Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) 2016 Democratic Nomination Survey
Source: The Argo Journal
Hillary Clinton 50% ...
Bernie Sanders 24% ...
Lincoln Chafee 2%
Martin O'Malley 2% ...
Jim Webb 2% ...
Some other candidate 10% ...
Undecided 10% ...
Survey of 536 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted August 23-24, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.
Read more: http://www.argojournal.com/
Compare these numbers to the Republican field.
Sanders is doing better than ALL of the Republican candidates, including Trump.
Sanders is doing better than Bush, Walker, and Kasich COMBINED.
Clinton is doing better than Trump, Bush, Walker, Kasich, and Christie COMBINED.
Dear Vice President Biden:
Love you! Respect you! Appreciate everything you have done! But Clinton and Sanders have got this. They are having a very civilized policy debate between the centrist Clinton-Obama-Biden wing of the party and the more progressive Sanders-Warren wing of the party. Let's see how it plays out.
Tom Rinaldo
(22,917 posts)Attorney in Texas
(3,373 posts)riversedge
(70,330 posts)Pretty good considering all the vile negative crap out there
onehandle
(51,122 posts)Wait until she Really starts.
Ed Suspicious
(8,879 posts)direction of Bernie. You better hope things improve when she really starts or you'll be casting your general vote for Senator Sanders.
Attorney in Texas
(3,373 posts)news story linked).
I'm happy at how well Clinton is doing (I'm not a hater), and I'm ecstatic at how well Sanders is doing.
onehandle
(51,122 posts)I'm not worried.
Elmer S. E. Dump
(5,751 posts)Damn, I'm a nice guy. But although I'm with Bernie until the end, I am also happy that some on DU are happy too!
1StrongBlackMan
(31,849 posts)Love you! Respect you! Appreciate everything you have done! But Clinton and Sanders have got this. They are having a very civilized policy debate between the centrist Clinton-Obama-Biden wing of the party and the more progressive Sanders-Warren wing of the party. Let's see how it plays out.
I see him as the best of Bernie and HRC ... He is, clearly, a strong progressive candidate with the "can do"/"has done" chops (look at his plans); but, without the right and left's HRC, "I hate her" vibe.
Elmer S. E. Dump
(5,751 posts)1StrongBlackMan
(31,849 posts)I see O'Malley as a part of the discussion ... He's the best of Bernie and HRC ... He is, clearly, a strong progressive candidate with the "can do"/"has done" chops (look at his plans); but, without the right and left's HRC, "I hate her" vibe.
Attorney in Texas
(3,373 posts)Clinton, and so there does not appear to be a need or yearning for Vice President Biden to join the primary.
I'm glad O'Malley is in the debate, but I suspect that O'Malley is not playing a big part in Biden's decision to run or not (although O'Malley has locked up some Chesapeake Bay support that Biden might have received if he had jumped in three months ago); that is the only reason I omitted any mention of O'Malley.
No offense intended.
big_dog
(4,144 posts)Tom Rinaldo
(22,917 posts)O'Malley provides a pretty good baseline for how well a competent plausible candidate, with a relatively low national voter familiarity profile who the media does not give extensive coverage to, tends to fare in the Summer of the year preceding a Presidential election. That's particularly true when there is a Mega high profile candidate like Hillary, in the race sucking up oxygen.
That Sanders is polling this well nationally at this stage under these circumstances is damn impressive.
ram2008
(1,238 posts)Wonder what the results would've been had he been included, probably even better for Bernie. I think this is the best non-Biden poll for Bernie so far if I'm correct.
Beta Male
(52 posts)I wouldn't believe them if they told me water was wet!
INdemo
(6,994 posts)Not a very scientific sampling
Use 1000-1500 likely voters and see how the results change....
Stuckinthebush
(10,847 posts)I see DUers say this a lot and that's inaccurate.
A survey sample of 536 has a margin of error of around 4.2
A survey sample of 1000 has a margin of error of around 3.1
A survey sample of around 1500 has a margin of error of around 2.5
So, with a sample of 536 if you took 100 separate samples then the overall percentage of people responding the same way would be within 4.2% of the reported results in 95 of these.
The margin of error is a little bigger for a sample of 536 than 1500 but it has nothing to do with being scientific. It has to do with probability. HOW they sample (methodology) would speak to the issue of how "scientific" the poll is. If the methodology is sound then a sample size of 536 can result in illustrative results.
INdemo
(6,994 posts)I want to hear her talk about the billionaires owning our government but she wont.