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riversedge

(70,275 posts)
Mon Sep 26, 2016, 03:46 PM Sep 2016

Poll: Clinton Leads Trump Among Likely Voters Ahead of First Debate

Source: nbc




Sep 26 2016, 3:00 pm ET
Poll: Clinton Leads Trump Among Likely Voters Ahead of First Debate

by Hannah Hartig, John Lapinski and Stephanie Psyllos

Just hours ahead of the first 2016 presidential debate, Hillary Clinton continues to lead Donald Trump by 5 points, 45 percent to 40 percent, unchanged from last week, according to the latest NBC News|SurveyMonkey Weekly Election Tracking Poll.


Sep 26 2016, 3:00 pm ET



In a two-way match-up without the third-party candidates, Clinton has a 7-point advantage over Trump, 51 percent to 44 percent. The margin is up from 5 points last week among likely voters. .................

Read more: http://www.nbcnews.com/storyline/data-points/poll-clinton-leads-trump-among-likely-voters-ahead-first-debate-n654531





And this is GREAT!!!


............ In the four-way general election match-up, 49 percent of those under age 30 support Clinton, and 26 percent support Trump; 16 percent of 18-29 year old likely voters support Johnson, and 7 percent support Stein. Millennial voters support the third-party candidates more than older voters—only 5 percent of those 65 and over support Johnson and only 1 percent support Stein.
Sep 26 2016, 3:00 pm ET




Trump's support among young voters remains consistent from last week. Likely voters under 30, however, have shifted support from Johnson to Clinton. Last week, 18 percent of likely voters under 30 supported Johnson. This week, 16 percent said they support him.
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Poll: Clinton Leads Trump Among Likely Voters Ahead of First Debate (Original Post) riversedge Sep 2016 OP
This one is super stable Loki Liesmith Sep 2016 #1
Finally found one that doesn't adjust their likely voter sample in order to generate clicks. vdogg Sep 2016 #7
Johnson and Stein are simply not credible candidates. guillaumeb Sep 2016 #2
Thanks for posting. K & R BootinUp Sep 2016 #3
Thanks, riversedge gademocrat7 Sep 2016 #4
looks like tRump's having performance issues with that 40% ceiling 0rganism Sep 2016 #5
I just want Hillary to stay above the 45% mark--but the higher the better. riversedge Sep 2016 #6
Above 50 is the magic number for me. vdogg Sep 2016 #8

guillaumeb

(42,641 posts)
2. Johnson and Stein are simply not credible candidates.
Mon Sep 26, 2016, 03:50 PM
Sep 2016

They might represent positions that find some credibility with voters, but their lack of organization and infrastructure means they have no realistic chance of being anything other than a distraction.

As a 65 year old, the polling for my age group is troubling. So much for wisdom accompanying age.

0rganism

(23,962 posts)
5. looks like tRump's having performance issues with that 40% ceiling
Mon Sep 26, 2016, 04:18 PM
Sep 2016

he's got 20% core support from his racist base, another 10% who vigorously hate HRC and think tRump would somehow be better, and then a kind of shaky 10% on top of that who have doubts but are willing to throw in with him for some pet Republican cause like SCOTUS nominees or tax breaks for the rich. i don't see him pulling off a win with that kind of ceiling.

of course that could change quickly if HRC says something stupid at the debate that turns into an in-context soundbite.

vdogg

(1,384 posts)
8. Above 50 is the magic number for me.
Mon Sep 26, 2016, 04:53 PM
Sep 2016

Would mean no matter how undecideds break late in the game she would still be over the top.

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