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brooklynite

(94,679 posts)
Fri Jan 10, 2020, 10:36 AM Jan 2020

Iran denies downing plane, says West should share evidence

Source: Politico

TEHRAN, Iran — Iran on Friday denied Western allegations that one of its own missiles downed a Ukrainian jetliner that crashed outside Tehran, and called on the U.S. and Canada to share any information they have on the crash, which killed all 176 people on board.

Western leaders said the plane appeared to have been unintentionally hit by a surface-to-air missile just hours after Iran launched around a dozen ballistic missiles at two U.S. bases in Iraq to avenge the killing of its top general in an American airstrike last week.

“What is obvious for us, and what we can say with certainty, is that no missile hit the plane,” Ali Abedzadeh, head of Iran’s national aviation department, told a press conference.

“If they are really sure, they should come and show their findings to the world” in accordance with international standards, he added.

Read more: https://www.politico.com/news/2020/01/10/iran-denies-downing-plane-097135

28 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Iran denies downing plane, says West should share evidence (Original Post) brooklynite Jan 2020 OP
The NYT video clearly shows something streaking towards the plane, followed by an explosion. brooklynite Jan 2020 #1
Yes, that video clearly shows that jberryhill Jan 2020 #3
The same "chain of custody" argument can be made about the plane's black box... brooklynite Jan 2020 #4
Except that there are a variety of mechanisms built in to avoid that jberryhill Jan 2020 #6
I think the black box will shed light on the probable cause still_one Jan 2020 #13
The wreckage will be covered with evidence C_U_L8R Jan 2020 #2
The crash site has been scrubbed clean. Mosby Jan 2020 #5
The crash-site was cleaned up 12 hours after the plane-crash. Everything is already gone. DetlefK Jan 2020 #9
Denial is always the dominant position following an accidental shoot-down. bullwinkle428 Jan 2020 #7
Malaysia Airline Flight 17 in 2014 shot down over Iliyah Jan 2020 #10
"what we can say with certainty, is that no missile hit the plane" CaptainTruth Jan 2020 #8
Tricksy they is n/t lark Jan 2020 #11
Who takes video of nothing at night? Then perfectly catches the moment a plane gets hit. If it were captain jack Jan 2020 #12
Someone who was alarmed by the first missile that missed, perhaps? jberryhill Jan 2020 #14
Post removed Post removed Jan 2020 #20
I'm shocked sarisataka Jan 2020 #15
I'm sure no fragments of a Russian surface-to-air missile will remain to be found. JustABozoOnThisBus Jan 2020 #27
Iran's Military and Air Defense ScratchCat Jan 2020 #16
It isn't credible amcgrath Jan 2020 #17
So Trudeau is lying? SpazzTheCat Jan 2020 #18
Oh baloney MosheFeingold Jan 2020 #19
We have ground-based anti-aircraft missiles positioned INSIDE Iran? jberryhill Jan 2020 #21
I wondered how long sarisataka Jan 2020 #22
Satellite based directed energy weapon jberryhill Jan 2020 #24
US has no SAM sites in range that could reach a plane 3 minutes after it took off. EX500rider Jan 2020 #25
That's absurd. onenote Jan 2020 #26
"At this point, the likelihood is that US forces shot it down by mistake." EX500rider Jan 2020 #28
The Iranians need to admit they shot it down, albeit accidentally. DemocratSinceBirth Jan 2020 #23
 

jberryhill

(62,444 posts)
3. Yes, that video clearly shows that
Fri Jan 10, 2020, 10:46 AM
Jan 2020

However, when you are talking about "proof" of things, then you are going to have to be able to also prove just exactly who shot that video, what was the chain of custody of the device and the file that NYT published, etc..

Now, I don't have any reason to believe that the video is not what it purports to be.

But, mark my words, sometime soon a major controversy of some kind is going to turn on an altered video.

Again, because of the jumpy nature of things on this site, I'm NOT saying this video is altered, and it is, in all likelihood, what it purports to be.

