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Obama Approval Rating up at 53% - latest Gallup poll. (Original Post) mzmolly Oct 2012 OP
One poll has his approval rating at 55%. ywcachieve Oct 2012 #1
Wow! The job numbers must have been of help. mzmolly Oct 2012 #2
Also possibly more people are beginning to realize that much of what Romney had said last Wednesday Cal33 Oct 2012 #22
Could be. mzmolly Oct 2012 #23
Do not get comfortable donnasgirl Oct 2012 #32
Optomistic is what describs us. ywcachieve Oct 2012 #34
And it will tilt forward Mittens Iliyah Oct 2012 #3
Can someone please explain... RitchieRich Oct 2012 #4
I believe these numbers are reflecting the positive jobs report. mzmolly Oct 2012 #5
thanks RitchieRich Oct 2012 #7
T.h.a.n.k.s. mzmolly Oct 2012 #10
I think you are right karynnj Oct 2012 #16
Agreed. mzmolly Oct 2012 #19
Biden better do well Presidentcokedupfratboy Oct 2012 #24
i feel the jobs report is not getting enough attention JI7 Oct 2012 #42
And yet the limp and impotent major medias, will not cover this... SoapBox Oct 2012 #6
Somone said we would be horrified by the Gallup Numbers. Baitball Blogger Oct 2012 #8
They have RMoney up 49 - 47 among "Likely Voters" groundloop Oct 2012 #11
Because the approval number is essentially newer (past two days) mzmolly Oct 2012 #17
3 day vs 7 day averages - the 3 day are already not including Thursday karynnj Oct 2012 #18
But it depends on who is doing the poll.... Left Coast2020 Oct 2012 #41
I like this one Kingofalldems Oct 2012 #9
The numbers as of late may be a blessing in disguise. Check this. Blue State Bandit Oct 2012 #12
I was thinking of this likely scenario. Baitball Blogger Oct 2012 #13
Crossing fingers with you. mzmolly Oct 2012 #14
Thank you for all your work, Blue State Bandit! calimary Oct 2012 #15
Chuck Todd will find someway to try and discredit this along INdemo Oct 2012 #20
I think we're ahead of the game. Next week they'll be talking about Rmoney's short mzmolly Oct 2012 #21
I don't know how this squares with Mitt being up 2.. Ztolkins Oct 2012 #25
And the GOPpers will be back Iliyah Oct 2012 #26
Hmm Johnny2X2X Oct 2012 #27
Registered voters Obama +3 (was +5), Likely Voters: Romney +2 (was +0). But fewer-day polls brighter progree Oct 2012 #28
Likely voters measure enthusiasm. mzmolly Oct 2012 #30
"Though we can't be complacent." That's for sure. I give more credibility to likely voter numbers progree Oct 2012 #33
Maybe these good numbers can take some heat off Joe meadowlark5 Oct 2012 #29
Welcome. mzmolly Oct 2012 #31
i think the Difference with Biden and Obama is that Biden can have Gaffes and it will not hurt as JI7 Oct 2012 #43
One thing I know for sure, Obama is not appealing to us at the moment . . . SleeplessinSoCal Oct 2012 #35
At that link, the headline is : Romeny 49%, Obama 47% among likely voters robinlynne Oct 2012 #36
Good news occupymybrain Oct 2012 #37
Fix your link. MADem Oct 2012 #38
It was on both pages mzmolly Oct 2012 #39
+1 That's a really cheery looking graph, one good piece of news, definitely worth a click-and-look progree Oct 2012 #40
 

Cal33

(7,018 posts)
22. Also possibly more people are beginning to realize that much of what Romney had said last Wednesday
Tue Oct 9, 2012, 01:54 PM
Oct 2012

was made up of lies. We'll have to see what happens on Oct. 11 and Oct. 16.

donnasgirl

(656 posts)
32. Do not get comfortable
Tue Oct 9, 2012, 02:49 PM
Oct 2012

People we need to push harder than ever,this election is far from over it to close to call.We would like to see Rmoney thoroughly have his ass kicked in this election so we can shut up the likes of Donald Trump and his slimy mouth,and put Romney back where he belongs in retirement once and for all.

Iliyah

(25,111 posts)
3. And it will tilt forward Mittens
Tue Oct 9, 2012, 01:11 PM
Oct 2012

but by Wednesday we will see a decline for Mittens and a up tick for O. Yawn. No wonder people are turned off the corporate media.

RitchieRich

(292 posts)
4. Can someone please explain...
Tue Oct 9, 2012, 01:12 PM
Oct 2012

where this originates, or for example how the sample population differs from the horror show that has been consistently reported? I was skeptical that it had gone so far down and am now wondering how it could move so far from what I read this morning.

mzmolly

(50,993 posts)
5. I believe these numbers are reflecting the positive jobs report.
Tue Oct 9, 2012, 01:14 PM
Oct 2012

And, the debate bump for Rmoney is fading?

karynnj

(59,503 posts)
16. I think you are right
Tue Oct 9, 2012, 01:48 PM
Oct 2012

This poll lost a very good day that moved the gap 2 points in Obama's favor. I think this means that the point that came in was close to the current average.

