Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

Bosonic

(3,746 posts)
Fri Oct 18, 2013, 04:30 AM Oct 2013

Asteroid 2013 TV135 Could Hit Earth In 2032, Says Ukrainan Observatory

Source: IB Times

A team of Ukranian astronomers at the Crimean Astrophysical Observatory discovered asteroid 2013 TV135, a 1,345-foot (410 meter) minor planet last week, the nation’s Ria Novost reports. According to their calculations, 2013 TV135 is currently orbiting the Earth at a distance of 1.7 million kilometers, and its trajectory could place it on a catastrophic collision course with our planet in 2032.

By Thursday, five more groups had confirmed the findings, including observatories in Italy, Spain, the U.K. and Russia. NASA has confirmed the discovery as well, adding 2013 TV135 to its list of recently observed near-Earth objects. The American space agency rated the asteroid a 1 on its Torino scale, meaning that the object represents a threat and "merits careful monitoring."

It’s easy to see why NASA deems the asteroid a threat. If 2013 TV135 does hit the Earth in 2032, it would result in an explosion packing the force of 2,500 megatons of TNT. That’s more than 50 times the power of the largest nuclear bomb ever detonated.

The good news is that there’s only a 1 in 63,000 chance of 2014 TV135 ever making contact with Earth. So it’s extremely unlikely that this asteroid will doom us all.

Read more: http://www.ibtimes.com/asteroid-2013-tv135-could-hit-earth-2032-says-ukrainan-observatory-1431348



JPL view: http://www.jpl.nasa.gov/news/news.php?release=2013-300

Torino scale (this currently rates a 1):


26 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
Asteroid 2013 TV135 Could Hit Earth In 2032, Says Ukrainan Observatory (Original Post) Bosonic Oct 2013 OP
Orbital parameters are difficult. longship Oct 2013 #1
a 1 in 63,000 chance rates it a 1? leftyohiolib Oct 2013 #2
1 seems to be the lowest danger rating. nt bemildred Oct 2013 #3
yea i read the other way - i saw that just after waking up before my morning pepsi leftyohiolib Oct 2013 #11
It's a better chance than winning the lottery Flying Squirrel Oct 2013 #7
Actually, the definition of "1" was changed to "Normal, routine discovery" Pholus Oct 2013 #4
Thanks, OBAMA! Ian David Oct 2013 #5
OMG.... CherokeeDem Oct 2013 #12
It was a photoshop cartoonesque ridicule. n/t cosmicone Oct 2013 #20
Coming from Fox News... CherokeeDem Oct 2013 #21
I hear you ... n/t cosmicone Oct 2013 #22
Thankfully it's a relatively small asteroid NickB79 Oct 2013 #6
I'd say the mass has a lot to do with the potential; greiner3 Oct 2013 #8
Was the one that smacked the Yucatan of iron? theHandpuppet Oct 2013 #9
Now you know there are a bunch of doomsday preppers out there... theHandpuppet Oct 2013 #10
Bring It On! But seriously, there are a lot more near misses that we never see... onehandle Oct 2013 #13
It's climate change and overpopulation we have to worry about. hunter Oct 2013 #14
True. By 2032 we will be having mass die-offs of animals, including humans. onehandle Oct 2013 #15
Excessive negativity is unhelpful, though. Both approaches Ghost Dog Oct 2013 #17
Like we don't have enough to worry about. n/t leftyladyfrommo Oct 2013 #16
Aw, crap. Kinda wanted to go out with a bang. freshwest Oct 2013 #18
Me too. In_The_Wind Oct 2013 #24
As the Great Alfred would say- packman Oct 2013 #19
Nowonder those folks are taking that one way trip to Mars. nt MzShellG Oct 2013 #23
2032? Can we get an exact time..I like to be prepared!!! Theyletmeeatcake2 Oct 2013 #25
I dont buy it. nt darkangel218 Oct 2013 #26

longship

(40,416 posts)
1. Orbital parameters are difficult.
Fri Oct 18, 2013, 04:47 AM
Oct 2013

It takes more data to determine an accurate actual orbit. Torino scale 1 is worrisome for such a large object. More observations will refine the orbit and will very likely result in the risk being reduced.

