Top Democrats confident 'blue wall' in Midwest will save Biden
Source: The Hill
04/08/24 6:00 AM ET
Top Democrats acknowledge that President Biden wont win this year by the same Electoral College landslide he won by in 2020, conceding that winning in Arizona and Georgia will be tough given Bidens low approval rating. But Democrats are counting on whats called the blue wall in the Midwest: Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania, where Biden has seen an uptick in polling numbers and where his effort to rebuild domestic manufacturing is most likely to pay off.
Democrats say their top issue abortion rights also resonates especially strongly in those three states, adding to what they see as Bidens advantage there.
It was critical in 2020, it was critical in 16, Senate Democratic Policy and Communications Committee Chair Debbie Stabenow (Mich.) said of the Democrats blue wall in the upper Midwest. Stabenow said Bidens focus on onshoring or bringing back American manufacturing jobs will be a top selling point of his reelection campaign in her home state.
The CEO of U.S. Steel has called in a manufacturing renaissance. Were bringing jobs back. Basically, the Biden administration is doing everything that others including Donald Trump have talked about but were never really serious about doing, she said. President Biden is aiming right at the middle class: Particularly, bringing jobs home. Rebuild America. You tackle costs, you take on the drug companies. Made in America, she added.
Read more: https://thehill.com/homenews/state-watch/4577632-democrats-blue-wall-biden/
As a note, Pennsylvania is NOT "Midwest" (we're 50 miles from the Atlantic Ocean here in Philly).
Tetrachloride
(7,865 posts)FBaggins
(26,757 posts)It used to be "so solid that they should hold even in a tough year"
Apparently - it now includes "We're behind but we have reason to hope if our latest efforts prove fruitful"
henbuck
(46 posts)and don't have much in common with Philly, thankfully.
FakeNoose
(32,728 posts)You easterners - Philly / Bucks / Allentowners - you're a different breed in the other end of the state.
I lived on Philly for ten years, and went to school in Ohio and went to Pittsburgh multiple times to watch football games. They are different once you get to Harrisburg/Carlisle area
SomewhereInTheMiddle
(285 posts)We joke about Philly in the east, Pittsburgh in the west, and Alabama in between.
I have voted blue in every national, state, and local election since I moved here. I think that only a few up-ballot politician (Pres/VP, Governor, & recently Senator) have actually won. None of the local votes have gone blue since 2005 at least not that I can recall.
Lots of nice things about the area. Politics is not one of them.
BumRushDaShow
(129,395 posts)We had a blast! The people in the area were really friendly. We got one of the campsites where we pitched tents and cooked over a fire pit (the place also had RVs/campers and cabins). Had to dig deep for my old Girl Scout training from decades before. On the way there we saw some Amish horse and buggies in a mall parking lot. lol
This was the place - in Gardners, PA (looks like they really expanded it since I was there) - https://mountaincreekcamping.com/
BumRushDaShow
(129,395 posts)It starts to transition over there. Have been to Pittsburgh a bunch of times as well as OH (a BIL and his family are from Dayton and he still has siblings there).
An "artificial" border between PA and NJ is the only thing that "psychologically" keeps us from being called "coastal".
jvill
(220 posts)I wouldnt be so sure.
Jose Garcia
(2,601 posts)BumRushDaShow
(129,395 posts)where every state that voted to include a state Constitutional amendment to make abortion legal - either red or blue, voted to do so.
2024 is night and day different from 2016.
murielm99
(30,756 posts)IronLionZion
(45,516 posts)We don't want a repeat of 2016. And 2020 was too close for comfort. Every vote matters.
PA is microcosm of America since Western PA is like Ohio or West Virginia. Philly is very much an east coast city. That's my home state where I grew up. There are many reasons why I peaced out as soon as I turned 18
lees1975
(3,876 posts)And Democrats won by increasing margins in statewide elections. Believe the data, not the polls. He'll carry Arizona and Georgia and there's a good chance he'll add Florida and North Carolina.
FBaggins
(26,757 posts)From 2020 (election day) to 2024 (March) , the number of registered Democrats has fallen by almost 180k, while the number of registered Republicans climbed by 72k.
https://azsos.gov/elections/results-data/voter-registration-statistics/voter-registration-counts
I haven't found Georgia - but I don't think they register by party. So I'm not sure what gave you that impression.
Polybius
(15,472 posts)NC sure, we have an excellent chance.
0rganism
(23,967 posts)More like blue cardboard in a rainstorm. If we're relying on that "blue wall" to eke out a close win, we've already lost.
Fortunately, I think the turnout models the polling outfits are using severely underestimate the impact of anti-choice cruelty on the electorate. We might just see some interesting surprises on the east coast before we start nail-biting over the "blue wall" outcomes.
SouthernDem4ever
(6,617 posts)just sayin.
jgmiller
(395 posts)All I read a few months ago was how Trump had hired "adults" this time to run his campaign and their organizaiton was professional. So far all I've seen is Trump quadruple down on being Trump. There is truth to the statement that a lot of people have short memories and have forgotten what a disaster he is but he seems intent on reminding everyone of those 4 years. We still have 6 months until the election, there is a 0% chance that Trump will suddenly reverse course and there is about 95% chance that what he is doing now will look tame when September and October roll around.
I confess I was worried a few months ago when Biden wasn't hitting him enough for my liking but there is truth to the statement that when your opponent is screwing up you should just sit back and let him. They seem to be pushing him when he needs to be pushed to make even worse statements and then sitting back and reaping the rewards. At some point they will hit him hard.
The biggest thing we have to fear is RFK Jr. he is a problem.