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DonViejo

(60,536 posts)
Thu Oct 17, 2013, 08:01 PM Oct 2013

Cook Report Moves 14 House Races Towards Democrats Following Shutdown

Source: TPM

CAITLIN MACNEAL – OCTOBER 17, 2013, 6:47 PM EDT

The Cook Political Report changed its ratings of 15 House seats Friday, moving 14 of them in the direction of Democrats following the government shutdown.

"Mostly as a result of the damage House Republicans sustained during the 16-day government shutdown, we are making changes to our ratings in 15 House seats, all but one in Democrats' direction," Cook Political Report said in a statement.

House Republican seats Cook deemed more in danger include Rep. Justin Amash (R-MI), Rep. Tim Walberg (R-MI), Rep. Tom Reed (R-NY) and Rep. Mark Takano (R-CA). The Cook statement warned that while Democrats have acheived fundraising success recently, they still have a while before the 2014 elections.

"Democrats still have a very uphill climb to a majority, and it's doubtful they can sustain this month's momentum for another year," the Cook statement says. "But Republicans' actions have energized Democratic fundraising and recruiting efforts and handed Democrats a potentially effective message.

###

Read more: http://talkingpointsmemo.com/livewire/cook-report-moves-14-house-races-closer-to-democrat-favorability-following-shutdown



53 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Cook Report Moves 14 House Races Towards Democrats Following Shutdown (Original Post) DonViejo Oct 2013 OP
Too much time between now and November 2014. muntrv Oct 2013 #1
My same thoughts. Beacool Oct 2013 #13
Hell, 2011 Cosmocat Oct 2013 #43
Far too many of them Hayduke Bomgarte Oct 2013 #53
agreed. nt La Lioness Priyanka Oct 2013 #18
That's why we'll be re-negotiating in January. jeff47 Oct 2013 #19
Yeah. Who knows how deep a hole the Republicans will dig for themselves by then? Coyotl Oct 2013 #28
Yep GreenPartyVoter Oct 2013 #32
Exactly. City Lights Oct 2013 #51
The GOP has year, too. Mz Pip Oct 2013 #2
Mz PIP, I think you give to much credit to the tea party for having.... Rebellious Republican Oct 2013 #6
argh! that image! bluemarkers Oct 2013 #30
The ads will write themselves Mz Pip Oct 2013 #41
bachman is truly completely disgusting samsingh Oct 2013 #46
Is that a turd..... JimboBillyBubbaBob Oct 2013 #50
I have faith in ideologues never to learn a valuable or obvious lesson Jack Rabbit Oct 2013 #7
Looks like the next reminder comes in Jan/Feb of this very next upcoming year. calimary Oct 2013 #9
calimary, you are anuthing but boring, I always enjoy your insightfull rants. Rebellious Republican Oct 2013 #22
Well, sorry I do rant - I am grateful that someone has that kind of patience! calimary Oct 2013 #39
"Schmuck" I think, but then I was raised southern baptist, so I know even less. Rebellious Republican Oct 2013 #47
Yeah, that one just looks better. calimary Oct 2013 #49
Sure they will ... 1StrongBlackMan Oct 2013 #24
I'm willing to bet they'll show their ass during jaysunb Oct 2013 #37
Why, they're just as stupid as they where last week. nt Deep13 Oct 2013 #40
Good to see, even if we're a year out. Keep it up, GOP. Comrade Grumpy Oct 2013 #3
Did Ted Cruz call that prognostication an "incredible victory"? 11 Bravo Oct 2013 #4
Want to win...day after day remind the public of the who, what, where, why and how.. Historic NY Oct 2013 #5
K & R Thinkingabout Oct 2013 #26
The GOP was on track to lose 1-3 seats before the shutdown. Dawson Leery Oct 2013 #8
But let's not write it off already as not possible. calimary Oct 2013 #10
Damn Straight!!!! Plus many people are still forming their opinions about this groundloop Oct 2013 #31
Isn't Mark Takano the Weird Liberal Oct 2013 #11
Mark Takano Democrat CA-41 Tx4obama Oct 2013 #14
Positive News! But it all comes down to GOTV.. GatorOrange Oct 2013 #12
TWO WORDS chuckstevens Oct 2013 #15
This message was self-deleted by its author Tx4obama Oct 2013 #16
Below is a link to the COOK page for October 17, 2013 Tx4obama Oct 2013 #17
Thanks. Dawson Leery Oct 2013 #20
But the OP up above says 'FRIDAY' so maybe the COOK page hasn't been up dated yet Tx4obama Oct 2013 #21
I don't under the numbers... modestybl Oct 2013 #23
How many seats do we need to change to Dem to win the House? Lil Missy Oct 2013 #25
17 Left Coast2020 Oct 2013 #35
Oooooh, that's well within reach! Lil Missy Oct 2013 #38
Any suggestions for ridding us of Rohrabacher? Help me on Twitter PLEASE!!! SleeplessinSoCal Oct 2013 #27
It'll be fun to see if the GOP reality denial machine learned any lessons from 2012. cheapdate Oct 2013 #29
We need to keep repeating the message to the T-Partiers... nikto Oct 2013 #33
Good news... CSStrowbridge Oct 2013 #34
I'm not sure after this BS that its much of an uphill climb Left Coast2020 Oct 2013 #36
Yeah, they handed us a Message on a Cha Oct 2013 #42
If the ACA kicks in and people love it, you can probably add a few more seats to these judesedit Oct 2013 #44
And on the other side of that ACA coin Adam-Bomb Oct 2013 #45
DO SOMETHING NOW TO FURTHER THE MOMENTUM. The Stranger Oct 2013 #48
Yes!!! gopiscrap Oct 2013 #52

