Dollar Suffers Worst Day in 7 Years as Traders Face Fed Reality
Source: Bloomberg
The dollar plunged by the most since the Federal Reserve announced the start of its Treasury bond-buying program seven years ago, as signs of a slowing U.S. economy helped derail bets on diverging policies between global central banks.
The U.S. currency sank more than 1.7 percent against six of its biggest peers amid concern that growth in the worlds largest economy is cooling. Currency traders are catching up to the bond market, where 10-year yields sank to the lowest in a year Wednesday and futures are sending the strongest signal yet that traders expect the Fed to stand pat this year.
"The currencies market has been at odds with the rates market, and now the rates market is winning," said Peter Gorra, head of foreign-exchange trading in New York at BNP Paribas SA. "Theres a disconnect where the Fed says its four hikes while the market says its like 0.7 hike this year -- someone is wrong."
Concern about a global demand slump and policy makers response to a slowing growth worldwide has put the $5.3 trillion-a-day market in disarray. The dollars pullback this week has reversed all the yens decline against the greenback on Friday when Bank of Japan introduced negative interest rates to revive inflation, which is stuck near zero.
Read more: http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-02-03/dollar-falls-as-services-industry-slowdown-dims-economic-outlook
Sen. Walter Sobchak
(8,692 posts)The strength of the US dollar long ago passed the point at which it was helpful.
Taitertots
(7,745 posts)Calling it a "strong dollar" was just an Orwellian trick to confuse people into thinking its beneficial to the average American.
Sen. Walter Sobchak
(8,692 posts)As it is now it is just a de facto tariff that makes US goods more expensive. But when many capital goods are already priced in US dollars globally the strengthening dollar doesn't actually create greater spending power.
But yeah, if you're into collecting condos and mansions in foreign cities, it is kick-ass.
Taitertots
(7,745 posts)Language matters. We shouldn't adopt the language that the mansion/condo collecting crowd wants to push on us.
JDPriestly
(57,936 posts)I have a conspiracy theory that this economic slowdown is supposed to herald a conservative, Republican win in November.
What it is really going to do is boost Bernie Sanders.
What a bunch of idiots running the show.
I do not want an economic slowdown, but I predicted it would happen because the oligarchs want a conservative in the presidency.
I think they made a big mistake. Bernie Sanders will benefit from this, not the Republicans.
This election is about bringing the oligarchs down a notch and boosting the middle class. It's Bernie or bust for 2016.
Bernie or bust.
And the oligarchs want the bust. The people want Bernie.
LiberalArkie
(15,728 posts)When you are in that .1% you can loose 90% of your wealth and have enough to live on very well for the rest of your life. The rest of us if we loose 10% we are toast.
Taitertots
(7,745 posts)Each person acting in their own self interest causes the self-fulfilling prophacy to come to reality.
If everyone thinks a recession is coming, they pull their money out of the economy and cause a recession.
DFW
(54,436 posts)Do any of you have any perspective on this?
I am paid in dollars, but live in euros, so I have to keep a close eye on the exchange rate, as my spending power depends upon it completely. Same goes for my daughter, who works for an American employer in Frankfurt am Main.
Two years ago, the euro was $1.35. It had been as high as $1.59. Last November, it was $1.05. In the last 2 weeks, the euro has gone from 1.079 to 1.111 today. The euro is still a bargain, and the dollar is still way stronger than it has been in a long time. The euro could rise to $1.15 and it would still be cheap compared to the last 12 years overall. Maybe it makes a difference if you're Mercedes calculating 1.7% less return for a few billion worth of cars exported to the USA. If that is who is posting here about the great calamity this is, then I understand. But to us normal mortals, it doesn't much change things.
mahatmakanejeeves
(57,586 posts)Oil jumps 8 percent as dollar tumbles after U.S. data
NEW YORK | By Devika Krishna Kumar
Oil prices jumped 8 percent higher on Wednesday, snapping a two-day rout, after investors took advantage of a weaker U.S. dollar and shrugged off data showing an unexpected large surge in U.S. crude inventories to record highs.
Comments by Russia's foreign minister reiterating the major producer's willingness to meet if there was consensus among the OPEC and non-OPEC members, also reignited hopes of a deal to trim output and helped to boost prices.
The dollar index .DXY tumbled to an over seven-week low, making commodities priced in the greenback cheaper for holders of other currencies, amid growing skepticism that the Federal Reserve would be able to hike U.S. interest rates again this year and after data showed the U.S. services industry grew more slowly than expected last month.
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(Additional reporting by Amanda Cooper in London and Keith Wallis in Singapore; Editing by Marguerita Choy)