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DonViejo

(60,536 posts)
Tue Dec 26, 2017, 10:06 AM Dec 2017

China to Overtake U.S. Economy by 2032 as Asian Might Builds

Source: Bloomberg News




By Fergal O'Brien
December 25, 2017, 7:05 PM EST

The growing importance of Asia’s major economies will continue in 2018 and beyond, according to a league table that sees the region dominating in terms of size in just over a decade.

The report by the Centre for Economics and Business Research in London sees India leapfrogging the U.K. and France next year to become the world’s fifth-biggest economy in dollar terms. It will advance to third place by 2027, moving ahead of Germany.



In 2032, three of the four largest economies will be Asian -- China, India and Japan -- and, by that time, China will also have overtaken the U.S. to hold the No. 1 spot. India’s advance won’t stop there, according to the CEBR, which sees it taking the top place in the second half of the century.

Also by 2032, South Korea and Indonesia will have entered the top 10, supplanting the Group of Seven nations of Italy and Canada.

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Read more: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-12-26/china-to-overtake-u-s-economy-by-2032-as-asian-might-builds

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China to Overtake U.S. Economy by 2032 as Asian Might Builds (Original Post) DonViejo Dec 2017 OP
This needs to be taken seriously angrychair Dec 2017 #1
Don't worry. We're bringing back coal. Yavin4 Dec 2017 #4
This is simply economies of scale at work. Calista241 Dec 2017 #2
Your point about automation is important. Yavin4 Dec 2017 #6
I hate to even think it, but it looks like this is what TPP was all about. Wish I'd realized it soon hedda_foil Dec 2017 #3
Yep. That was the whole point. Yavin4 Dec 2017 #5
They already have in purchasing power terms. sandensea Dec 2017 #7

angrychair

(8,727 posts)
1. This needs to be taken seriously
Tue Dec 26, 2017, 10:35 AM
Dec 2017

Our continued erosion of our educational system and our focus on manual-labor manufacturing over technological advancements and industrial development.

Despite a very poor environment for research and development and eroding educational system the US has still managed to lead but it’s quickly falling behind.

Educational Cost, immigration restrictions and lack of government funding and/or restrictions on research will guarantee we will have dim future.

Calista241

(5,586 posts)
2. This is simply economies of scale at work.
Tue Dec 26, 2017, 12:44 PM
Dec 2017

China has a billion people today, and will have more in 2030. The US has 350m people today and will probably have less than 400m in 2030.

As China’s workers increase their productivity, their economy will continue to expand.

This study also seems to exclude things like automation and robotic replacement, which will drastically affect both populations of workers, but them more immediately and drastically than ours.

Yavin4

(35,445 posts)
6. Your point about automation is important.
Tue Dec 26, 2017, 01:57 PM
Dec 2017

However, given the new tax code, corporations have less incentives to invest in R&D. Why would they when they can raise the stock price through buy backs.

sandensea

(21,648 posts)
7. They already have in purchasing power terms.
Tue Dec 26, 2017, 04:54 PM
Dec 2017

Though in per capita (per person) terms, they're still far behind since they have 4.5 times more people.

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