Beacool

(30,250 posts)
13. My same thoughts.
Thu Oct 17, 2013, 08:44 PM
Oct 2013

People have the mind of Swiss cheese. They won't even remember the shutdown in a year.

 

Coyotl

(15,262 posts)
28. Yeah. Who knows how deep a hole the Republicans will dig for themselves by then?
Thu Oct 17, 2013, 09:39 PM
Oct 2013

They could completely destroy any chance they have in far less time with their current strategy.

Mz Pip

(27,451 posts)
2. The GOP has year, too.
Thu Oct 17, 2013, 08:06 PM
Oct 2013

I don't doubt they will provide many more opportunities to piss off the voting public.

 

Rebellious Republican

(5,029 posts)
6. Mz PIP, I think you give to much credit to the tea party for having....
Thu Oct 17, 2013, 08:22 PM
Oct 2013

any common sense. Did you not see Sarah Palin at the million vet march? How is she even still relevant?

?itok=k-cQ8LWq

Come on, she like so many others such as Ted Cruz are still grandstanding. They just keep giving the gift that keeps on giving.

http://www.democraticunderground.com/1014623932

I am optimistic about the future, there are to many bat shit crazy tea baggers that will keep up the good fight, for us! Think Ryan, Rand, Bachman!

I will leave you with this image...



Call me crazy, but I think we have a great future.

bluemarkers

(536 posts)
30. argh! that image!
Thu Oct 17, 2013, 09:53 PM
Oct 2013

unless she chokes, I don't ever want to see it again! lol

I think we have a much better chance as well. Obamacare will help a lot, but I really think the majority of Eisenhower type Republicans have turned the snooze off and finally woke up.

Jack Rabbit

(45,984 posts)
7. I have faith in ideologues never to learn a valuable or obvious lesson
Thu Oct 17, 2013, 08:24 PM
Oct 2013

Dave and Charlie Koch will continue to bribe contribute large sums of money to re-election campaigns of enough Republican continuecritters to get the House to pass the craziest legislation.

calimary

(81,320 posts)
9. Looks like the next reminder comes in Jan/Feb of this very next upcoming year.
Thu Oct 17, 2013, 08:28 PM
Oct 2013

Besides, I would ask the question of the first response here - SOOOOOooooo then, that means, we do nothing???????

Yeah, certainly. It's a year away. Things could change. Does it not then become incumbent upon every last one of us to do EVERYTHING we can think of to build upon these gains? To protect the initiative we've gained, with all the fresh new talking points and on-offense tactics that are popping up like bubbles to the top of a glass of champagne? We have so much new ammunition to fight with now!!! We have a year to USE that time to reinforce and nurture the little buds of clarification that have started to break through the dirt. We now have the example of...

