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bemildred

(90,061 posts)
Mon Mar 10, 2014, 08:53 PM Mar 2014

Ukraine may have to go nuclear, says Kiev lawmaker

Source: USA Today

KIEV, Ukraine — Ukraine may have to arm itself with nuclear weapons if the United States and other world powers refuse to enforce a security pact that obligates them to reverse the Moscow-backed takeover of Crimea, a member of the Ukraine parliament told USA TODAY.

The United States, Great Britain and Russia agreed in a pact "to assure Ukraine's territorial integrity" in return for Ukraine giving up a nuclear arsenal it inherited from the Soviet Union after declaring independence in 1991, said Pavlo Rizanenko, a member of the Ukrainian parliament.

"We gave up nuclear weapons because of this agreement," said Rizanenko, a member of the Udar Party headed by Vitali Klitschko, a candidate for president. "Now there's a strong sentiment in Ukraine that we made a big mistake."

His statements come as Russia raised the possibility it may send its troops beyond the Crimean peninsula on the Black Sea into the eastern half of Ukraine.

Read more: http://www.usatoday.com/story/news/world/2014/03/10/ukraine-nuclear/6250815/

59 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Ukraine may have to go nuclear, says Kiev lawmaker (Original Post) bemildred Mar 2014 OP
Ukraine also got rid of a ton of small arms and ammo. It was a move that was lead by Senator Obama. Travis_0004 Mar 2014 #1
That needs a link. nt bemildred Mar 2014 #3
See below Travis_0004 Mar 2014 #10
Thanks. nt bemildred Mar 2014 #12
Here ya go... FailureToCommunicate Mar 2014 #11
You too. nt bemildred Mar 2014 #14
2005 - largely to keep them out of the hands of terrorists. dipsydoodle Mar 2014 #49
What is this guy relative to the rest of the Ukrainian government? Gore1FL Mar 2014 #2
"Rizanenko, a member of the Udar Party headed by Vitali Klitschko, a candidate for president." nt bemildred Mar 2014 #5
I read that. An article about Ted Cruz might read: Gore1FL Mar 2014 #15
Just answering the question. I'm not interested in humor about any wingnuts. nt bemildred Mar 2014 #16
I appreciate the attempt. But it didn't answer the question. Gore1FL Mar 2014 #22
"What is this guy relative to the rest of the Ukrainian government?" nt bemildred Mar 2014 #23
Except it wasn't nt. the body of the message said "Is he their 'Ted Cruz?'" n/t Gore1FL Mar 2014 #38
Right, I didn't try to answer that one. nt bemildred Mar 2014 #39
This guy is an idiot! blackspade Mar 2014 #4
Yes. nt bemildred Mar 2014 #6
No, there wno't be. Igel Mar 2014 #17
I just meant the idiot part. nt bemildred Mar 2014 #21
Ukraine could absolutely go nuclear again. Xithras Mar 2014 #56
That should ring a few alarm bells in the White House. another_liberal Mar 2014 #7
He is asking for it, he really is. bemildred Mar 2014 #8
You want Ukraine to build a nuclear bomb? another_liberal Mar 2014 #9
No, that's not it. nt bemildred Mar 2014 #13
Thank you. another_liberal Mar 2014 #19
right wing hooligens iamthebandfanman Mar 2014 #44
We in the U. S. need to recognize our responsibility for causing this mess . . . another_liberal Mar 2014 #54
Klitschko took too many shots to the head in the ring. His brain damage is very evident. rdharma Mar 2014 #18
"The pact said nothing that requires a nation to act against another that invades Ukraine" jsr Mar 2014 #20
If that is so (and it may well be) what did Ukraine get for giving up it's nukes in 1994? nt kelly1mm Mar 2014 #27
Money. Ukraine became the third largest recipient of U.S. foreign aid. jsr Mar 2014 #29
Was the foreign aid promised in the Budapest agreement? I did not see that when I looked. kelly1mm Mar 2014 #31
Dunno, but the U.S. has no legal obligation to intervene. jsr Mar 2014 #37
Ok- and I accept for the purpose of this discussion that the US/UK have no legal obigation kelly1mm Mar 2014 #40
+1. Don't forget the Saudis. They have threatened to buy them. nt bemildred Mar 2014 #41
As it appears now, a worthless piece of Chamberlin-esque paper Elmergantry Mar 2014 #34
Yes. Terrible. Chasing money. bemildred Mar 2014 #35
Who said that is what is wanted from Ukraine Elmergantry Mar 2014 #36
They're already acting extreme. go west young man Mar 2014 #24
substanceless bullshit eom Kolesar Mar 2014 #28
Of course it is. go west young man Mar 2014 #46
Yeah, Russia's just gonna sit there and watch you install nukes:. jtuck004 Mar 2014 #25
There you go. I rather doubt "the West" will think much of it either. bemildred Mar 2014 #26
If Putin gets the whole country Ukraine GAME OVER!! bigdarryl Mar 2014 #30
I don't think going nuclear is that easy daleo Mar 2014 #32
+1. bemildred Mar 2014 #33
THANKS BE TO THE GODS ABOVE .... MindMover Mar 2014 #42
In retrospect, giving up nukes was a huge mistake on their part. Pterodactyl Mar 2014 #43
Trusting any "great power" is a mistake. They are always much more important than you. nt bemildred Mar 2014 #47
I suppose you can always "trust" Russia to act in Russia's interest. Pterodactyl Mar 2014 #55
Self interest is always the best default assumption. bemildred Mar 2014 #59
Do we know defacto7 Mar 2014 #45
That is an interesting question. I don't know. bemildred Mar 2014 #48
And get them from where ? dipsydoodle Mar 2014 #50
His imagination? That is a good question. nt bemildred Mar 2014 #51
Even if they did have a few tucked away for a rainy day dipsydoodle Mar 2014 #52
+1. nt bemildred Mar 2014 #53
That's the pont of MAD. joshcryer Mar 2014 #57
firing nuclear weapons at a country that close to you. Brilliant. olddad56 Mar 2014 #58

