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Baclava

(12,047 posts)
Sat Sep 8, 2018, 02:11 PM Sep 2018

Tropical Storm Florence's threat to Carolinas increases as it nears hurricane status

Source: myrtlebeachonline.com

The chances of a direct hit from Tropical Storm Florence along the Carolinas increased Saturday, according to a release from the National Weather Service in Wilmington, North Carolina.

Florence remains a tropical storm but is forecast to become a hurricane Saturday night as it continues on a westerly track toward the East Coast of the United States, the NWS reports. As of 10:30 a.m. Saturday, the storm was 840 miles southeast of Bermuda while heading west at 9 mph with maximum winds of 65 mph.

The storm is projected to take a west-northwest track Tuesday into Thursday, possibly as a major hurricane, the NWS says.


:large

Read more: https://www.myrtlebeachonline.com/news/local/article218057775.html



Heads up East Coast!
16 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
Tropical Storm Florence's threat to Carolinas increases as it nears hurricane status (Original Post) Baclava Sep 2018 OP
NOAA NHC latest gristy Sep 2018 #1
Time to GTFO. Scurrilous Sep 2018 #2
I live just south of Myrtle Beach on 17 Business. Throckmorton Sep 2018 #6
God knows when is right. Scurrilous Sep 2018 #7
I live in eastern NC on the Pamlico Sound ooky Sep 2018 #8
yeah - gotta keep your eyes on this one Baclava Sep 2018 #13
Got that right. ooky Sep 2018 #14
yep, this one is for real Baclava Sep 2018 #15
Stay safe! Mandatory evacuations have begun for S.C. Baclava Sep 2018 #16
Helene has also formed BumRushDaShow Sep 2018 #3
It's been a strikingly hot summer in the northeast this year. Chemisse Sep 2018 #4
The European Model (at Windy.com) has it making landfall at the SC-NC border Thursday jpak Sep 2018 #5
Hope that doesn't happen. ooky Sep 2018 #9
there's still time for it to curve Baclava Sep 2018 #12
The least of my worries ornotna Sep 2018 #10
Did anyone else happen to notice this? KY_EnviroGuy Sep 2018 #11

gristy

(10,667 posts)
1. NOAA NHC latest
Sat Sep 8, 2018, 02:22 PM
Sep 2018
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT1+shtml/081452.shtml?

Maximum sustained winds remain near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher
gusts, but Florence is likely to restrengthen to a hurricane by
tonight. Rapid intensification is expected to start on Sunday, and
Florence is forecast to be a major hurricane by Tuesday.

Throckmorton

(3,579 posts)
6. I live just south of Myrtle Beach on 17 Business.
Sat Sep 8, 2018, 07:32 PM
Sep 2018

We are beginning storm preps today, and my wife is taking my elderly parents and their cat to my brothers in Northern Virginia on Monday.

3 Cats, 2 dogs, Henry the Giraffe, and I are all leaving Wednesday at daybreak.

We made hotel reservations in Fairfax VA for Monday Night to god knows when.

Scurrilous

(38,687 posts)
7. God knows when is right.
Sat Sep 8, 2018, 08:07 PM
Sep 2018

Those things are lining up in the Atlantic and it doesn't look good for your area.

ooky

(8,929 posts)
8. I live in eastern NC on the Pamlico Sound
Sat Sep 8, 2018, 08:22 PM
Sep 2018

in the present potential projected path of the storm. Of course, living in ENC this won't be my first rodeo. Seems like we get to do this every couple of years or so here.

Usually these powerful storms slow down pretty quickly to cat 1 or borderline cat 2 as they approach the coast and no stronger when they roll over us. I've had trees down, fences blown over, shingle damage, all common problems. Swimming pool filled up with crap if I don't cover it, this time I will. We always ride them out, sitting inside with no electricity and feeling our house shake from ~100 mph wind gusts. But if it looks stronger than borderline cat 2 we will head west for my sister's house in SW Va. From my experience I would never consider sitting through a cat. 3 or 4.

ooky

(8,929 posts)
14. Got that right.
Sun Sep 9, 2018, 11:07 PM
Sep 2018

Tonight's track has it coming on shore on top of us @ cat 3 on Thursday If that holds until Wednesday morning we're out of here.

