Polls go up and down, and the GOPers are relying on their own polls. I hope they do think things are improving for them and they become complacent.

the noise about "the memo," BEFORE its actual release caused a euphoria crash.

We had a bit of that here. One of our neighbors reportedly confidently told another that its release would cause the media to turn on the Democrats and we'd be in big trouble. We haven't asked for an update on that, but will.

It's about their cultural brand being usurped by other brands. As long as white people are the majority of people exercising their right to vote we're going to have this problem.

My husband is white but he's very secure so he votes his interest instead of his grievance. We care about other people so when we vote we feel a responsibility to make sure our vote will makes their lives better too.

One a rassmusson.

arrogance the odds are they are going to mess up before then.
Or in other words we just need to give them enough rope to hang themselves with.

I talked with some Trumpian relatives and they were thrilled with their pay increases. Another is now convinced the deep state is out to get Trump.

Is this going to carry the GOP through November? I hope not.

Land a misleading story to tip favor the week before people make decisions and you see the results. HRC and 45 were so close that the tiny feathering adjustments of the Comey email announcement and the Russian meddling threw the election to the Rs. In fact, the email announcement may have been forced by Giuliani to give legit cover to meddling so they could go "Oh it's sad but that's how people voted you know willadapeople..."

just goes to show you can fool some of the people all the time.

The thing that truly pisses me off is the lack of context--are people really so stupid as to trade a short-term boost of a few dollars (if that) in their paycheck vs. health insurance going up, destroying SS and Medicare (because we know that's the next step in the plan) and letting the rich loot the treasury?

Oh, well--I might as well wonder whether enough 'Muricans are dumb enough to vote for a failed businessman criminal Russian puppet money launderer.

for "middle class". Someone happy to get a $1.50 a week raise. When shit starts crashing by the end of the year, it will be a different story.

hurt a lot of Democrats too.

I think the economy will be humming along, we'll see more pay increases, some companies repatriating money, etc. That will be good short-term. Try explaining that to white wingers.

Hope I'm wrong. In a just world after trump, polls would show 80% of likely voters plan on voting for Democrats, and 10% would be undecided.

The capitalists will do everything they can to try to prop up the pukes until after the 2018 elections. Hope short-term tricks don't fool enough voters when the long-term implications of puke policy are so wretched.

Anyway, it's way too far out. We all gave to work hard!

BTW, the last paragraph is malarkey. Remindful of something from Faux Noos, or worse, the Trumpster himself.

died since they did that god-awful gerrymandering.

Those dynamics have probably changed and will even change more before 2020. That might put a monkey wrench in their git-along because their git might have gone.

bought and paid for.

Nail biting down to the wire anyone can win elections helps gain viewers and ratings and advertising dollars for media outlets.


3 months before an election if the polls show Candidate X with 70% and candidate Z with 30%, who is going to care enough to pay attention for the next three months until X destroys Z? who is going to tune is to cable news shows?

the media is going to do whatever they can to prop up the guy who could get blown out.


thats what im seeing with this poll.

that way when they rig the election again it might look possible that they had the support to win on votes, when they really don't.

.. Desi Doyen said on 10/17/2017 @ 4:00 pm PT...

Hi, Karen --- It was actually DHS, specifically acting undersecretary Jeanette Manfra, who acknowledged that DHS had not conducted a forensic examination on any individual voting machine during her testimony at a Senate Intelligence Committee hearing on June 21, 2017. The relevant segment starts at about 58 minutes:

https://www.c-span.org/v...ted-russia-2016-election

Here's Brad's article on it: http://bradblog.com/?p=12192. More on it can also be found here.

Desi

Here's the Monmouth poll reference, with margin of terror -- whoops, that is meant to be error -- and all. Note the responses to the question about whether the country's on the right track or not.

https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/reports/MonmouthPoll_US_013118/

I can’t think of anything Twitler and rethugs would do to make the numbers better.

But I think the market is going to crater and interest rates are going to shoot up making borrowing money more expensive. I was on the fence last year about buying a new car. Decided to buy and went I went to credit union to get loan they told me they were raising rates next year so it was a good time for me to buy. Since then the rates has increased 1%.

Rethugs are leaving Congress in near record numbers.

Just like the stock market, which looks like it is going down.

How long until big corps adjust to trade agreements going away? How long before jobs start shrinking?

With the scotus about to lock political gerrymandering in as a reality, and the doj about to be fully weaponized, does any of it matter?

We still have voter supression running rampant. We still are awash in dark money. We are still flooded with targeted bots pretending to be people.

