CDC: 20 million Americans thought to have contracted COVID-19
Source: MarketWatch
The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) said Thursday that an estimated 20 million Americans, about 6% of the population, have likely been infected with COVID-19, according to a nationally representative survey it conducted using blood samples. This figure, which takes into account asymptomatic people and those who were sickened but did not get tested for COVID-19, is more than eight times larger than the estimated 2.3 million tests that have been performed in the U.S. At least 122,000 people in the U.S. have died from the disease caused by the coronavirus, according to data aggregated by Johns Hopkins University.
Read more: https://www.marketwatch.com/story/cdc-20-million-americans-thought-to-have-contracted-covid-19-2020-06-25?mod=mw_latestnews
It's based on assumptions, well, since tRump cares more about statues than real live humans, we'll never know.
Testing.
Testing.
Testing.
turbinetree
(24,703 posts)Botany
(70,510 posts)20 million cases of the Trump virus. So much winning.
Igel
(35,317 posts)You can't uncatch it.
The 20 million aren't those currently infected and fighting the virus. It's the total number who have been infected. That number might go down because it's in error, but it won't go down as people recover.
IronLionZion
(45,447 posts)Starfury
(812 posts)IronLionZion
(45,447 posts)so he doesn't like testing
bdamomma
(63,868 posts)the draft the EU compiled will not be a draft any longer, it will be indefinite that US travelers will not be permitted to step foot in Europe.
We need to get him out. ASAP
kimbutgar
(21,155 posts)Take a cruise, stay on their private boats or villas in the south of France.
Or those rich kids who do a semester abroad.
bdamomma
(63,868 posts)they have multiple passports, they can get in.
kimbutgar
(21,155 posts)But it would be interesting if the EU says NO, no exceptions. Just to even piss of MF45 more.
bdamomma
(63,868 posts)the rich jump out of their windows.
kimbutgar
(21,155 posts)yaesu
(8,020 posts)its been such a mess that no one knows what the real numbers are.
I see this both ways.
One to inflate the number of people who've contracted it so people feel more comfortable with perhaps getting infected...well, 18 million others have it too!
On the other hand, it means that a whole representative number of people out there are keeping the virus going and since 18 million didn't know they were carriers, if they die from it, they won't be counted that way.
Wellstone ruled
(34,661 posts)examines the Mathematical modeling. Early on estimates were in this range if and only if,methods were not taking to bend the curve.
By this time next year,we will have those scary body counts as fact.
Right now,the Media is so friggin afraid of doing their jobs because of the Trump Twitter Assassinations.
Renew Deal
(81,860 posts)It was previously estimated that 60-80% would eventually catch it.
SpazzTheCat
(69 posts)If you take the current 7-day average positivity rate for the US of 5.95% and apply that to the US population of 331M, you get a total number of infections of 19.7M. That is very much in the same ballpark as what the CDC is saying.
If you take our current number of deaths 115K and divided it by the 19.7M infected you get a mortality rate of .59%. This is probably also in the ballpark of the actual number. We know the current mortality rate of 4.88% is very overstated due to the small population of positive cases we have.
Current Positivity Rate: 5.95%
US Population: 331M
5.95% x 331M = 19.7M Infected
115K deaths / 19.7M infected = .59% mortality rate
IronLionZion
(45,447 posts)so they can fight against socialism by keeping it to themselves instead of spreading it.
NickB79
(19,246 posts)But thtaken again, a less lethal disease with very high communicability (bigger R-0) can still kill lots of people.
NickB79
(19,246 posts)That's roughly 21,000 dead/per percentage point.
That means we can expect around 1.5 million dead Americans by the time we reach herd immunity of 70% infected.
Pobeka
(4,999 posts)Recent study on 30 or so recovered patients show antibodies are not detected 2-3 months after recovery.
I'd track down the link if you like, it was here on DU a couple of days ago.
NickB79
(19,246 posts)Guess we'll know for sure this winter.
DeminPennswoods
(15,286 posts)because the novel coronavirus has only been around for less than 6 months. The data simply isn't there to do much more than hypothesize.
There is no good data on how many "asymptomatic" carries there are. UPMC testing of all patients visiting their hospitals/doctors shows it's 1 in 400 (based on testing 15,000 with PCR, not antibody tests). But who knows it that's true elsewhere?