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brooklynite

(94,737 posts) Mon Oct 31, 2016, 07:43 AM Oct 2016

Poll: Comey’s bombshell changes few votes

Source: Politico

The race for the White House is tight, but it has not been radically changed by the FBI director's bombshell announcement last week.

Hillary Clinton has a slim three-point lead over Donald Trump one week before Election Day, according to a new POLITICO/Morning Consult poll conducted entirely after FBI Director James Comey announced the discovery of new emails that might pertain to the former secretary of state's private server.

Clinton leads Trump 46 percent to 43 percent in a two-way race, and 42 percent to 39 percent in a four-way race, with Libertarian nominee Gary Johnson at 7 percent and the Green Party’s Jill Stein at 5 percent.

The poll was conducted using an online panel of 1,772 likely voters on Saturday and Sunday, beginning one day after Comey's announcement. The poll carries a margin or error of 2 percentage points.

Read more: http://www.politico.com/story/2016/10/clinton-emails-comey-poll-politico-morning-consult-230519

35 replies

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Highlight:

Poll: Comey’s bombshell changes few votes (Original Post) brooklynite Oct 2016 OP

Well doh!!! Anyone with common sense bailed on supporting Trump months ago cstanleytech Oct 2016 #1

I'm not comfortable with a " a slim three-point lead " Helen Borg Oct 2016 #2

Oh I didnt say I was comfortable, its scary to think that someone who sounds like Hitler like cstanleytech Oct 2016 #3

This is National. The electoral college looks better. aaaaaa5a Oct 2016 #4

Good point there... Helen Borg Oct 2016 #6

Its an online poll INdemo Oct 2016 #14

She is not a mere three points ahead. duffyduff Oct 2016 #22

The concern is over how many assholes there are who might or not not vote muriel_volestrangler Oct 2016 #11

I agree mountain grammy Oct 2016 #18

True its distressing but hopefully our country will avoid making the same mistake cstanleytech Oct 2016 #20

Green Party’s Jill Stein at 5 percent. alcibiades_mystery Oct 2016 #5

There are lots of people in safe D states... Helen Borg Oct 2016 #7

Not likely. She is a dipshit. Ditto for Johnson. n/t duffyduff Oct 2016 #21

ROFL...the only people who are gonna vote for that nut are the real hardcore fanatics alcibiades_mystery Oct 2016 #25

Really, CA and MA are not a safe states? Helen Borg Oct 2016 #27

They are, of course, safe states alcibiades_mystery Oct 2016 #28

No they are not saying it... Helen Borg Oct 2016 #29

Bullshit alcibiades_mystery Oct 2016 #30

I guess we'll see very soon. Helen Borg Oct 2016 #33

We will and I'll return to bump this thread when we do alcibiades_mystery Oct 2016 #34

Watching Morning Joe just now, they are saying the race is tied.... where do they get their secondwind Oct 2016 #8

WAPO poll says Clinton +1 or +2...that's effectively a tie on the National level. brooklynite Oct 2016 #10

if the GOP candidate is up +1 or +2 it's a COMMANDING LEAD 0rganism Oct 2016 #35

I cannot watch that show more than 30 seconds...... INdemo Oct 2016 #15

bombshell ? JI7 Oct 2016 #9

I dunno. A racist rapist who broke tax laws and bribed elected officials vs. super qualified? onehandle Oct 2016 #12

Here's what is BAD! cynzke Oct 2016 #16

The race isn't nearly that "tight"! ananda Oct 2016 #13

But, Comey's Bombshell Should Change Votes! jaxind Oct 2016 #17

The race is not "tight." duffyduff Oct 2016 #19

No surprise. BlancheSplanchnik Oct 2016 #23

The ONLY thing this has done is ensure Dems vote. broadcaster75201 Oct 2016 #24

I have no worries that Hillary will win this election. She's just that good. My concern is down- BlueCaliDem Oct 2016 #26

Exactly LiberalLovinLug Oct 2016 #31

Great minds think alike! BlueCaliDem Oct 2016 #32

cstanleytech

(26,319 posts)

1. Well doh!!! Anyone with common sense bailed on supporting Trump months ago

Reply to brooklynite (Original post)

Mon Oct 31, 2016, 07:51 AM

Oct 2016

and only the diehard bigots, racists and general assholes are the ones who will vote for him over Hillary.

Helen Borg

(3,963 posts)

2. I'm not comfortable with a " a slim three-point lead "

Reply to cstanleytech (Reply #1)

Mon Oct 31, 2016, 07:53 AM

Oct 2016

But that is just me.

cstanleytech

(26,319 posts)

3. Oh I didnt say I was comfortable, its scary to think that someone who sounds like Hitler like

Reply to Helen Borg (Reply #2)

Mon Oct 31, 2016, 07:55 AM

Oct 2016

Trump does might actually become President of the United States.

aaaaaa5a

(4,667 posts)

4. This is National. The electoral college looks better.

Reply to Helen Borg (Reply #2)

Mon Oct 31, 2016, 07:57 AM

Oct 2016

All she needs is 270. End of story.

