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mahatmakanejeeves

(57,613 posts)
Thu Jul 12, 2012, 08:31 AM Jul 2012

ETA News Release: Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims Report (07/12/2012)

Source: Department of Labor, Employment and Training Admin

UNEMPLOYMENT INSURANCE WEEKLY CLAIMS REPORT

SEASONALLY ADJUSTED DATA

In the week ending July 7, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 350,000, a decrease of 26,000 from the previous week's revised figure of 376,000. The 4-week moving average was 376,500, a decrease of 9,750 from the previous week's revised average of 386,250.

The advance seasonally adjusted insured unemployment rate was 2.6 percent for the week ending June 30, unchanged from the prior week's unrevised rate.

The advance number for seasonally adjusted insured unemployment during the week ending June 30 was 3,304,000, a decrease of 14,000 from the preceding week's revised level of 3,318,000. The 4-week moving average was 3,308,500, an increase of 1,250 from the preceding week's revised average of 3,307,250.

UNADJUSTED DATA

The advance number of actual initial claims under state programs, unadjusted, totaled 439,743 in the week ending July 7, an increase of 69,971 from the previous week. There were 473,963 initial claims in the comparable week in 2011.

Read more: http://www.dol.gov/opa/media/press/eta/ui/eta20121387.htm



Good morning, Freepers and DUers alike. It is time once again for the weekly unemployment insurance initial claims report.

Here for your viewing pleasure are this week's data, brought to you as a nonpartisan public service. This is just one example of the good work your civil servants are performing for you.

There's good news for a change. The number is down by 26,000 this week.

I can't recall when I started posting the number every week, but this has probably been going on for at least a year. I seriously do not care if the week's data make Obama look good, or Romney look good, or Chairman Mao look good, or anybody else. They are just numbers, and I post them without regard to the consequences.

You will also note that I welcome people from Free Republic to examine the numbers as well. They paid for the work just as much as members of DU did, so I invite them to come on over and have a look. "The more the merrier" is the way I look at it.

I do not work at the EDTA, and I do not know anyone working in that agency. I'm sure I can safely assume that the numbers are gathered and analyzed by career civil servant economists who do their work on a nonpartisan basis. Numbers are numbers, and let the chips fall where they may. If you feel that these economists are falling down on the job, drop them a line or give them a call. They work for you, not for any politician or political party. Maybe they're all voting for Romney. That's up to them.

The word "initial" is important. The report does not count all claims, just the new ones filed this week.

Note: The seasonal adjustment factors used for the UI Weekly Claims data from 2007 forward, along with the resulting seasonally adjusted values for initial claims and continuing claims, have been revised. These revised historical values, as well as the seasonal adjustment factors that will be used through calendar year 2012, can be accessed at the bottom of the following link: http://www.oui.doleta.gov/press/2012/032911.asp

That's a bad link right now. It has been bad for about a month and a half, too. Try:

http://www.oui.doleta.gov/unemploy/finance.asp
9 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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ETA News Release: Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims Report (07/12/2012) (Original Post) mahatmakanejeeves Jul 2012 OP
That's More Like It! nt liskddksil Jul 2012 #1
Did they adjust for the holiday-shortened week? Roland99 Jul 2012 #2
I was wondering that, too. Is the decline due to one less reporting day? LonePirate Jul 2012 #3
26,000 is the *lowest* claims in four years according to NPR this morning Kolesar Jul 2012 #4
Right...but does that take into account a holiday-shortened week? Roland99 Jul 2012 #5
Typical - nobody ever mentions the unadjusted numbers when they are *better* than the adjusted dmallind Jul 2012 #6
Some do. Igel Jul 2012 #7
That's a good point, mahatmakanejeeves Jul 2012 #9
Advance numbers for 6/30 were 374,000. 14k fewer claims. Igel Jul 2012 #8

Kolesar

(31,182 posts)
4. 26,000 is the *lowest* claims in four years according to NPR this morning
Thu Jul 12, 2012, 09:41 AM
Jul 2012

and good morning to you

Roland99

(53,342 posts)
5. Right...but does that take into account a holiday-shortened week?
Thu Jul 12, 2012, 10:44 AM
Jul 2012

Plus, apparently, a one-time instance of fewer automotive layoffs.


And what about the non-seasonally adjusted amount going up by 70k?

dmallind

(10,437 posts)
6. Typical - nobody ever mentions the unadjusted numbers when they are *better* than the adjusted
Thu Jul 12, 2012, 10:57 AM
Jul 2012

And some folks wonder in offended horror why people accuse them of cheering for doom.

mahatmakanejeeves

(57,613 posts)
9. That's a good point,
Mon Jul 16, 2012, 12:24 PM
Jul 2012

and it was brought up on the Nightly Business Report on Thursday night. I can't recall that they said anything more about it than mentioning it.

Video: Thursday, July 12, 2012 - Nightly Business Report

Igel

(35,359 posts)
8. Advance numbers for 6/30 were 374,000. 14k fewer claims.
Thu Jul 12, 2012, 12:12 PM
Jul 2012

That's revised to 376,000, so last week was 12k claims fewer than the previous (corrected) unemployment figures.

The last few weeks revision to the unemployment claims has been upward.

Claims are decreasing, but not quite as quickly as you'd get from just reading the weekly reports.

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