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DonViejo

(60,536 posts)
Mon Oct 15, 2012, 08:29 AM Oct 2012

ABC News/WaPo Poll: Obama Leads Romney By 3 Points

Source: TPM

President Obama leads Mitt Romney 49 percent to 46 percent among likely voters, a new ABC News/Washington Post poll released Monday finds:

Likely voters in the new poll split 49 percent for Obama to 46 percent for Romney, basically unmoved from the poll two weeks ago, just before the two candidates met in Denver for their first debate. On topic after topic, the survey portrays an electorate that remains deeply divided along partisan lines and locked in its views.

Nearly two-thirds say they do not need any more information before Election Day, and barely one in eight is undecided or says there is a chance he could change his vote. Even as voters overwhelmingly perceive that Romney won the first debate, the vast majority say their opinion of the president did not shift as a result.


Read more: http://livewire.talkingpointsmemo.com/entry/abc-news-wapo-poll-obama-leads-romney-by



Direct link to WaPo article:

http://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/decision2012/presidential-contest-tight-nationally-ahead-of-second-debate/2012/10/14/fe5fd9a4-1633-11e2-8792-cf5305eddf60_story.html
17 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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ABC News/WaPo Poll: Obama Leads Romney By 3 Points (Original Post) DonViejo Oct 2012 OP
Cue Nelson (from The Simpsons). truthisfreedom Oct 2012 #1
Cool. Thanks for posting! n/t VespertineIconoclast Oct 2012 #2
This is really good news.... especially skeewee08 Oct 2012 #3
MSM this morning: New poll shows statistical tie in race. SCUM n/t winstars Oct 2012 #4
Just asking cmelo Oct 2012 #5
They are hoping "those" votes won't be counted. lalalu Oct 2012 #6
Contrary to the hysteria on the right Sekhmets Daughter Oct 2012 #7
I don't think so.. cmelo Oct 2012 #15
I'll post the link below... Sekhmets Daughter Oct 2012 #16
Check out this OP by Baitball Blogger made on 10/13 DonViejo Oct 2012 #9
Nate upped Obama's chances today. jerryster Oct 2012 #11
Fair enough question indeed. RedCloud Oct 2012 #17
It matters mgardener Oct 2012 #8
It's still the electoral college that counts. Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin Oct 2012 #10
I looked at 5 electoral college maps this A.M. - average difference is 39 electoral votes progree Oct 2012 #12
I think our noon local anchor on the ABC affiliate Liberalynn Oct 2012 #13
Realclearpolitics DallasNE Oct 2012 #14

skeewee08

(1,983 posts)
3. This is really good news.... especially
Mon Oct 15, 2012, 08:39 AM
Oct 2012

"Even as voters overwhelmingly perceive that Romney won the first debate, the vast majority say their opinion of the president did not shift as a result."


cmelo

(5 posts)
5. Just asking
Mon Oct 15, 2012, 09:14 AM
Oct 2012

If Blacks are 98% for the President and Latinos are almost 70% for the President....Than why do the Polls show that the race is so tight. Do the people that run the Polls every ask Blacks and Latinos who they are voting for...I'm Latino and no one ever asked me.

Sekhmets Daughter

(7,515 posts)
7. Contrary to the hysteria on the right
Mon Oct 15, 2012, 09:22 AM
Oct 2012

the country is still majority white... These figures are from the 2010 census:

White persons, percent, 2011 (a) 78.1%
Black persons, percent definition and source info Black persons, percent, 2011 (a) 13.1%
American Indian and Alaska Native persons, percent definition and source info American Indian and Alaska Native persons, percent, 2011 (a) 1.2%
Asian persons, percent definition and source info Asian persons, percent, 2011 (a) 5.0%
Native Hawaiian and Other Pacific Islander persons, percent definition and source info Native Hawaiian and Other Pacific Islander persons, percent, 2011 (a) 0.2%
Persons reporting two or more races, percent definition and source info Persons reporting two or more races, percent, 2011 2.3%
Persons of Hispanic or Latino Origin, percent definition and source info Persons of Hispanic or Latino Origin, percent, 2011 (b) 16.7%
White persons not Hispanic, percent definition and source info White persons not Hispanic, percent, 2011 63.4%

cmelo

(5 posts)
15. I don't think so..
Tue Oct 16, 2012, 09:44 AM
Oct 2012

In my family we are like the united nation...There are over 125 nationality and only 2 are white so thats only 2.5 % but you say whites are the majority..Hmmmm

DonViejo

(60,536 posts)
9. Check out this OP by Baitball Blogger made on 10/13
Mon Oct 15, 2012, 09:32 AM
Oct 2012
Nate Silver ?@fivethirtyeight

There's some evidence that polls which don't conduct Spanish-language interviews lowball Dem vote among Hispanics. (2/3)

http://twitter.com/fivethirtyeight


http://www.democraticunderground.com/10021533551

jerryster

(715 posts)
11. Nate upped Obama's chances today.
Mon Oct 15, 2012, 09:52 AM
Oct 2012

Also, he said if he had included a Washington Post poll Obama's % chance to win would have gone up to 66%. He also wrote in a previous article that the only 2 Senate races he called incorrectly in 2010 had to do with underestimating the Hispanic vote in Colorado and Nevada.

I am still troubled by Romney's gains among independents and women. I don't get it but that's just me.

RedCloud

(9,230 posts)
17. Fair enough question indeed.
Tue Oct 16, 2012, 03:07 PM
Oct 2012

If the war on women, workers, gays, "Blacks", Latinos, students and the elderly (Did I miss any groups?) are exposed, it should be about 80% to 20%. I am fed up with just answering GOP crazy memes. Our turn to get our talking points aired.

mgardener

(1,816 posts)
8. It matters
Mon Oct 15, 2012, 09:22 AM
Oct 2012

It matters.....
Vote like your life depends on it.
Please vote and take someone with you or give a ride to someone.

progree

(10,908 posts)
12. I looked at 5 electoral college maps this A.M. - average difference is 39 electoral votes
Mon Oct 15, 2012, 11:23 AM
Oct 2012

and ranged from 10 to 51.

 

Liberalynn

(7,549 posts)
13. I think our noon local anchor on the ABC affiliate
Mon Oct 15, 2012, 12:32 PM
Oct 2012

was smoking something.

In reporting this poll she said Obama was ahead by 3 but then went on to say something like Romney is ahead though in all the ten swing states, according to this same poll.

Where the hell did she get that? I didn't read that in the above article. As Stephanie Miller would say, "maybe she just pulled it out of her arse." Either that or I just heard the anchor wrong.

Of course this anchor isn't a very good one. My sister calls her Shrek's girlfriend. lol.

DallasNE

(7,403 posts)
14. Realclearpolitics
Mon Oct 15, 2012, 05:32 PM
Oct 2012

Today shows Romney's lead shrinking from 1.3% down to .1%. Because they use averages their impact is delayed. What it is just now starting to measure is the impact of the VP debate and a clear indication that voters thought Biden won that debate. RCP also shows Obama trending upward in Colorado and Pennsylvania and Romney trending upward in North Carolina.

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