Helen Borg

(3,963 posts)

6. Good point there...

Reply to aaaaaa5a (Reply #4)

Mon Oct 31, 2016, 08:05 AM

Oct 2016

538 uses that for their P estimates, and Trump is > 20% now. This should make everyone really worried and boost turnout. I hope.

INdemo

(6,994 posts)

14. Its an online poll

Reply to Helen Borg (Reply #2)

Mon Oct 31, 2016, 09:24 AM

Oct 2016

vote as many times as you'd like..just delete cookies and vote again.
Scientific samplings? I don't think so

duffyduff

(3,251 posts)

22. She is not a mere three points ahead.

Reply to Helen Borg (Reply #2)

Mon Oct 31, 2016, 10:25 AM

Oct 2016

It is way, way more than that.

muriel_volestrangler

(101,361 posts)

11. The concern is over how many assholes there are who might or not not vote

Reply to cstanleytech (Reply #1)

Mon Oct 31, 2016, 08:59 AM

Oct 2016

They could be apathetic, and not bother; or they could let their asshole flag fly free, and vote for Trump. The worry is that a few days of hype over this could persuade them. Or persuade a few others who would have voted for Hillary to stay away because "both of them are flawed".

mountain grammy

(26,655 posts)

18. I agree

Reply to cstanleytech (Reply #1)

Mon Oct 31, 2016, 09:48 AM

Oct 2016

what's distressing is how many there are of them.

cstanleytech

(26,319 posts)

20. True its distressing but hopefully our country will avoid making the same mistake

Reply to mountain grammy (Reply #18)

Mon Oct 31, 2016, 10:24 AM

Oct 2016

Germany did back in the 1930s.

alcibiades_mystery

(36,437 posts)

5. Green Party’s Jill Stein at 5 percent.

Reply to brooklynite (Original post)

Mon Oct 31, 2016, 07:57 AM

Oct 2016

Jill Stein won't get more than 0.35% of the vote nationally.

Any poll that has her at 5% is completely non-predictive of election results.

Helen Borg

(3,963 posts)

7. There are lots of people in safe D states...

Reply to alcibiades_mystery (Reply #5)

Mon Oct 31, 2016, 08:07 AM

Oct 2016

Who plan to vote for Stein, I think. That is how she may get a bunch of votes.

duffyduff

(3,251 posts)

21. Not likely. She is a dipshit. Ditto for Johnson. n/t

Reply to Helen Borg (Reply #7)

Mon Oct 31, 2016, 10:24 AM

Oct 2016

alcibiades_mystery

(36,437 posts)

25. ROFL...the only people who are gonna vote for that nut are the real hardcore fanatics

Reply to Helen Borg (Reply #7)

Mon Oct 31, 2016, 12:02 PM

Oct 2016

If she gets 1% nationally I'll eat my hat.

Nobody feels like they're in a safe state this year.

0.35%, with 0.50% being her absolute ceiling.

Helen Borg

(3,963 posts)

27. Really, CA and MA are not a safe states?

Reply to alcibiades_mystery (Reply #25)

Mon Oct 31, 2016, 12:37 PM

Oct 2016

alcibiades_mystery

(36,437 posts)

28. They are, of course, safe states

Reply to Helen Borg (Reply #27)

Mon Oct 31, 2016, 12:41 PM

Oct 2016

Weird way to twist the clear meaning of what I said.

But people don't feel like they're in a safe state. People aren't walking around in California saying, "Oh, CA is a safe state! I'll vote for Jill Stein." It's simply not happening.

Like I said, 1% I'll eat my hat. Or, we can make a friendly wager? Donation to DU?

No way in hell she gets 5%. I'd be surprised if she gets 0.5%.

Helen Borg

(3,963 posts)

29. No they are not saying it...

Reply to alcibiades_mystery (Reply #28)

Mon Oct 31, 2016, 01:21 PM

Oct 2016

They are thinking it.

alcibiades_mystery

(36,437 posts)

30. Bullshit

Reply to Helen Borg (Reply #29)

Mon Oct 31, 2016, 01:31 PM

Oct 2016

Helen Borg

(3,963 posts)

33. I guess we'll see very soon.

Reply to alcibiades_mystery (Reply #30)

Mon Oct 31, 2016, 01:49 PM

Oct 2016

alcibiades_mystery

(36,437 posts)

34. We will and I'll return to bump this thread when we do

Reply to Helen Borg (Reply #33)

Mon Oct 31, 2016, 01:57 PM

Oct 2016

secondwind

(16,903 posts)

8. Watching Morning Joe just now, they are saying the race is tied.... where do they get their

Reply to brooklynite (Original post)

Mon Oct 31, 2016, 08:22 AM

Oct 2016

information from? "Next, coming up, is Rep. Trey Gowdy................"

