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DonViejo

(60,536 posts)
Wed Jan 10, 2018, 10:13 AM Jan 2018

Poll: Nearly half of voters say Trump exoneration is likely in 2018

Source: Politico

By STEVEN SHEPARD 01/10/2018 05:43 AM EST

Nearly half of voters think it’s at least somewhat likely President Donald Trump will be exonerated of wrongdoing by the special counsel this year, according to a new POLITICO/Morning Consult poll.

A 48 percent plurality of voters say it’s either very or somewhat likely Trump will be cleared in 2018, the poll shows, compared with 37 percent who say it’s not too likely or not at all likely Trump is cleared. And fewer than a third think Trump is likely to leave office in the coming year, despite calls from some Democrats for his impeachment. But the first survey of 2018 isn’t all good news for the administration: Pluralities of voters expect Democrats, who have a significant lead on the congressional generic ballot, to win control of both the House and Senate in the midterm elections.

Voters’ predictions for Trump in 2018 are divided sharply along partisan lines, the polls show.

“Democrats and Republicans have drastically different views on whether Trump will be cleared of wrongdoing in the Russia probe led by special counsel Robert Mueller,” said Kyle Dropp, Morning Consult’s co-founder and chief research officer. “Three in four Republicans, 74 percent, say it’s likely Trump will be cleared of wrongdoing in the Russia probe this year. But only 32 percent of Democrats say the same.”

Read more: https://www.politico.com/story/2018/01/10/trump-exonerated-special-counsel-poll-332146

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Poll: Nearly half of voters say Trump exoneration is likely in 2018 (Original Post) DonViejo Jan 2018 OP
If anything, more like insufficient direct and/or no_hypocrisy Jan 2018 #1
Democrats think he will be cleared?? janterry Jan 2018 #2
well rtracey Jan 2018 #9
Somewhat likely? Farmer-Rick Jan 2018 #3
I think it is just wishful thinking... IthinkThereforeIAM Jan 2018 #12
i think there's a significant possibility that republicans spin the results as "exoneration" unblock Jan 2018 #4
Exonerated? Nah. Still in office because the GOP wants him there? Yep Freethinker65 Jan 2018 #5
Was anyone here polled? hamsterjill Jan 2018 #6
Never be impeached SayItLoud Jan 2018 #7
Well in my poll he his TRAITOR, and lets not forget a sexual predator turbinetree Jan 2018 #8
Some of that is cynicism. The next question on the poll should be -Is that improper? mpcamb Jan 2018 #10
The other half have reality-based world views. L. Coyote Jan 2018 #11
Half of voters are less intelligent than the average voter. NT mahatmakanejeeves Jan 2018 #13
Nearly half of voters don't know what "exonerated" means. LastLiberal in PalmSprings Jan 2018 #17
Expecting it is not the same as liking it. dchill Jan 2018 #14
Or, to not spin it, "A majority of Americans think Turd will NOT be exonerated." lagomorph777 Jan 2018 #15
Yes, and just last week a poll showed most Americans think dotard did something illegal Thekaspervote Jan 2018 #16
But some of those people WANT him indicted but just don't believe our tblue37 Jan 2018 #18
I'd like to think most decline to talk to pollsters in that poll and... steve2470 Jan 2018 #19
Poll: Over half of voters say Trump exoneration is unlikely in 2018 lagomorph777 Jan 2018 #20

no_hypocrisy

(46,169 posts)
1. If anything, more like insufficient direct and/or
Wed Jan 10, 2018, 10:18 AM
Jan 2018

circumstantial evidence, like Chris Christie with Bridgegate. Not equivalent with exoneration or innocence.

 

janterry

(4,429 posts)
2. Democrats think he will be cleared??
Wed Jan 10, 2018, 10:18 AM
Jan 2018

I think he won't be impeached, but that's because the republicans will protect him.

Clearly he is guilty.

 

rtracey

(2,062 posts)
9. well
Wed Jan 10, 2018, 10:56 AM
Jan 2018

Most likely democrats know what reality is. and reality is Trump, although is guilty, will most likely slide. UNLESS.... the feds turn this over to NY.

