democratic-leaning Public Policy Polling found Trump in his strongest position thus far with 35 percent support among usual Republican primary voters.
Ohio Gov. John Kasich polled second at 11 percent and former technology executive Carly Fiorina polled at 10 percent. No other candidates reached double digits.
Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker's support dropped dramatically. Walker lead the PPP poll in April at 24 percent. In the latest survey, Walker was tied with former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush at 7 percent.
The poll was conducted among 436 usual Republican primary voters from August 21 through 24 via landline, except for the 20 percent who completed the poll online. The margin of error among Republicans was plus or minus 4.7 percent.
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Read more: http://talkingpointsmemo.com/polltracker/ppp-nh-august-trump-walker
tomm2thumbs
(13,297 posts)Talk about letting their brains fail them -- the Koch's lost that one big time
onehandle
(51,122 posts)Still In Wisconsin
(4,450 posts)Walker is down to 37% approval here, with 59% disapproval.
a kennedy
(29,707 posts)Screwed it's great name.
ChairmanAgnostic
(28,017 posts)Liberal_in_LA
(44,397 posts)a kennedy
(29,707 posts)onehandle
(51,122 posts)Nothing can stop them now!
LonePirate
(13,431 posts)Last edited Tue Aug 25, 2015, 04:15 PM - Edit history (1)
Everyone expects Trump to stumble or quit at some point so it is surprising to see Kasich suddenly emerge from the shadows to claim second place. Fiorina's rise is unsurprising given her debate performance but why is Kasich surging? Is it because he is the only somewhat sane GOP candidate?
tanyev
(42,613 posts)Although the answer might be simply that he's not as well known as Bush, Rubio, Walker, etc. The more you get to know them, the less you like them.
sufrommich
(22,871 posts)more than any other GOP candidate.
alcibiades_mystery
(36,437 posts)Kasich knows how to campaign, and to bide his time.
A Kasich/Fiorina ticket is a serious ticket. Smart money's on Kasich making a real go at it. He takes Ohio in a walk, which makes the math harder for Dems, too.
rtracey
(2,062 posts)The Koch Brothers must be shitting "gold bricks" over this Trump stuff......
totodeinhere
(13,059 posts)The main story in New Hampshire is how universally popular Sanders has become with the Democratic electorate. 78% see him favorably to only 12% with a negative opinion- that makes him easily the most popular candidate on either side with their party's voters. Meanwhile Hillary Clinton's favorability numbers have taken a little bit of a hit- she was at 78/10 with Democratic primary voters in April, but now she's at a 63/25 spread.
ThoughtCriminal
(14,049 posts)Nothing left but a belfry-load of bat-shit insane.
TomCADem
(17,390 posts)...and tells the Republican base what they want to hear. Remember when Mitt Romney won the nomination by essentially going hard right on immigration? Republicans ideally want their candidate to make innuendos about immigration, but not make any obvious anti-immigrant remarks. However, the temptation is too strong to pander to the GOP's base. This is why you now even have Jeb Bush making anchor baby remarks. Say something racist or xenophobic and you get a few bonus points in your GOP poll numbers.
My prediction is that Jeb tries to move into contention by dropping a few more racist and xenophobic remarks, then tries to win back Hispanics by choosing either Rubio or Ted Cruz as his VP.
pampango
(24,692 posts)Ain't it the truth. Try selling diversity, civil rights and peaceful global engagement (rather than unilateral American actions like bombs, walls and tariffs) to their base and your poll numbers will drop like a stone.
I think it is likely that Cruz or Rubio are VP so that the GOP is seen as doing "something" to win back Hispanic voters whom they will have spent the entire primary scaring away. However, if Bush wins their nomination that might be bad for Cruz and Rubio since Bush speaks Spanish and his wife is from Mexico. Less need to put an Hispanic on the ticket as VP.
If Trump or another non-Bush gets their nomination, Cruz or Rubio might well be their VP.