 

Baclava

(12,047 posts)
15. yep, this one is for real
Mon Sep 10, 2018, 02:29 PM
Sep 2018

Hurricane Florence is a Category 4 storm, on track to hit Southeast coast by Friday morning

Hurricane Florence is a rapidly strengthening major storm with sustained 130 mph winds as it heads toward a potentially devastating landfall in the Southeast U.S. later this week, already prompting evacuation orders on the North Carolina coast.

The National Hurricane Center is warning of “life-threatening” storm surge in the Carolinas and Virginia, as well as “a prolonged and exceptionally heavy rainfall event” in the Southeast and mid-Atlantic.

“All interests from South Carolina into the mid-Atlantic region should ensure they have their hurricane plan in place and follow any advice given by local officials,” hurricane center forecasters wrote Monday morning.


http://www.baltimoresun.com/news/weather/weather-blog/bs-fe-tropical-storm-florence-update-20180908-story.html

 

Baclava

(12,047 posts)
16. Stay safe! Mandatory evacuations have begun for S.C.
Mon Sep 10, 2018, 06:04 PM
Sep 2018

Evacuation ordered for SC coast ahead of Hurricane Florence

S.C. Gov. Henry McMaster announced a mandatory evacuation of the South Carolina coast on Monday. All eight counties along the coast would begin evacuating as of noon on Tuesday, McMaster said at a press briefing on Monday.

McMaster said he would reverse lanes on four main roads to facilitate the evacuation. As of noon Tuesday, lanes will reverse on Interstate 26 from Charleston to Columbia and Highway 50 from Myrtle Beach. Highways 278 and 21 in Beaufort County will be ready for reversal as of noon, but officials will wait to make an order at that time.

https://www.myrtlebeachonline.com/news/state/south-carolina/article218123955.html



BumRushDaShow

(129,482 posts)
3. Helene has also formed
Sat Sep 8, 2018, 03:06 PM
Sep 2018


TEXT

Margaret Orr

@MargaretOrr

So we have TS Florence, TS Helene, Depression # 9 & 20% chance tropical development for trough of low pressure west of Bermuda. Right on cue! @wdsu #tropics
12:01 AM - Sep 8, 2018 · New Orleans, LA






TEXT

Hurricane Tracker App @hurrtrackerapp

Confidence is high that Tropical Storm #Helene will turn into the open Atlantic next week and NOT come west like Florence did. #Helene will bring tropical storm & possible hurricane conditions to the southern Cabo Verde islands tonight. TS warnings & Hurricane watches are up.
9:55 AM - Sep 8, 2018


Chemisse

(30,817 posts)
4. It's been a strikingly hot summer in the northeast this year.
Sat Sep 8, 2018, 05:33 PM
Sep 2018

The ocean water must be a bit warmer than is typical, which would keep the hurricane's energy going for longer than usual.

jpak

(41,759 posts)
5. The European Model (at Windy.com) has it making landfall at the SC-NC border Thursday
Sat Sep 8, 2018, 05:59 PM
Sep 2018

As a 94 knot sustained wind hurricane.

And stalling as a tropical system over Eastern North Carolina.

https://www.windy.com/?700h,2018-09-13-15,44.273,-68.337,4,m:eFlaexj

KY_EnviroGuy

(14,494 posts)
11. Did anyone else happen to notice this?
Sun Sep 9, 2018, 02:37 AM
Sep 2018

There's a possibility of two serious storms hitting either the US mainland or territories, both on a Thursday/Friday time frame?

1. Hurricane Florence hits the Carolinas on Thursday, and

2. Hurricane Isaac hits Virgin Islands on Thursday then brushing Puerto Rico on Friday.

See current path projections here: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

In addition to all that, there may be emergency responses required up the Ohio Valley for flooding cause by the tropical storm remnants from the recent Gulf hurricane (hit Kentucky and Indiana hard on Saturday and now covering Ohio).

My first thought was that this surely will overload our emergency response systems big-time, especially with Trump's inept team in charge.

........ ............ ............

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