Great info; thanks.

...I've talked to both Julian and Sean, and I would have thought Sean had the greater opportunity for a pickup.

But he's from Kinderhook, so that's not surprising. The re-drawn map should help Julian, but he needs to get more of a presence around the town of Hudson.

However the new district has more RapeubliCONs in it than the old one did. It's going to be an uphill climb, but it can be done.
Julian has been out pressing the flesh every single day, and I know there is a huge force of supporters working for him in Ulster County. My fret is that in areas like Orange and Dutchess Counties, where Julian is not as well known, nor are Democratic candidates as well liked as others, it will be a tough sell. That is unless people become aware of Gibson's voting record. It doesn't seem that Gibson is running on his record.

We'll see...at least command central sees it as winnable.

But for the most part it's still a red county. Believe me, I work there. The only reason it's getting bluer is because some of the RepubliCONs have died, and there are more non-enrolleds.

If Obama did carry Dutchess County, it was a fluke. FDR couldn't carry him, and it was his home county. FDR couldn't carry Dutchess once in the four times he ran!

There are still so many areas in Dutchess that are so far right, it's not funny. Places like Rhinebeck, Beacon and Poughkeepsie may be turning bluer, but the more rural areas are redder than Rudolf's nose!

Still upset that Chivukula/Lance isn't on the race to watch list. Yep - the 7th NJ was 're-drawn' - but . . . within it - the demographics have shifted dramatically. Still the same wealth - but it "looks" different these days. And in the continued divide between haves and have nots - and the number of 'hidden' working poor in NJ - and I think Chivukula has a shot. He WAS on a race to watch list - but was hoping he would be on this one.

This area has been a republican stronghold since forever!

BTW, in my house we refer to Ann Marie Burkle as the Light Bulb Lady.

http://www.syracuse.com/news/index.ssf/2011/02/rep_ann_marie_buerkle_seeks_to.html

This article failed to mention the race in Minnesota between Bachman and Graves. Last poll showed a nearly tied race. Democrats should be putting resources into that race. Getting bat shift crazy out of the House should be a priority.

where batshit crazy teabaggers are running. I can name a few here in NY myself.

No more Bachman. No more Cantor. No more Teabag idiots! They all need to go.

Reread the article. DCCC doesn't have unlimited funds. It unfortunately has to triage the people who don't need help...and those for whom help won't be enough, to target funding where its most needed and useful. Reality can be unpleasent, but its better than the alternative.

I loving this! He's everything a Democrat with a backbone should be. He stands up for us.

Let's run the tables on the Rethugs. No More Republicans!

Cantor supposedly at risk of losing his seat,listed?

...and neither does any rating site that I can find. He did well in his debate, but I'm not aware of any poll movement (you might be thnking of Jim Graves vs Michelle Bachmann in MN-06).

Kind of circular 'reasoning,' imo.That's wy I've posted this: http://www.democraticunderground.com/1251128534
Please help.

dems inform the other side of where they are going to spend money? Guess I'll go google and see where the repugnants are spending theirs.

I would think they'd keep this info close to the chest.

Both sides have to report their spending to the FEC.

NRCC Cuts $780,000 in Philadelphia Buys Aimed for Jon Runyan

Florida: NRCC Lends a Hand to Steve Southerland

Iowa: GOP Stops Airing Spots in Bruce Braley’s District

I guess the FEC doesn't want either party to waste their campaign funds.

I wonder if the states/cities' MSM gets pissed about losing those AD dollars....I guess they've gotten enough with less than a month to go.

I'm in a swing state and am really tired of the ads....I have to keep the remote handy so to MUTE the Mi$$. I'm back to my W habits....couldn't stand the sound of his voice either.

Again thx.

...just a matter of public disclosure.

WOW !! Could it be this Teabagger will be defeated?

http://minnesota.publicradio.org/display/web/2008/10/24/poll_tinklenberg_leads_bachmann_in_the_6th_dist/

Within two points, according to a recent Greenberg Poll:

http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/OTUS/michele-bachmanns-seat-peril-house-race-tightens/story?id=17320034&singlePage=true#.UHRAl81S-8z

Note that the poll was conducted at Graves' request by a Democratic pollster.

But ... the Minnesota 6th is a jerry-mandered district, drawn in such a way that anyone with an "R" behind her names should be pulling 55% of the votes if her only qualification is that she is breathing. It is a very, very conservative district which carefully horseshoes around liberal-voting and even moderate-voting Twin Cities suburbs. That Bachmann has won three times but 2010 was the ONLY time she got more than 50% of the vote is telling about just how far to the right she is of even a very right district.

But he hasn't been doing as well as Maloney and Schreibman

Let's all hope their reasoning this year is better than in 2010, when they thought all sorts of things that did not prove to be reality based.

...get off their asses this time.

And ACLU who SUPPORTED it in court keeps asking me for money.

Both of these races are within 2 points. This means that the Dem machine here has GOT to have a massive GOTV push come November, or we can kiss those two seats goodbye.
Mid Hudson News has a little story here: http://www.midhudsonnews.com/News/2012/October/10/House_18_19_poll-10Oct12.html
It seems that Maloney is up by 2 points, and Schreibman is down by 2 points. Anything can happen here.

It would be great to see two fewer teabaggers, Hayworth, and Gibson in the House!