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dipsydoodle

(42,239 posts)
Mon Oct 15, 2012, 07:19 PM Oct 2012

Syrian crisis: Iran asked to help secure ceasefire

Source: Guardian

Iran has been asked to persuade the Syrian president, Bashar al-Assad, to implement a ceasefire later this month in tandem with an appeal by the UN to halt the flow of weapons to both sides in the country's bloody conflict.

Lakhdar Brahimi, the envoy for the UN and Arab League, used a weekend visit to Iran, a loyal ally of Damascus, to appeal for help in securing a ceasefire to mark Eid al-Adha, the four-day Muslim holiday later this month. In Baghdad on Monday he called on the Iraqi government to use its influence, while Nuri al-Maliki, the Iraqi prime minister, called for a speedy "political solution".

Brahimi said a ceasefire would "help create an environment that would allow a political process to develop", said his spokesman, Ahmad Fawzi. But Fawzi denied a report that plans were afoot to send a 3,000-strong UN peacekeeping force to Syria, drawn from an existing UN contingent in south Lebanon.

EU officials dismissed the idea as far-fetched, because it would first require a durable ceasefire and moves towards a political transition — both of which have proved elusive over the 19 months of the crisis.

Read more: http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2012/oct/15/syrian-crisis-iran-help-ceasefire

11 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Syrian crisis: Iran asked to help secure ceasefire (Original Post) dipsydoodle Oct 2012 OP
Anyone get the feeling Assad will find a way to hold on to power here? oberliner Oct 2012 #1
Its impossible to predict. Honestly. Assad has maybe a 50/50 chance of staying imho at this point riderinthestorm Oct 2012 #7
The choices seem to be pscot Oct 2012 #2
I don't think Assad is a Shia. Fantastic Anarchist Oct 2012 #3
Alawite is Shi'ia, though people will quibble. bemildred Oct 2012 #4
One man's Mede pscot Oct 2012 #6
Yes. bemildred Oct 2012 #8
Thanks for the correction. n/t Fantastic Anarchist Oct 2012 #9
Actually, I think the result will be the end of Syria as it is now, bemildred Oct 2012 #5
I don't know why that's a tough choice at all. arewenotdemo Oct 2012 #10
It takes both sides actually ceasing fire to have a cease fire. Comrade Grumpy Oct 2012 #11
 

oberliner

(58,724 posts)
1. Anyone get the feeling Assad will find a way to hold on to power here?
Mon Oct 15, 2012, 07:24 PM
Oct 2012

Folks think he will be able to ride this out?

 

riderinthestorm

(23,272 posts)
7. Its impossible to predict. Honestly. Assad has maybe a 50/50 chance of staying imho at this point
Mon Oct 15, 2012, 07:51 PM
Oct 2012

Its just too impossible to tell because of the muddied waters of whose helping him and whose helping the rebels.

Iran, China and Russia are very, very powerful friends in the region.

Assad actually also does have/did have a pretty significant population of Syrians who support him. He's also supremely aware that if he's forced out/killed/assassinated, it will most likely inflame the regional civil war into a genocidal bloodbath.

bemildred

(90,061 posts)
8. Yes.
Mon Oct 15, 2012, 08:10 PM
Oct 2012

I had a guy correct me when I talked about Persians in reference to Iran. "This is about Iran, not Persia." or something like that. Needless to say, that was the end of that conversation.

bemildred

(90,061 posts)
5. Actually, I think the result will be the end of Syria as it is now,
Mon Oct 15, 2012, 07:47 PM
Oct 2012

replaced by several successor states, autonomous regions, and whatnot to be determined. Something like what we precipitated in Iraq, with the side note that Syria is even more fragmented culturally.

 

arewenotdemo

(2,364 posts)
10. I don't know why that's a tough choice at all.
Tue Oct 16, 2012, 12:43 AM
Oct 2012

We should be supporting Assad.

Unless, of course, the object is to secure Israel by dissolving every Arab state in the region, thereby fulfilling the Wolfowitz neocon fantasy.

Jesus, Obama.

 

Comrade Grumpy

(13,184 posts)
11. It takes both sides actually ceasing fire to have a cease fire.
Tue Oct 16, 2012, 01:13 AM
Oct 2012

Any indication the rebels are down with that?

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