Hawley banks on conservative policies, and Trump, to get the win over McCaskill
Source: KSMU
More than anything else, Hawley has sought to tie himself with Trumps agenda. He was a strong supporter of a tax cut plan that was signed into law at the end of 2017. Hawley also has signaled support for Trumps policies on immigration and trade. And hes made Brett Kavanaughs nomination to the Supreme Court a major aspect of his campaign.
President Trump won this state by 19 points, Hawley said. And the judges issue and the Supreme Court was a big, big issue in that election. I think folks right now, they see whats going on, on Capitol Hill. They see the way the Senate has conducted itself and the liberals have conducted themselves. And theyre thinking this is crazy. This is just crazy.
Hawley is clearly banking on Trump retaining his popularity in Missouri. Both Trump and Pence have campaigned on Hawleys behalf and helped him raise money. Most public polls have the presidents approval rating hovering around 50 percent in Missouri.
If those numbers hold steady, it might help Hawley in socially conservative suburbs where he needs a lot of votes such as St. Charles and Jefferson counties.
Read more: http://www.ksmu.org/post/hawley-banks-conservative-policies-and-trump-get-win-over-mccaskill#stream/0
qazplm135
(7,447 posts)for whether love for Trump drives his people to vote for people who aren't Trump.
redstatebluegirl
(12,265 posts)I did some work in the boot heel of Missouri with schools and it was terrifying 20 years ago, has to be worse now with Trump. If he carries rural Missouri he wins hands down.
pstokely
(10,530 posts)rural MO always is reliably red, but how much this year?
redstatebluegirl
(12,265 posts)They are Trump worshiping there, I don't think she can overcome their hatred for "libtards", they live on Fox news. Sad thing is a lot of them are on SS Disability, or just very poor, but they really believe that smart people are their enemy. When I told them I was from UM they rolled their eyes and said "you are one of them". I was actually there to help their kids do better in school, didn't matter, I was from UM, not to be trusted.
BumRushDaShow
(129,417 posts)So in MO, when you talk about "19 points" and "50%"... and although I know the state is always close and can flip either way, it is by no means any type of GOP blowout territory. To me "50% approval" is pretty "low" for that state.
pstokely
(10,530 posts)that's rarely mentioned, it will be close no matter who wins
BumRushDaShow
(129,417 posts)I think an interesting indicator that mirrors that approval a bit is a poll done here in PA in August and it doesn't bode well for the GOP in terms of their favored demographics, notably seen in Western PA (obviously outside of strict party-line approval - i.e., the "49%) -
SWBTATTReg
(22,158 posts)watched the so called president and his stupid and unreal behavior (actually, the behavior of all of the republicans). Josh Hawley, riding on rump's coattails, has been lying in his campaign ads on things about Claire and he is a hypocrite in stating that he wouldn't use his recently won elected seat (AG) as a step to further advance himself further (only 1 and 1/2 years so far), and here he is already running.
Also, remember that Claire was born and raised in rural MO...and she's female...w/ the crap going on in Washington DC and rump's ignorant remarks on women, this will help her.
Remember also that there are lots of military personnel in MO (Fort Leonard Wood) and she is viewed positively by vets and military personnel. One other thing now going is that rural MO has lots and lots of retirees and disabled folks on disability and social security, and we've just heard the nonsense crap by Mitch M. that these drive the federal debt. Tariffs too have been making inroads. There's been news articles on a factory in southern MO of having to possibly close or reduce it's work force due to tariffs, Mid Continent Nail Corporation (500 jobs in an economically depressed part of the state). Steel tariffs on Canadian imports has shuttered a Harley Davidson factory in KCMO, and I'm sure that the list goes on and on. The impact of the Nail company is pretty major, it hits a smaller rural town in SE Missouri (Poplar Bluff) w/ a population of almost 20000...here's a snapshot of what's going to happen to rump support...
Also, another thing that Hawley is harping about, which is scary, is his vow to keep the supreme court conservative, even thought they already have had two picks nominated and seated (one illegally).
There are lots of things going for Claire, so we'll GOTV for Claire, and the state of MO and its people will show the country how it is done (along w/ the rest of us).
**********************************************************
COLEMAN: Mr. Pratt, will the people who lost their jobs at Mid Continent be able to find jobs elsewhere?
PRATT: It will be tough in our area. I mean, it's an area of 17,000 people. We're the second-largest employer in the area, employing over 500 at one time. And it will be tough for them to find other jobs.
COLEMAN: In the 2016 election, Donald Trump got 80 percent of the vote in Poplar Bluff and in surrounding counties. Has local support for President Trump changed because of what is happening to your company?
PRATT: Several of our employees have been interviewed by different media groups, and, you know, most of those employees have said that they voted for Trump and they still support Trump, but they want him to see what's going on, look at what he's doing to our company, to them, to the individual and to all the ancillary suppliers that we have, as well. I think they still support him at this point. But if it gets to the point where they lose their jobs, I think the support in our area is going to diminish. You know, if it was me, and I'd lost my job, my support for him would have diminished, as well.
her campaign has been nearly flawless
pstokely
(10,530 posts)it will probably depend on turnout, haven't seen many signs for either in KC South of the River