The thing to remember is that this 7 day poll will have the bad Thursday and Friday observations until Saturday. It will be interesting to see what happens then. Though it is possible that the Ryan/Biden debate could do something. I think that Ryan, who has known positions may face a tough decision in whether like Romney he can abandon all the positions. Unlike Romney, they are what define him.

24. Biden better do well
Tue Oct 9, 2012, 02:12 PM
Oct 2012

We have got to stanch the bleeding. I'm getting very nervous here. That was a performance by Obama of hideous proportions.

JI7

(89,250 posts)
42. i feel the jobs report is not getting enough attention
Wed Oct 10, 2012, 02:13 AM
Oct 2012

he may not be great at debates but he got Osama Bin Ladne, is lowering unemployment .

isn't that a more convincing reason to vote for someone than "i won a debate&quot a debate in which the winner contradicted himself) .

groundloop

(11,519 posts)
11. They have RMoney up 49 - 47 among "Likely Voters"
Tue Oct 9, 2012, 01:38 PM
Oct 2012

And that does horrify me (and baffles me as well). I don't see how Pres. O's approval rating can be so high yet be behind in the election polling.

I guess I fell into the trap of many others, expecting a cake-walk to victory in November and expecting the repugs to slither away without putting up a fight since their candidate looked so bad. As it turns out their "October Surprise" was a pile of lies that it's going to take forever to refute.

edit to add: Of course a composite nationwide number doesn't mean squat since we have the wonderful electoral college. I'd like to see a breakdown of where the likely voters are who changed their minds to give RMoney a supposed lead. I suspect that RMoney probably merely upped his lead in deep red states that really don't affect the outcome, but haven't seen any data to back that up.

mzmolly

(50,993 posts)
17. Because the approval number is essentially newer (past two days)
Tue Oct 9, 2012, 01:51 PM
Oct 2012

and the 'likely voter' (past 7 days) column - is attempting to factor in, enthusiasm.

karynnj

(59,503 posts)
18. 3 day vs 7 day averages - the 3 day are already not including Thursday
Tue Oct 9, 2012, 01:51 PM
Oct 2012

and Friday which every pollster found as bad. In addition, one is likely voter the other registered. The likely voter frame is also affected by the debate as it did affect enthusiasm. Hopefully, it will dissipate.

Left Coast2020

(2,397 posts)
41. But it depends on who is doing the poll....
Wed Oct 10, 2012, 01:56 AM
Oct 2012

...and the "size" of the sample. Remember, its a snapshot of the big picture. There are many factors involved. Read about basic "Statistics" and you'll know what I mean.

Blue State Bandit

(2,122 posts)
12. The numbers as of late may be a blessing in disguise. Check this.
Tue Oct 9, 2012, 01:40 PM
Oct 2012

With the Rmoney train wreck showing promise, the Super-Pac'rs who were about to pull their money and put it into House/Senate races are thinking that Rmoney still has a shot and will leave those dollars on the top of the ticket.

Meanwhile, Clinton and the surrogates can start picking off those House/Senate races while the Rmoney Pac'rs are temporarily distracted.

It also lights a fire under the asses of Dems that are just getting into the grove.

As long as Biden does his job Thursday night, he will be setting the stage for "President Obama" (as opposed to Professor Obama who showed up last week) to show Rmoney for what he really is; a sell-out supreme that will do and say anything to close the deal and can't be trusted to stand up to the fundies and chicken-hawks in his party.

If thing go well, we could end up with the WH, the Hill, and (in a few years) the SCOTUS.

Crossing fingers. Knocking on doors.

Baitball Blogger

(46,715 posts)
13. I was thinking of this likely scenario.
Tue Oct 9, 2012, 01:43 PM
Oct 2012

Before the debate I was thinking, what would happen if Romney does so poorly that they take him out and put somebody else in that is more likeable to the Republicans? But, no chance of that now. They are committed.

INdemo

(6,994 posts)
20. Chuck Todd will find someway to try and discredit this along
Tue Oct 9, 2012, 01:52 PM
Oct 2012

Joe Scar....and many other RW corporate mafia media people....

So how can Pew spew those false numbers..No way its tied 47-47 or even have Rmoney ahead it BS

mzmolly

(50,993 posts)
21. I think we're ahead of the game. Next week they'll be talking about Rmoney's short
Tue Oct 9, 2012, 01:53 PM
Oct 2012

lived post debate bounce.