One could only hope.
R&K

Pholus

(4,062 posts)
4. Actually, the definition of "1" was changed to "Normal, routine discovery"
Fri Oct 18, 2013, 06:31 AM
Oct 2013

There have been many, many "1's" and every single one has been removed by monitoring. One has actually reached a "4" and then been reassigned to a "0" or a "1" depending on which orbit guy you talk to.

The complete description is "A routine discovery in which a pass near Earth is predicted that poses no unusual level of danger. Current calculations show the chance of collision is extremely unlikely with no cause for public attention or public concern. New telescopic observations very likely will lead to re-assignment to Level 0."

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Torino_Scale

I can't remember the number of times a Russian observatory has predicted doom. Look back to the press around the Chelyabinsk meteor in the first 24 hours. Kinda Fox News level hysteria.


CherokeeDem

(3,709 posts)
12. OMG....
Fri Oct 18, 2013, 09:59 AM
Oct 2013

the Fox screen is for real??? Didn't know about this when it happened. For crying out loud, Fox has no shame and no clue!

NickB79

(19,253 posts)
6. Thankfully it's a relatively small asteroid
Fri Oct 18, 2013, 07:22 AM
Oct 2013

1300 ft wide is pretty damn big for something moving at 20,000 mph, but the one that got the dinosaurs was around 6 MILES wide, or roughly 20X the size of this one.

At that size, and with 19 years of advance notice, it wouldn't be all that difficult to divert the rock out of a collision course with modern technology.

 

greiner3

(5,214 posts)
8. I'd say the mass has a lot to do with the potential;
Fri Oct 18, 2013, 08:50 AM
Oct 2013

Whether it is an iron (or some other metal based object) or made mostly of ice particles.

theHandpuppet

(19,964 posts)
9. Was the one that smacked the Yucatan of iron?
Fri Oct 18, 2013, 08:54 AM
Oct 2013

I know scientists have recently retrieved particles from core samples but I didn't hear the results of any testing.

theHandpuppet

(19,964 posts)
10. Now you know there are a bunch of doomsday preppers out there...
Fri Oct 18, 2013, 08:55 AM
Oct 2013

... who are in the throes of rapture at this news.

onehandle

(51,122 posts)
13. Bring It On! But seriously, there are a lot more near misses that we never see...
Fri Oct 18, 2013, 10:23 AM
Oct 2013

...or see after the fact.

It's the building sized, super-fast and near invisible objects, from outside the solar system that we have to worry about.

hunter

(38,317 posts)
14. It's climate change and overpopulation we have to worry about.
Fri Oct 18, 2013, 10:53 AM
Oct 2013

The more fossil fuels we burn, the more hostile this earth becomes to our civilization.

It's looking like a pretty sure bet that we will keep burning fossil fuels at high rates until our civilization collapses.

In 2032 this asteroid hitting the earth might not even be the worst news of the year.





onehandle

(51,122 posts)
15. True. By 2032 we will be having mass die-offs of animals, including humans.
Fri Oct 18, 2013, 10:59 AM
Oct 2013

Too many gerbils in an aquarium in the sun, and nature will take its course.

 

Ghost Dog

(16,881 posts)
17. Excessive negativity is unhelpful, though. Both approaches
Fri Oct 18, 2013, 11:11 AM
Oct 2013

will surely become inevitable:

1. Produce/Consume less and more efficiently;
2. Manage population levels down, over time, through such liberal methods as recognising women's right to choose;
3. Redeploy the creative as well as destructive energy and inspìration that is a such powerful motor of today's economy - the military-industrial complex - away from attempting to achieve full-spectrum dominance of what is and always will be a multi-polar, multi-cultural planet towards new very relevant goals such as in-depth solar-system exploration and exploitation and defending the biosphere of this planet from the consequences of hits from flying rocks!

 

packman

(16,296 posts)
19. As the Great Alfred would say-
Fri Oct 18, 2013, 12:21 PM
Oct 2013



In comparison to the expected government shut-downs and debt ceiling brought about by Republicons in the next few years, it might be a welcome relief.
Latest Discussions»Latest Breaking News»Asteroid 2013 TV135 Could...