This is not exactly an easy to call "wave". Nothing is certain. Unless of course we just give up and start fighting amongst ourselves over daca, blm, metwo, and every other cornerstone we lay down.

So, do we just let the bastards win?

Blue States. Didn't they also claim Moore was up by gazillion. Nunes is on his way out.

there's NO HOPE. They NEED people to believe that there's NO chance that the house will be won back & that fat slob with Cholesterol level somewhere around 15000, ( just a matter of time before he sweats lard on camera) THROWN OUT & JAILED!! Don't buy their nonsense. As you said, roy moore, the perverted pedophile midget was supposedly a shoe in. & we all know how that turned out, Don't we?
Gurl, PREACH!!

This is very sad, how ignorant and fanatical people in the USA are.

The fact there are networks singing praises to the repubs should mean zero, you don't need a network to tell you how to think.

Have you ever wondered why, in the USA, cars in a two lane road, waiting for the green light, line up behind the first one to get there leaving the other lane almost empty?

on important issues would help. A lot.

catch up to them.

This is a post SOTU poll.

Two Santa Clauses or How The Republican Party Has Conned America for Thirty Years:

When Dems are in control the fascists bitch, bitch, bitch about the National debt. When The fascists are in power they spend like drunken sailors, cut taxes to the rich, drive up the debt then blame the Dems and the Dems help by fretting over the deficit. The fascists call it supply side economics, I call it the biggest con in ameriKan history.


https://www.commondreams.org/views/2009/01/26/two-santa-clauses-or-how-republican-party-has-conned-america-thirty-years

supported by GOP billionaires

their stated goal is to publish one pro-GOp article for every pro-Dem(pro-America) article.


That’s like publishing one pro-Cleveland Browns article for every pro-Eagles article this week. ie: stupid and biased. If one party is corrupt and harmful, bothsideism means the media is lying. Truth looks biased if the facts are not perfectly evenhaded.

Have you? I can't imagine that I actually missed such news, but it's possible.

Poll numbers go up and they go down. Some bump from the SOTU speech and generally positive economic news. However, LOOK AT THE BIG PICTURE!! The party in power always loses seats in the midterms. Dems/Progressives HATE Trump and HATE the GOP and will be more enthusiastic to vote. So it looks much better for Dems than the R's. Just look at special elections and VA and NJ last November. Dems have over-performed up and down the line.

BUT DO NOT BE COMPLACENT!! The Dems need a unified and much better message than just "We are not Trump." It also needs to be about GOOD HIGH PAYING PERMANENT JOBS, Healthcare, and Education. The Dems can't just talk "values" and they sure all hell can't just talk about government programs and abstractions like "civil rights."

What drives people into the voting booth is tangibles like JOBS JOBS JOBS and healthcare and education and higher wages.

The Trump corruption and scandals will also come home to roost.

But more than anything, the Dems need a STRONG, CLEAR, and ATTRACTIVE economic message which has been SORELY lacking.

will eventually believe it. Hence, we have Fox pumping out lies and distortions 7x24, as well as almost the majority of AM/FM radio owned by iHeartRADIO, formerly the god awful Clear Channel. The democrats and Independents seem to have very little.

for hillary in 2016. Democratic enthusiasm is not diminishing one bit as all special elections so far have proven. The anger in what trump and his cohorts are doing to america is feeding the tidal wave, not lessening it

After some speech where he stuck to reading the teleprompter, and the media fell all of themselves declaring him presidential. Two days later, he was typical Trump, and that sent him back. We're coming off the SOTU, which had the bar set so low for him it was subterranean. Give Donald a few days to tank himself.

TlalocW

trust me, Fuckump will do something to totally fuck things up.

The Stock market is telling us the balloon is popping. And by Summer, the Repubs are going to be fighting to 'reduce the deficit' by cutting SS and medicare and medicaid. I do not think this is going to end well for them.

Also, Asian Markets are down today.

Link to tweet

it's just like 11 days before the election. People are fickle, sure.

They vary by almost the exact amount one expects from random processes with a reasonably large standard deviation

All of those people and their supporters only care about withholding taxes.

Yessiree. And those cuts to education, environment, healthcare and clinics, reproductive care, etc. are all winners. GOP retirements and unqualified Trump nominees getting delayed and/or withdrawing is a sign of all that winning. Please proceed, GOP.

You don't have to convince your wack brother-in-law. You just have to convince that quiet, non-assuming convenience store clerk you don't even know to get out and vote. That is what canvassing is all about. It works. That's how Dems win elections. Don't waste your time on your crazy in-laws, go out and canvas Democrats--and drop the negative attitude. Sheesh.