1) WHO was it who behaved like the adults in the room?

2) WHO was concerned about our financial future and WHO was it who wanted to go for the stunt, even while conceding it was a fool's errand?

3) WHO didn't give a rat's ass if 800-THOUSAND people were furloughed from their jobs? Good AMERICAN workers - turned out of work - for that same fool's errand!!!

4) WHO was it that thought this LOSER stunt was worth flushing 24 BILLION dollars down the crapper? Just to make a point? WHAT point? And we can afford that when you guys are yammering on and on about how we're spending too much money????????? How 'bout it, 'eh? Okay, ted cruz made a lot of money in donations. Is he gonna be hiring more people, then? Is he gonna be donating more to food banks? Is he gonna be covering some furloughed worker's mortgage payment? Did he give up his paycheck while this went on? Was he okay with screwing his own staff out of affordable health care?

5) WHO was it turning their collective noses up at the warnings from every credible financial analyst and voice and outfit in every corner of not just the country but THE WORLD? WHO was it shrugging it off with another "meh, not gonna happen, not gonna be that bad..." How correct have they called it on ANYTHING lately??????

6) WHO seemed more deserving of your trust to govern? Seriously????????? You LIKE the idea of a pack of baboons controlling your local zoo or wild animal park? How do you think THAT would work out?

I could go on but I'm probably way past boring people here. But I'd put it directly to anyone who huffs and puffs - "what the hell do you want? ANARCHY??????????????"

calimary

(81,320 posts)
39. Well, sorry I do rant - I am grateful that someone has that kind of patience!
Thu Oct 17, 2013, 11:30 PM
Oct 2013

If I had a title it would be the Insufferable Bloviating Schmuckette!


One postscript - I've never quite figured out which is the proper spelling of the root word of the above - is it "schmuck" or "shmuck"? I use the word a lot but I'm a Catholic, so whaddo I know?

calimary

(81,320 posts)
49. Yeah, that one just looks better.
Fri Oct 18, 2013, 08:25 PM
Oct 2013

But what do I know? Catholic school for 14 years. But it's a great way to generate material!

 

1StrongBlackMan

(31,849 posts)
24. Sure they will ...
Thu Oct 17, 2013, 09:23 PM
Oct 2013

If budget negotiations fail:

October 2013-November 2014 - Immigration reform fights
December 2013 - Government shuts down ... just before Xmas
February 2014 - Debt ceiling extension expires
Any natural disaster between now and November 2014

The modern gop will show their ass is on the wrong side of history, again.

jaysunb

(11,856 posts)
37. I'm willing to bet they'll show their ass during
Thu Oct 17, 2013, 10:53 PM
Oct 2013

the State of the Union Address, where Obama will surely provoke them to do so.

Historic NY

(37,451 posts)
5. Want to win...day after day remind the public of the who, what, where, why and how..
Thu Oct 17, 2013, 08:21 PM
Oct 2013

letters news, etc....

Thinkingabout

(30,058 posts)
26. K & R
Thu Oct 17, 2013, 09:34 PM
Oct 2013

We can not let our guard down, keep pushing like there is no tomorrow, get good candidates to run and work like hell to GOTV.

Dawson Leery

(19,348 posts)
8. The GOP was on track to lose 1-3 seats before the shutdown.
Thu Oct 17, 2013, 08:26 PM
Oct 2013

Chances are it will be more than that now. A Democratic take-over it not a given, as it is still a year off until the election.

calimary

(81,320 posts)
10. But let's not write it off already as not possible.
Thu Oct 17, 2013, 08:29 PM
Oct 2013

How do we know, really, that it isn't? We have a year to build on what's just happened.

groundloop

(11,519 posts)
31. Damn Straight!!!! Plus many people are still forming their opinions about this
Thu Oct 17, 2013, 09:55 PM
Oct 2013

I'm totally with calimary. Most voters don't follow all the details as closely as we do here, and many are still learning what was behind this shutdown. IMO the polling will keep getting better for Democrats for another week or two, and we need to make sure the numbers stay there. That, plus the tea party will more than likely continue to piss off moderates and people sitting on the fence, therefore I believe retaking the House is entirely possible.

