Polls tighten in key Kansas, Missouri races one week before Election Day

Source: KMBC

Real Clear Politics aggregated many reliable polls, including one conducted last week by Missouri Scout that had Hawley up +4, and the website listed Hawley with a +2 point lead. A poll conducted in early October by Fox News listed the race as a tie, and a CNN poll conducted Sept. 25-29 said McCaskill had a +3 lead.

FiveThirtyEight from ABC News believes the race is a “tossup,” but numbers lean slightly in McCaskill’s favor with the incumbent senator with a four-in-seven chance or 58.3-percent chance of winning the race.

However, that number has narrowed considerably in the past few weeks. Hawley, the current Missouri attorney general, now has a three-in-seven chance or 41.7-percent chance of winning.

Missouri voters lean 19 points more Republican than the nation average and it is the 14th-most Republican state in the country, and FiveThirtyEight also projects a 48.7 percent voter turnout on Nov. 6.

Read more: https://www.kmbc.com/article/polls-tighten-in-key-kansas-missouri-races-one-week-before-election-day/24437619