Farmer-Rick

(10,206 posts)
3. Somewhat likely?
Wed Jan 10, 2018, 10:26 AM
Jan 2018

So your options are totally likely, somewhat likely, neither likely or unlikely, somewhat unlikely, totally unlikely. Or some such rot. It's just a method of breaking the opinion down so as to be able to claim almost anything.

IthinkThereforeIAM

(3,076 posts)
12. I think it is just wishful thinking...
Wed Jan 10, 2018, 12:57 PM
Jan 2018

... along with a few folks that figure the GOP will do whatever it takes to put a cocoon around Der Dingleberry®. Don't forget that 30% that thinks Der Dingleberry® doesn't stink.

unblock

(52,309 posts)
4. i think there's a significant possibility that republicans spin the results as "exoneration"
Wed Jan 10, 2018, 10:28 AM
Jan 2018

i think it's quite possibly that mueller nails many people very close to donnie and also that the facts that come out make it clear as a practical matter that donnie is in it up to his eyeballs.

however, there are a number of reasons why mueller might not actually charge donnie with anything, or with anything "major".

this could be because the strategy is to nail him at the state level where he has less ability to interfere, or maybe out of fear that witnesses will cover for him, or simply because taking on donnie himself has big risks associated with it and inevitably looks "political".

frankly i think donnie *will* get identified as having likely committed certain crimes, and might very will be indicted, but it's possibly he will escape, or that what he's indicted of will be "disappointing".


in any event, republicans will try to spin the results as donnie being exonerated even if his entire family is sent up the river. as long as donnie himself is not indicted, or if he's only indicted on charges they can spin as being "minor" (such as violating election "paperwork" laws).


anyway, my point is the ultimate mueller report will be very damning and will not exonerate donnie in any way, but republicans will surely spin it as such almost no matter what.

Freethinker65

(10,037 posts)
5. Exonerated? Nah. Still in office because the GOP wants him there? Yep
Wed Jan 10, 2018, 10:29 AM
Jan 2018

The only way I see a complete exoneration of collusion/conspiracy with a foreign government to influence our election is a mental deficiency defense. Money laundering and breaking of the emoluments clause will continue and perhaps even become more brazen. But he can do it, because the GOP will let him, and his base will continue to scream “lock her up” every time Hillary is mentioned.

SayItLoud

(1,702 posts)
7. Never be impeached
Wed Jan 10, 2018, 10:43 AM
Jan 2018

While the RePUBES control both houses. They will split hairs and like many lawyers (which a lo of them are) take various points of view and legal interpretations. My hope is the houses flip AND without question NY indicts him and family for the obvious money laundering. Just sayin if so many average folks see his corrupt money laundering ways (Already fined 10 Million to settle $ laundering at one of his bankrupt casinos) just think what Mueller and team know.

mpcamb

(2,875 posts)
10. Some of that is cynicism. The next question on the poll should be -Is that improper?
Wed Jan 10, 2018, 11:05 AM
Jan 2018

A good share of people who see it as a political likelihood are also disgusted by the notion.

Thekaspervote

(32,790 posts)
16. Yes, and just last week a poll showed most Americans think dotard did something illegal
Wed Jan 10, 2018, 01:53 PM
Jan 2018

When it comes to the Russian election interference. Doing an internet search brought more he's guilty than he's not including the Chicago tribune and the hill... can't get much more repukie than those two rags!!

Once again media trying to keep us on that roller coaster ride!!

tblue37

(65,483 posts)
18. But some of those people WANT him indicted but just don't believe our
Wed Jan 10, 2018, 02:19 PM
Jan 2018

political system will function properly to bring him to justice.

steve2470

(37,457 posts)
19. I'd like to think most decline to talk to pollsters in that poll and...
Wed Jan 10, 2018, 02:20 PM
Jan 2018

among those who declined to talk to them, the vast majority said of course he's guilty.

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