The reason for this request, however, is that Iran, and others, would like to know our monitoring satellite capabilities, as part of the larger body of evidence here is the detection of the targeting radar and missile launches by our satellites.

This is an interesting site to play with:

https://maps.esri.com/rc/sat2/index.html
 

jberryhill

(62,444 posts)
6. Except that there are a variety of mechanisms built in to avoid that
Fri Jan 10, 2020, 10:57 AM
Jan 2020

But, yes, nobody would base conclusions on second-hand data absent actual access to the recorder itself.

The flight data recorder and voice recorder are specifically designed for forensic purposes.

DetlefK

(16,423 posts)
9. The crash-site was cleaned up 12 hours after the plane-crash. Everything is already gone.
Fri Jan 10, 2020, 11:02 AM
Jan 2020

Saw a tweet a few hours ago: The wreck has already been removed, the site is not cordoned off and has already been scoured clean by metal-scavengers. Iran shot a few photos, but all the other evidence has either been destroyed or contaminated.




You know what that reminds me off?

In 2012 or so, there was a huge anti-IS protest in a turkish town just across the border from Syria. (Forgot name, but it begins with an S.)
Suddenly a bomb went off (for which the IS later claimed responsibility). As the protesters were still reeling from the explosion, dealing with dead and wounded, suddenly turkish security-forces descended out of nowhere and bludgeoned the protesters out of the area. For "safety-reasons". Then the plaza was hosed down, washing away any shred of evidence what had happened.

An investigation done by the turkish government absolved the turkish government of wrongdoing.

bullwinkle428

(20,629 posts)
7. Denial is always the dominant position following an accidental shoot-down.
Fri Jan 10, 2020, 10:59 AM
Jan 2020

The Soviet fighter pilot responsible for shooting down the Korean Airlines 747 in 1983 refuses to believe to this day that he shot down an aircraft filled with civilian passengers.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Korean_Air_Lines_Flight_007

Iliyah

(25,111 posts)
10. Malaysia Airline Flight 17 in 2014 shot down over
Fri Jan 10, 2020, 11:21 AM
Jan 2020

eastern Ukraine by Russia where I think Russia still denies.

One thing I have to say about Iran, they are a match with t-rump on lies.

That said, R.I.P. and comfort for their families.

CaptainTruth

(6,599 posts)
8. "what we can say with certainty, is that no missile hit the plane"
Fri Jan 10, 2020, 11:00 AM
Jan 2020

True, because the type of missle used (Tor) doesn't hit its target, it has a proximity fuse that causes it to explode near the target, but not hit it.

Always look very carefully at what politicians say, it's often not what they appear to be saying & the media almost always misses it.

captain jack

(316 posts)
12. Who takes video of nothing at night? Then perfectly catches the moment a plane gets hit. If it were
Fri Jan 10, 2020, 11:26 AM
Jan 2020

a dash cam? Maybe. I would think the only way that video (the missile hitting something vid) is legit is if that person was aware that this was going to happen. Otherwise, the odds of winning the lottery are better.

And, this is certainly not an attempt to take blame away from Iran. If I'm wrong, so be it. It's just an attempt to not insult my ability to process information and visuals and blindly believe what my country tells me.

My two cents.

 

jberryhill

(62,444 posts)
14. Someone who was alarmed by the first missile that missed, perhaps?
Fri Jan 10, 2020, 11:43 AM
Jan 2020

And then decided to start recording video after seeing something odd that happened in the sky?

I was not aware that The New York Times was your country.

Response to jberryhill (Reply #14)

sarisataka

(18,733 posts)
15. I'm shocked
Fri Jan 10, 2020, 11:46 AM
Jan 2020

That Iran is denying everything but completely cleans the crash site. Well, not really shocked.

Anyone want to bet the investigators they have invited will be provided portions of the wreckage but the majority will not be available?

