"D'you hear that, LuAnn? Great! More illegal Mexicans."

All the Best to Mexico in this; God knows they can expect no help from this regime if the damage exceeds expectations.

How about the caravan of refugees coming from Central America?

I've been thinking that any bad weather is going to be dangerous to people living in tents.

In the era of global warming

of tropical systems like what happened with Michael and Willa. Climate change may not be seriously effecting the number of tropical systems, but it certainly appears to affect how rapidly and how much they intensify.

extremes when discussing Climate Change.

After tropical storm Erika, in Barbuda after Irma, and on Dominica again after Mariah. Doing disaster work. Nobody knows how horrifying it is to see the damage, and the forces (embedded tornadoes) at work...

and for sharing some of your story. I have a soft spot in my heart for Dominica - beautiful place and a gentle people (25 years ago anyway).

It's almost like how it was in 2005 (the year of Katrina, Rita, and Wilma) in the Atlantic when they ran out of names and started naming storms with Greek letters.

And this thing is anticipated to potentially churn through Mexico and then emerge in some form, in the Gulf of Mexico. Some of the models are showing possible interaction of it with a large central-eastern U.S. trough, which could help spin up a nor'easter to impact the U.S. east coast.

Ugh.

Sheesh. Here in Austin, we got a boil water notice.
Now it's Hurricane Willa on the way!

Lakes are at capacity, dams are still spilling, and
water treatment plants can't handle the silt.

I expect lots of evacuations around the lakes and
elsewhere too!

I hate the droughts, but I also hate this!

Just going from one extreme to the other ...

Last edited Tue Oct 23, 2018, 06:09 PM - Edit history (1)

Later in the week, right after it cruises through the panhandle of Florida. We really don't need this. Think of all the folks on the way to the border. They're going to be soaked. I hope they find shelter in the storm. Please let it all end soon!

ETA: Good news, migrating folks are not close to the storm. Per PBS Newshour 1609 October 23rd

The 5 day forecast doesn't have it getting out of Mexico: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_ep4+shtml/083930.shtml?tswind120#contents . If it's headed anywhere in the US, it's Texas.

That will be moving west to east at just the right time to create some wind and rain in North Carolina. You're right though, only time will tell.

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/hurricane-willa-mexico-track-noreaster-this-weekend-east-coast-23-10-2018/

Hurricane Willa to become Nor'easter, hit East Coast this weekend after slamming Mexico
12:35 PM EDT U.S.

BY JEFF BERARDELLI / CBS NEWS

As Hurricane Willa moves onshore as a major hurricane today in Mexico, its next move is already planned. The storm is on track to become the East Coast's first major Nor'easter of the season, bringing damaging winds, pounding surf and even some heavy, wet inland snow this weekend.

Currently located more than 2,000 miles away from New York City, Willa is making landfall today on the Pacific coast of Mexico, just south of the resort town of Mazatlan. Willa briefly hit Category 5 strength on Monday, becoming the third Category 5 storm of the Eastern Pacific season, which is now the most energetic on record.

Willa is carrying supercharged Pacific energy and even moisture from another tropical system, Vincente, as it slams ashore in Mexico. While the storm is forecast to lose strength as it crosses the mountains of Mexico, it will retain its identity as it moves towards Texas. And that is where the transition from tropical storm system to Nor'easter will begin. There will be some big impacts along the way.

In Texas, up to several inches of rain will fall on already saturated ground. Having endured major flooding in the Hill Country less than a week ago, Texans are preparing for round two Wednesday. This time the rain will not be nearly as heavy and it won't last as long. But flash flooding is a threat in localized downpours.

And that's just the beginning as the storm moves into the deep South.

More at the link.