UGH

brooklynite

(94,737 posts)

10. WAPO poll says Clinton +1 or +2...that's effectively a tie on the National level.

Reply to secondwind (Reply #8)

Mon Oct 31, 2016, 08:36 AM

Oct 2016

0rganism

(23,970 posts)

35. if the GOP candidate is up +1 or +2 it's a COMMANDING LEAD

Reply to brooklynite (Reply #10)

Mon Oct 31, 2016, 02:02 PM

Oct 2016

GOP up +3 or +4 is LANDSLIDE MANDATE OMG!!!1!!!
because fair and balanced

INdemo

(6,994 posts)

15. I cannot watch that show more than 30 seconds......

Reply to secondwind (Reply #8)

Mon Oct 31, 2016, 09:28 AM

Oct 2016

Watching morning Joe is worse than listening to Joe Buck do the World Series play by play....

JI7

(89,271 posts)

9. bombshell ?

Reply to brooklynite (Original post)

Mon Oct 31, 2016, 08:31 AM

Oct 2016

Hahaha. They act like emails where Hillary brags of assaulting people were discovered.

onehandle

(51,122 posts)

12. I dunno. A racist rapist who broke tax laws and bribed elected officials vs. super qualified?

Reply to brooklynite (Original post)

Mon Oct 31, 2016, 09:02 AM

Oct 2016

The only reason I would change my vote would be if there was some obscure email thing that I probably don't understand, but Joe and Mika say is baaaaaaaaaaad.

cynzke

(1,254 posts)

16. Here's what is BAD!

Reply to onehandle (Reply #12)

Mon Oct 31, 2016, 09:41 AM

Oct 2016

Tweeted by Trump A YEAR AGO!

https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/628231488794923008?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw

ananda

(28,876 posts)

13. The race isn't nearly that "tight"!

Reply to brooklynite (Original post)

Mon Oct 31, 2016, 09:06 AM

Oct 2016

She's at least ten points ahead, but vote rigging
and suppression on the part of red states IS
a problem.

It's been ugly in Texas already, with people and
poll workers breaking the law regarding voter ID
and intimidating minorities.

jaxind

(1,074 posts)

17. But, Comey's Bombshell Should Change Votes!

Reply to brooklynite (Original post)

Mon Oct 31, 2016, 09:43 AM

Oct 2016

It should change votes....OUR way!! After Comey tried to blatantly be sleazy and sway the election, normal people should be so outraged, that they should decide they must vote for Hillary! I hate these rethugs!!!

duffyduff

(3,251 posts)

19. The race is not "tight."

Reply to brooklynite (Original post)

Mon Oct 31, 2016, 10:24 AM

Oct 2016

I hate the fucking media.

BlancheSplanchnik

(20,219 posts)

23. No surprise.

Reply to brooklynite (Original post)

Mon Oct 31, 2016, 10:36 AM

Oct 2016

Trumpanzees aren't in his cult because they pay attention to information. People who hate him aren't going to suddenly stop because of a dirty repuke lie about Hilary's emails.

broadcaster75201

(387 posts)

24. The ONLY thing this has done is ensure Dems vote.

Reply to brooklynite (Original post)

Mon Oct 31, 2016, 11:08 AM

Oct 2016

Oddly, it's a godsend.

BlueCaliDem

(15,438 posts)

26. I have no worries that Hillary will win this election. She's just that good. My concern is down-

Reply to brooklynite (Original post)

Mon Oct 31, 2016, 12:12 PM

Oct 2016

ballot. We need to give President Hillary Clinton a Congress she can work with; weaken the stranglehold Republicans have in the House, and take back the Senate. Thirsty-Rubio needs to GO. We need Patrick Murphy to be our next Senator from Florida. Same goes for Ayotte. Governor Hassan would be FAR BETTER than Stepford-Ayotte.

I'm afraid that voters will vote for Hillary simply because the Tangerine-Orangutan is abysmal n ALL ways, but they might vote for a Republican over a Democrat down-ballot because of Comey's idiotic move, believing in the crap that it's good to have a 'divided government' - which, as the Republicans have shown us in the past six years, the biggest lie perpetrated on the American people.

LiberalLovinLug

(14,176 posts)

31. Exactly

Reply to BlueCaliDem (Reply #26)

Mon Oct 31, 2016, 01:31 PM

Oct 2016

I am cautiously optimistic about Hillary's chances. But this is a down ticket trick. This "scandal" wasn't perpetrated by the Trump campaign, it was done by House and Senate Republicans in a desperate attempt to secure their seats.

It might just turn some on the fence back to their local Republican rep. Just enough, together with their gerrymandered tactics, to tilt them back into the red.

BlueCaliDem

(15,438 posts)

32. Great minds think alike!

Reply to LiberalLovinLug (Reply #31)

Mon Oct 31, 2016, 01:44 PM

Oct 2016

I'm very optimistic about Hillary's election as our #45, but I'm a bit worried about down-ballot. And you're exactly right: the letter 'leaked' by Ratface Chaffetz (supported by ALL congressional Republicans) clearly isn't geared toward winning the White House. They already know they've lost it.

This, I believe, coordinated dirty-move by Director Comey and power-hungry, do-nothing Republicans in the House tells us that keeping control of Congress is their NUMBER ONE goal now. They want to continue to obstruct a Democratic president, stop her from appointing judges and justices, and attack, attack, attack for another eight years (I have no doubt she'll win re-election).

As I tell my voting group: Democrats campaign on policy because they're good at it. Republicans campaign on racism and character assassination because it's all they have.

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