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brooklynite

(94,729 posts)
Wed Jan 23, 2019, 12:18 AM Jan 2019

Trump Polling At Only 41-42% Against Possible Democratic Foes

Source: Public Policy Polling

PPP's newest national poll finds that at the midway point of Donald Trump's term as President, he's a clear underdog for reelection.

Trump gets just 41 or 42% in head to head match ups against 7 likely Democratic candidates for President. He trails Joe Biden 53-41, Bernie Sanders 51-41, Kamala Harris 48-41, Beto O’Rourke 47-41, Elizabeth Warren 48-42, and Cory Booker and Kirsten Gillibrand each 47-42.
Trump’s low 40s support for reelection essentially tracks with his approval numbers. Only 40% of voters approve of the job he’s doing to 57% who disapprove.

“It really doesn’t matter which Democratic hopeful you test against him right now,” said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. “Voters prefer any of them over Trump at halftime of his Presidency.”

The shutdown situation is not doing anything to help Trump’s cause. Only 35% of voters agree with Trump that the government should be kept closed until he gets funding for the wall to 60% who disagree. 57% think Congress should vote today to reopen the government without funding the wall, to 38% who are opposed. 55% of voters pin the blame for the shutdown on Trump and the Republicans in Congress to 43% who blame the Democrats in Congress. And on a related note about who’s coming out ahead in the shutdown, voters say they’d prefer to have either Chuck Schumer (46-41) or Nancy Pelosi (47-44) over Trump as President.

Read more: https://www.publicpolicypolling.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/01/PPP_Release_National_12219.pdf

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Trump Polling At Only 41-42% Against Possible Democratic Foes (Original Post) brooklynite Jan 2019 OP
Great. Although doubt he'll be the nominee. Laura PourMeADrink Jan 2019 #1
I agree. sandensea Jan 2019 #2
But will be a grand dilemma, eh? He will want to run Laura PourMeADrink Jan 2019 #6
We already know that polls are rigged, watoos Jan 2019 #3
The unspoken question here... regnaD kciN Jan 2019 #4
Not sure, but Trump is polling terribly in WI/PA/MI. John Fante Jan 2019 #9
I have said for awhile that a Biden/Beto ticket would be something I would not object to cstanleytech Jan 2019 #5
Yes! B B 2020. The perfect ticket. Imho. Everyone Laura PourMeADrink Jan 2019 #7
At this point I'd vote for Beavis & Butthead if it would get Pres Turd out of office. lagomorph777 Jan 2019 #8
@RealBeavis: heh, heh, lagomorph said "turd". JustABozoOnThisBus Jan 2019 #13
Still sickening demosincebirth Jan 2019 #10
That high? Hangdog Slim Jan 2019 #11
Yawn. Shut down his twitter account for endless TOS violations. truthisfreedom Jan 2019 #12
there are a lot of assholes in this country JI7 Jan 2019 #14
Interesting that the demonized Nancy Pelosi polls as well as Kirsten Gillibrand (n/t) thesquanderer Jan 2019 #15
Why single out Gilibrand -- there is very little difference between any Democrat, other than Joe karynnj Jan 2019 #19
On 11/8/16, Hillary beat Trump 48% to 46%. Popular vote poll figures like this are misleading. thesquanderer Jan 2019 #16
All three of those states had huge blue waves Takket Jan 2019 #18
Reliance on polls is folly. BlueWI Jan 2019 #17

sandensea

(21,666 posts)
2. I agree.
Wed Jan 23, 2019, 12:26 AM
Jan 2019

Somewhere, in some smoke-filled GOPee meeting room, plans to "elevate" Pence to the presidency are hatching - big time.

regnaD kciN

(26,045 posts)
4. The unspoken question here...
Wed Jan 23, 2019, 12:28 AM
Jan 2019

...is “how does this fall state-by-state?” As we learned last time around, to oust Trump, we’re either going to need to flip all three of Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin, or find a way to flip other Trump states with the same number of electoral votes. Otherwise, all we’ll get is a larger popular-vote margin in the same blue states, while 45 gains another electoral college victory. So, which of these candidates will do that?

John Fante

(3,479 posts)
9. Not sure, but Trump is polling terribly in WI/PA/MI.
Wed Jan 23, 2019, 01:05 AM
Jan 2019

It would take a Herculean effort by Putin to get Cheeto over the top in those states.

cstanleytech

(26,319 posts)
5. I have said for awhile that a Biden/Beto ticket would be something I would not object to
Wed Jan 23, 2019, 12:36 AM
Jan 2019

and after Trump I suspect there are alot of Americans who probably feel the same way and might vote for such a ticket.

JustABozoOnThisBus

(23,367 posts)
13. @RealBeavis: heh, heh, lagomorph said "turd".
Wed Jan 23, 2019, 06:45 AM
Jan 2019

Yes, Beavis and Butthead are far more empathetic than Trump. They got my vote (if they are "D&quot

Hangdog Slim

(81 posts)
11. That high?
Wed Jan 23, 2019, 04:22 AM
Jan 2019

Astonishing that this fraud could possibly poll that high still. But you know, I learned a long time ago that you just can't argue with the true believer. You can't reason with a cult.

JI7

(89,269 posts)
14. there are a lot of assholes in this country
Wed Jan 23, 2019, 07:35 AM
Jan 2019

no surprise it's difficult to do many common sense things. and they have more power even if they are a minority.

karynnj

(59,504 posts)
19. Why single out Gilibrand -- there is very little difference between any Democrat, other than Joe
Thu Jan 24, 2019, 10:00 AM
Jan 2019

Biden, are essentially at the same point. (The difference with Biden may be name recognition) My takeaway is that this poll is mostly a referendum on Trump. Note how little difference there is in his number. What varies is the number who refuse to choose and a small difference (46 to 48 when the alternative is Warren, Gillibrand, Pelosi or Schumer.)

What would be instructive is to look back to where past Presidents polled vs generic (the other party) at this point in time. Then consider that of 1980, 1986, 1992, 1996, 2004, 2012 -- only 2004 was close. while it is conventional to say that the approval number at this point is useless because there is a lot of time for things to change. The counter is that over the entire 2 years he has been President, he has been below 40 far more often than above 45 - something not true for the even the losing Presidents.

PS I think Nancy's numbers will rise because more than anyone she has been consistently focused on making government work - and right now, working to open the government.

thesquanderer

(11,992 posts)
16. On 11/8/16, Hillary beat Trump 48% to 46%. Popular vote poll figures like this are misleading.
Wed Jan 23, 2019, 11:56 AM
Jan 2019

National popular vote doesn't tell you who would win the election, though at least the spread here is greater. Still, I'd like to know how these candidates fare against Trump in Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania.

BlueWI

(1,736 posts)
17. Reliance on polls is folly.
Wed Jan 23, 2019, 11:44 PM
Jan 2019

Organize, craft a stellar campaign, and work for every vote. There are too many offices and too much at stake to risk a repeat of 2016, when collective overconfidence resulted in a President Trump. 2018 was an important step, with more action needed!

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