GatorOrange

(63 posts)
12. Positive News! But it all comes down to GOTV..
Thu Oct 17, 2013, 08:39 PM
Oct 2013

Grassroots will be critical in getting us closer to taking the House back. People must understand that this group of GOPer's need to be electorally eliminated for this nation to move forward in a positive direction. It needs to be hammered home each day between now and next November.

Can't wait to see how it turns out here in Florida. People have been waiting for 4 years to get their hands on The Medicare Fraudster Rick Scott and people are already fired up to get him out of Tallahassee.

Response to DonViejo (Original post)

 

modestybl

(458 posts)
23. I don't under the numbers...
Thu Oct 17, 2013, 09:18 PM
Oct 2013

Comparing between this week and last, I count only 7 seats moving in the Dems direction...

Left Coast2020

(2,397 posts)
35. 17
Thu Oct 17, 2013, 10:27 PM
Oct 2013

Plus 1 (+1) for good measure.

And there are about 30 R's (according to the Businessweek story on here the other day) who are at risk of losing. I think it said 29. Nonetheless, I feel we could get 19-20 of those.

I'll be surprised if we pickup 25. But anything is possible.

SleeplessinSoCal

(9,123 posts)
27. Any suggestions for ridding us of Rohrabacher? Help me on Twitter PLEASE!!!
Thu Oct 17, 2013, 09:36 PM
Oct 2013

Please, please tweet Rohrabacher. He's up for it and I'm hoping to cause many sleepless nights.

"Dana Rohrabacher: Chairman of the Trolling Caucus
Obama is a fascist--and other interesting opinions shared by the California Republican through 6,000 tweets."


http://www.nationaljournal.com/congress/dana-rohrabacher-chairman-of-the-trolling-caucus-20130924

 

nikto

(3,284 posts)
33. We need to keep repeating the message to the T-Partiers...
Thu Oct 17, 2013, 10:14 PM
Oct 2013

That we Liberals are so glad the T-party backed-off and stopped fighting.
And thank god the T-Party didn't stick to their Conservative principals, because
Liberals' policies would have no chance against boldly-aggressive "pure" Conservatism,
etc etc blah blah woof woof.



CSStrowbridge

(267 posts)
34. Good news...
Thu Oct 17, 2013, 10:23 PM
Oct 2013

"Democrats still have a very uphill climb to a majority, and it's doubtful they can sustain this month's momentum for another year,"

Unless the GOP try a stunt like this again in January and then again in February.

Left Coast2020

(2,397 posts)
36. I'm not sure after this BS that its much of an uphill climb
Thu Oct 17, 2013, 10:31 PM
Oct 2013

As long as Dem's remind voters of this shit these scumbags put us through, we should be fine. And remember there are R's that are government employee's who got shafted by this too.

Hopefully they are sane R's who see the difference.

judesedit

(4,439 posts)
44. If the ACA kicks in and people love it, you can probably add a few more seats to these
Fri Oct 18, 2013, 10:00 AM
Oct 2013

They know the rethugs will try to repeal it another 40,000 times.

Adam-Bomb

(90 posts)
45. And on the other side of that ACA coin
Fri Oct 18, 2013, 10:14 AM
Oct 2013

The flyer my employer put out about how much our insurance policy is going
up in January has upset and pissed off an AWFUL lot of folks. I work for Lowe's,
a Fortune 500 company. If OUR rates are going up that much, what's ACA going
to do to smaller companies?

When folks get hit in the pocketbook, they take notice. And if elections roll around
when they are pissed off and there is a TARGET for their frustrations......uh oh.

How many R's voted for ACA again?

All I'm saying here is let us not be patting ourselves on the back quite yet.

The Stranger

(11,297 posts)
48. DO SOMETHING NOW TO FURTHER THE MOMENTUM.
Fri Oct 18, 2013, 02:05 PM
Oct 2013

Democrats should be thinking of the next Legislative and/or Executive and/or media initiative to corner Republicans on an issue that they lose. And continue this momentum.

Any ideas?

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