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alp227

(32,048 posts)
Wed Jun 8, 2016, 04:02 PM Jun 2016

Bay Area economy at full employment, California is close

Source: San Jose Mercury News

California's economy is robust enough that the Golden State is nearly at full employment, according to a closely watched UCLA Anderson Forecast released Wednesday, and the Bay Area has already reached that sturdy level.

Despite both the Bay Area and the state being at or near those thresholds, the plateaus don't necessarily signal that a downturn is lurking for the respective regions, economists said.

"The Bay Area is at full employment and has been there for a little time," said Jerry Nickelsburg, senior economist with the Anderson Forecast.

Full employment doesn't have a straightforward definition. Typically, it's tied to a period of extremely low unemployment that's comparable to other periods of low jobless rates, but it goes beyond that. Full employment occurs when everyone who wants a job can have one at the prevailing wage for a region.

Read more: http://www.mercurynews.com/business/ci_29991732/bay-area-economy-at-full-employment-california-is

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Bay Area economy at full employment, California is close (Original Post) alp227 Jun 2016 OP
In before the doomers I hope whatthehey Jun 2016 #1
Thank you Steph Curry!! underpants Jun 2016 #2
Meanwhile the state is suffering from declining tax revenue OnlinePoker Jun 2016 #3
Yup, for 2 reasons aggiesal Jun 2016 #4
There are a lot of businesses collapsing here in Silicon Valley, avaistheone1 Jun 2016 #5

whatthehey

(3,660 posts)
1. In before the doomers I hope
Wed Jun 8, 2016, 04:08 PM
Jun 2016

"Full employment" among labor market wonks does not mean everyone has a job.

Or even every one who wants one.

It doesn't mean they are all well off either.

It means that they all COULD get one at market wages, and that unemployment is frictional (remember about 5 million separations and hires occur every month, often with some delay between the two for a given worker).

 

avaistheone1

(14,626 posts)
5. There are a lot of businesses collapsing here in Silicon Valley,
Wed Jun 8, 2016, 10:56 PM
Jun 2016

many of them retail businesses and restaurants that have been here for decades.

Something is amiss.

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