Ztolkins

(429 posts)
25. I don't know how this squares with Mitt being up 2..
Tue Oct 9, 2012, 02:14 PM
Oct 2012

Anyone know why that is? It's like saying "Hey, awesome, great, wonderful job, but you're fired anyway"

Iliyah

(25,111 posts)
26. And the GOPpers will be back
Tue Oct 9, 2012, 02:17 PM
Oct 2012

complaining that polls favor O. Pres O can't get a break from corporate media. When he does win re-election I hope he and democratic run congress can stop citizens united and bring back the "media" fairness doctrine and get the fuck rid of Fake News!

Johnny2X2X

(19,066 posts)
27. Hmm
Tue Oct 9, 2012, 02:22 PM
Oct 2012

If these polls are still for Romney at week's end then it's something to worry about, but let's see what they look like this weekend when the debate bump is gone from them.

progree

(10,908 posts)
28. Registered voters Obama +3 (was +5), Likely Voters: Romney +2 (was +0). But fewer-day polls brighter
Tue Oct 9, 2012, 02:33 PM
Oct 2012

Am I reading the right-most column (light gray) right?
http://www.gallup.com/home.aspx
Today's 7-day rolling Gallup poll news doesn't look all that great to me.
Both the polls in my title line are 7 day rolling averages spanning Oct 2 - 8.
But the below has brighter news, excepting the last paragraph about Romney supporters more likely to vote:


Obama's slight 49% to 46% seven-day lead among registered voters is just about where it was in the seven days prior to the debate. This trend suggests that Romney's impressive debate performance -- 72% of debate watchers said he did the better job -- may not have a lasting impact. Additionally, Friday's generally positive jobs report from the government, showing that unemployment fell below 8% for the first time since January 2009, may have helped Obama's standing.

Although Gallup's main focus is on seven-day rolling averages, a breakdown of interviewing over shorter periods can be helpful in understanding the short-term impact of events like conventions and debates. As Gallup reported Monday, Romney gained ground among registered voters in the immediate aftermath of his Oct. 3 debate, moving from a five-point deficit prior to the debate to a tie in the three days that immediately followed. Most of that gain was driven by substantial Romney leads in the Thursday and Friday tracking.

Since Saturday, however, Obama has regained a 50% to 45% edge among registered voters in interviewing conducted Sunday and Monday -- the same as his margin in the three days prior to the debate. Although these two days of interviewing involve relatively small sample sizes, they suggest that Romney's debate "bounce" may be fading.

Gallup's inaugural likely voter results suggest that Romney at this point appears to have a turnout advantage, meaning that Obama will need to develop a strong lead among all registered voters in order to be assured of winning the actual popular vote. All in all, if the election were held today, Gallup's analysis suggests that the race would be too close to call. (earlier in the article: At this point, Romney voters are somewhat more likely to respond that they will definitely vote, that they have thought a lot about the election, and that they are more familiar with where people in their local area vote. These attitudes indicate that Romney at this juncture will benefit from higher turnout on Election Day among his supporters than will Obama. )

More: http://www.gallup.com/poll/157955/romney-obama-among-likely-voters.aspx?ref=image


In other polling news, an NBC4 poll has Obama up by 1 in a poll of likely voters with a 3.5% margin of error. That's not good - a week ago people were saying that Ohio was about out-of-reach for Romney.
http://news.yahoo.com/blogs/ticket/poll-obama-romney-tied-among-likely-voters-ohio-152641128--election.html

progree

(10,908 posts)
33. "Though we can't be complacent." That's for sure. I give more credibility to likely voter numbers
Tue Oct 9, 2012, 02:57 PM
Oct 2012

than registered voter numbers as far as predicting the final vote.

meadowlark5

(2,795 posts)
29. Maybe these good numbers can take some heat off Joe
Tue Oct 9, 2012, 02:43 PM
Oct 2012

Not that he doesn't need to do a great job, but man, everyone was piling a lot of expectation and importance on his debate. I'm sure he feels it. Now with better poll numbers for his buddy, maybe he can go out with less stress and pummel that smarmy, little shit Lyin' Ryan.

You know, I have always wanted to punch Eric Cantor in the face because of that smug smirk on his face. Ryan has a similar smug look with that down turned smile/smirk thing going on. Too bad Joe can't do it for all of us.

JI7

(89,250 posts)
43. i think the Difference with Biden and Obama is that Biden can have Gaffes and it will not hurt as
Wed Oct 10, 2012, 02:17 AM
Oct 2012

much . people know that is his personality and actually like him more for it because he just comes off as some guy you can go up to and talk about anything with.

notice of all the gaffes from Biden none of them have stuck. the media tries to report on it and try to make something about it but it just doesn't gain much. it's just Joe .

SleeplessinSoCal

(9,122 posts)
35. One thing I know for sure, Obama is not appealing to us at the moment . . .
Tue Oct 9, 2012, 03:40 PM
Oct 2012

He is appealing to those whose minds can be changed.

occupymybrain

(74 posts)
37. Good news
Tue Oct 9, 2012, 04:06 PM
Oct 2012

I'm excited to see Biden debate Ryan I think the polls will show good for Obama.







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