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Omaha Steve

(99,705 posts)
Sun Sep 13, 2020, 07:56 AM Sep 2020

Paulette rolls toward Bermuda; Sally threatens Gulf Coast

Source: AP

MIAMI (AP) — Residents of Bermuda were urged to prepare to protect life and property ahead of Hurricane Paulette, which was forecast to become a dangerous hurricane Sunday as Tropical Storm Sally intensified in the Gulf of Mexico.

Paulette gained hurricane status late Saturday and was expected to bring storm surge, coastal flooding and high winds to Bermuda, according to a U.S. National Hurricane Center advisory.

Paulette had maximum sustained winds of 75 mph (120 kph) that were expected to strengthen as the system charted a curved course toward Bermuda, forecasters said. The biggest threats were strong winds, storm surge, up to 6 inches (15 centimeters) of rain and life-threatening surf and rip currents. The storm was 310 miles (500 kilometers) southeast of the territory Sunday morning.

It’s the strongest in terms of winds of six disturbances the center was tracking in the Atlantic Ocean and Gulf of Mexico.



This Saturday, Sept. 12, 2020 image provided by NOAA shows the formation of Tropical Storm Sally. Tropical Storm Sally has formed off south Florida, becoming the earliest 18th-named tropical storm on record in a busy Atlantic hurricane season. (NOAA via AP)


Read more: https://apnews.com/482d975ef43dadb8c1d6ffdfa12d4545

13 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Paulette rolls toward Bermuda; Sally threatens Gulf Coast (Original Post) Omaha Steve Sep 2020 OP
I'm keeping an eye on Sally BumRushDaShow Sep 2020 #1
She predicted to spin up fast, keep a close eye on her Baclava Sep 2020 #5
The last time I looked at it on COD's GOES-East site BumRushDaShow Sep 2020 #8
yeah, give it a day over the Gulf, that's the problem with models, they need a center Baclava Sep 2020 #9
There is a recon going now around the perimeter BumRushDaShow Sep 2020 #12
Latest update, Sally slowing at landfall as a strong Cat 2 right at New Orleans, massive rain Baclava Sep 2020 #2
Bermuda has generally avoid hits BumRushDaShow Sep 2020 #11
another map ananda Sep 2020 #3
and another ananda Sep 2020 #4
National Hurricane Center link is what you need Baclava Sep 2020 #6
What? No sharpie lines? Marthe48 Sep 2020 #10
the upcoming tropical waves off of Africa is like a machine, beachbumbob Sep 2020 #7
Does anyone know if New Orleans is better scipan Sep 2020 #13

BumRushDaShow

(129,400 posts)
1. I'm keeping an eye on Sally
Sun Sep 13, 2020, 08:04 AM
Sep 2020

since that one's path seems to have it recurving back to the east as its move north after making landfall and we often get rain from the remnants of these storms as they move with a front.

This existing set of threats is wild! "Teddy" may be coming soon.

BumRushDaShow

(129,400 posts)
8. The last time I looked at it on COD's GOES-East site
Sun Sep 13, 2020, 11:27 AM
Sep 2020

it was just blobs of convection - even on LWIR. I couldn't even find any center of circulation through all that.

At least Paulette has some mojo hurricane spin and even TD-20 is trying to get its spin-on, despite the interference from the latest off the African coast that may end up being TD-21.

BumRushDaShow

(129,400 posts)
12. There is a recon going now around the perimeter
Sun Sep 13, 2020, 12:02 PM
Sep 2020

and the previous mission in there seemed to show a wild choice for where to deploy the dropsondes -

 

Baclava

(12,047 posts)
2. Latest update, Sally slowing at landfall as a strong Cat 2 right at New Orleans, massive rain
Sun Sep 13, 2020, 08:18 AM
Sep 2020

15-20 inches of rain, 6-9 ft of storm surge for MS delta area, SE LA

Paulette to hit Bermuda directly as a Cat 2/3

BumRushDaShow

(129,400 posts)
11. Bermuda has generally avoid hits
Sun Sep 13, 2020, 11:47 AM
Sep 2020

because the Western Atlantic Ridge ("Bermuda High" ) is usually right nearby. But right now, that has been displaced to the north and east and so things are rolling around accordingly to reflect that.




Almost a year ago this month, Bermuda was brushed by TS-Jerry, that had fortunately never made it beyond TS status and had become post-tropical by the time it reached Bermuda (due to being sheared apart and interacting with other systems in the area like Erin and Karen).


MW of Jerry on its approach to Bermuda -
v

 

beachbumbob

(9,263 posts)
7. the upcoming tropical waves off of Africa is like a machine,
Sun Sep 13, 2020, 10:35 AM
Sep 2020

those are going to be the issues over next month or more

scipan

(2,356 posts)
13. Does anyone know if New Orleans is better
Sun Sep 13, 2020, 02:32 PM
Sep 2020

Prepared than they were for Katrina. I remember the pumps got flooded so stopped working then.

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