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Chicago1980

(1,968 posts) Wed Oct 12, 2016, 10:28 AM Oct 2016

Tied With Clinton In Utah!...

Source: Desert News Utah

Poll: Trump falls into tie with Clinton among Utah voters

By Dennis Romboy@dennisromboy
Published: Oct. 11, 2016 11:25 p.m.
Updated: 8 hours ago

SALT LAKE CITY — Republican Donald Trump appears to have, in his earlier words, "a tremendous problem in Utah" as a new poll shows him slipping into a dead heat with Democrat Hillary Clinton since crude comments he made about women surfaced last weekend.

And along with the billionaire businessman's sudden fall, independent candidate and BYU graduate Evan McMullin surged into a statistical tie with the two major party presidential nominees, according to survey conducted Monday and Tuesday by Salt Lake City-based Y2 Analytics.

"A third-party candidate could win Utah as Utahns settle on one," said Quin Monson, Y2 Analytics founding partner.

McMullin may well have caught lightning in a bottle.

The poll shows Clinton and Trump tied at 26 percent, McMullin with 22 percent and Libertarian Gary Johnson getting 14 percent if the election were held today. Y2 Analytics surveyed 500 likely Utah voters over landlines and cellphones Oct. 10-11 The poll has a plus or minus 4.4 percent margin of error.

Read more: http://www.deseretnews.com/article/865664606/Poll-Trump-falls-into-tie-with-Clinton-among-Utah-voters.html?pg=all

8 replies

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Highlight:

Tied With Clinton In Utah!... (Original Post) Chicago1980 Oct 2016 OP

I wouldn't get too excited with that poll or the chances of Clinton winning in Utah. "Undecided"... George II Oct 2016 #1

This is actually good news even though a third party candidate has a shot of winning. 4lbs Oct 2016 #3

Right squirecam Oct 2016 #4

HRC campaign should direct Democrats there to vote for McMuffin oberliner Oct 2016 #5

That's actually good strategic voting. N/t roamer65 Oct 2016 #6

Won't help Clinton. tarheelsunc Oct 2016 #7

Interesting. Quantess Oct 2016 #8

George II

(67,782 posts)

1. I wouldn't get too excited with that poll or the chances of Clinton winning in Utah. "Undecided"...

Reply to Chicago1980 (Original post)

Wed Oct 12, 2016, 11:13 AM

Oct 2016

....is about half the number of any of the three top candidates.

PS, to comply with LBN guidelines, your subject line should read "Poll: Trump falls into tie with Clinton among Utah voters"

4lbs

(6,861 posts)

3. This is actually good news even though a third party candidate has a shot of winning.

Reply to Chicago1980 (Original post)

Wed Oct 12, 2016, 11:56 AM

Oct 2016

Without Utah's 6 electoral votes, that would mean Der Groper would have to make that up by winning an additional state somewhere else, one that is blue.

It makes his path to 270 that much more difficult.

Hillary's path to 270 already has factored in losing Utah. So, even if a 3rd party candidate wins, no change for her.

Trump's path REQUIRES winning Utah, or he must make it up somewhere else.

squirecam

(2,706 posts)

4. Right

Reply to Chicago1980 (Original post)

Wed Oct 12, 2016, 01:57 PM

Oct 2016

If it looks like HRC cant win Utah...then vote for McMullin.

Trump MUST win there for any EC victory.

I would expect a large portion of the 14% backing Johnson to go to McMullin in the end.