JustABozoOnThisBus

(23,362 posts)
27. I'm sure no fragments of a Russian surface-to-air missile will remain to be found.
Fri Jan 10, 2020, 05:54 PM
Jan 2020

Iran's investigators will investigate.

The black boxes will be as clean as the recordings of Epstein's suicide.

ScratchCat

(2,002 posts)
16. Iran's Military and Air Defense
Fri Jan 10, 2020, 11:57 AM
Jan 2020

would know the difference between a departing air liner and an incoming bomber.

At this point, the likelihood is that US forces shot it down by mistake.

amcgrath

(397 posts)
17. It isn't credible
Fri Jan 10, 2020, 12:08 PM
Jan 2020

that the US could fire a missile into Iran without Iran knowing about it - and impossible that if they had, the Iranian government wouldn't be telling the world.

 

SpazzTheCat

(69 posts)
18. So Trudeau is lying?
Fri Jan 10, 2020, 12:21 PM
Jan 2020

The Canadian, UK, Australian Prime Ministers have all made statements that Iran shot the plan down.

Iran's own actions after the crash would support the argument that Iran shot the plane down. No one who wants to clear their name destroys all the evidence that could exonerate themselves.

Do you really think the US did it????

MosheFeingold

(3,051 posts)
19. Oh baloney
Fri Jan 10, 2020, 12:21 PM
Jan 2020

First of all, we'd have to have had a fighter smack over Tehran to launch an air-to-air missile. I guess that is theoretically possible, but highly unlikely.

Second, this kind of thing is extremely common in the fog of war. It was some junior-grade LT on a SAM who freaked out.

 

jberryhill

(62,444 posts)
21. We have ground-based anti-aircraft missiles positioned INSIDE Iran?
Fri Jan 10, 2020, 12:55 PM
Jan 2020

Whoa.

Iran ought to think about having us get those out of there.

If the US shot it down, then why do you suppose Iran is denying it was shot down.

Don't you think Iran would want everyone to know that the US shot it down?

sarisataka

(18,733 posts)
22. I wondered how long
Fri Jan 10, 2020, 01:03 PM
Jan 2020

It would be between Iran's denial they shot it down and the resurrection of the idea the US shot it down.

The question is how the US would have managed to shoot the plane.
Do you think the US may have used a Magic Missile?

 

jberryhill

(62,444 posts)
24. Satellite based directed energy weapon
Fri Jan 10, 2020, 02:02 PM
Jan 2020

It's part of the technology that we recovered from the alien spacecraft at Roswell.

The real question is why, if the US shot it down, the Iranians are not even claiming that.

Mark my words, sometime in the next few weeks, you will see this claim somewhere on the internet.

onenote

(42,737 posts)
26. That's absurd.
Fri Jan 10, 2020, 03:19 PM
Jan 2020

US forces are just as likely, if not mores, to know the difference between a departing commercial airliner and an incoming bomber.

Plus, the plane had just left Tehran -- where exactly was the US anti-aircraft that you think shot it down located?

Finally, if there was any remote likelihood that the US had shot down the plane, don't you think Iran would be screaming about that at the top of its lungs?

EX500rider

(10,849 posts)
28. "At this point, the likelihood is that US forces shot it down by mistake."
Fri Jan 10, 2020, 06:31 PM
Jan 2020

By what method exactly? The nearest US forces are over 400 miles away. So they acquired/locked on/fired a missile and hit a plane 400+ miles away in 3 minutes? We have zero systems capable of that.

I suppose you can put on a tin-foil hat and say a US stealth fighter was loitering over Tehran and taking pot shots at airliners...but stealth is low visibility/low radar signature, not zero visibility/zero radar. They do show up on radar at some point, especially when they open their weapons pods and fire a missile.

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,710 posts)
23. The Iranians need to admit they shot it down, albeit accidentally.
Fri Jan 10, 2020, 01:05 PM
Jan 2020

The victims, some of whom were Iranian citizens, deserve as much.

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