Trump Polling At Only 41-42% Against Possible Democratic Foes
Source: Public Policy Polling
PPP's newest national poll finds that at the midway point of Donald Trump's term as President, he's a clear underdog for reelection.
Trump gets just 41 or 42% in head to head match ups against 7 likely Democratic candidates for President. He trails Joe Biden 53-41, Bernie Sanders 51-41, Kamala Harris 48-41, Beto ORourke 47-41, Elizabeth Warren 48-42, and Cory Booker and Kirsten Gillibrand each 47-42.
Trumps low 40s support for reelection essentially tracks with his approval numbers. Only 40% of voters approve of the job hes doing to 57% who disapprove.
It really doesnt matter which Democratic hopeful you test against him right now, said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. Voters prefer any of them over Trump at halftime of his Presidency.
The shutdown situation is not doing anything to help Trumps cause. Only 35% of voters agree with Trump that the government should be kept closed until he gets funding for the wall to 60% who disagree. 57% think Congress should vote today to reopen the government without funding the wall, to 38% who are opposed. 55% of voters pin the blame for the shutdown on Trump and the Republicans in Congress to 43% who blame the Democrats in Congress. And on a related note about whos coming out ahead in the shutdown, voters say theyd prefer to have either Chuck Schumer (46-41) or Nancy Pelosi (47-44) over Trump as President.
Read more: https://www.publicpolicypolling.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/01/PPP_Release_National_12219.pdf
Laura PourMeADrink
(42,770 posts)But this is great news. May the best person win !!!
sandensea
(21,666 posts)Somewhere, in some smoke-filled GOPee meeting room, plans to "elevate" Pence to the presidency are hatching - big time.
Laura PourMeADrink
(42,770 posts)In 2020..but will be so soiled
watoos
(7,142 posts)Trump doesn't have 41%.
regnaD kciN
(26,045 posts)...is how does this fall state-by-state? As we learned last time around, to oust Trump, were either going to need to flip all three of Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin, or find a way to flip other Trump states with the same number of electoral votes. Otherwise, all well get is a larger popular-vote margin in the same blue states, while 45 gains another electoral college victory. So, which of these candidates will do that?
John Fante
(3,479 posts)It would take a Herculean effort by Putin to get Cheeto over the top in those states.
cstanleytech
(26,319 posts)and after Trump I suspect there are alot of Americans who probably feel the same way and might vote for such a ticket.
Laura PourMeADrink
(42,770 posts)Likes different people at this point.
lagomorph777
(30,613 posts)JustABozoOnThisBus
(23,367 posts)Yes, Beavis and Butthead are far more empathetic than Trump. They got my vote (if they are "D"
demosincebirth
(12,543 posts)Hangdog Slim
(81 posts)Astonishing that this fraud could possibly poll that high still. But you know, I learned a long time ago that you just can't argue with the true believer. You can't reason with a cult.
truthisfreedom
(23,155 posts)JI7
(89,269 posts)no surprise it's difficult to do many common sense things. and they have more power even if they are a minority.
thesquanderer
(11,992 posts)karynnj
(59,504 posts)Biden, are essentially at the same point. (The difference with Biden may be name recognition) My takeaway is that this poll is mostly a referendum on Trump. Note how little difference there is in his number. What varies is the number who refuse to choose and a small difference (46 to 48 when the alternative is Warren, Gillibrand, Pelosi or Schumer.)
What would be instructive is to look back to where past Presidents polled vs generic (the other party) at this point in time. Then consider that of 1980, 1986, 1992, 1996, 2004, 2012 -- only 2004 was close. while it is conventional to say that the approval number at this point is useless because there is a lot of time for things to change. The counter is that over the entire 2 years he has been President, he has been below 40 far more often than above 45 - something not true for the even the losing Presidents.
PS I think Nancy's numbers will rise because more than anyone she has been consistently focused on making government work - and right now, working to open the government.
thesquanderer
(11,992 posts)National popular vote doesn't tell you who would win the election, though at least the spread here is greater. Still, I'd like to know how these candidates fare against Trump in Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania.
Takket
(21,626 posts)BlueWI
(1,736 posts)Organize, craft a stellar campaign, and work for every vote. There are too many offices and too much at stake to risk a repeat of 2016, when collective overconfidence resulted in a President Trump. 2018 was an important step, with more action needed!