Gore1FL

(21,132 posts)
15. I read that. An article about Ted Cruz might read:
Mon Mar 10, 2014, 09:17 PM
Mar 2014

Cruz, a member of the Republican Party headed by Mitch McConnell, a candidate struggling to retain his seat.

Neither sentence tells me if the person in question is a crazy person spouting off whack-job rhetoric to whip up support, or if he represents the mainstream thinking on the matter at hand.

Gore1FL

(21,132 posts)
22. I appreciate the attempt. But it didn't answer the question.
Mon Mar 10, 2014, 09:23 PM
Mar 2014

I still don't know if this guy is their "Ted Cruz" or if he is someone worth listening to. Sadly, knowing that he is a member of a party that is fielding a presidential candidate doesn't provide me with the information.

Igel

(35,320 posts)
17. No, there wno't be.
Mon Mar 10, 2014, 09:19 PM
Mar 2014

It would take years for Ukaine to do all the things necessary for building a nuclear bomb--and that's if they have the expertise and can buck international public opinion and pressure.

It's rhetoric, which is pretty pointless against some people.

Xithras

(16,191 posts)
56. Ukraine could absolutely go nuclear again.
Sat Mar 15, 2014, 09:54 PM
Mar 2014

Ukraine was a center for Soviet nuclear weapons production and they still have a large pool of engineers who are not only knowledgeable about nuclear weapons, but experienced in building them. Even today, Ukraine is one of the worlds top 10 uranium producers, and ALL of their Soviet-era nuclear power plants are capable of rapidly producing weapons-grade uranium.

You are only correct in that it would "take years". It would probably take Ukraine about two years to put together a fully functional and deliverable nuclear bomb, simply because organizing and coordinating the startup of the program would take a bit of time.

Their biggest issue would probably be the Russians. I see LOTS of assassinations in Ukraine if they tried to go nuclear.

 

another_liberal

(8,821 posts)
7. That should ring a few alarm bells in the White House.
Mon Mar 10, 2014, 09:08 PM
Mar 2014

I wonder if we will treat Ukraine the way we have done Iran and North Korea? They are clearly threatening to build and use nuclear weapons against Russia, a permanent member of the United Nations Security Council no less. This is not an empty threat. Ukraine has the technical skill and fissionable materials needed to build a bomb very quickly indeed. They even have delivery systems already in place.

Don't we have an international responsibility to do something which will stop them from taking the whole World to the brink of a nuclear catastrophe?

 

another_liberal

(8,821 posts)
19. Thank you.
Mon Mar 10, 2014, 09:20 PM
Mar 2014

Last edited Tue Mar 11, 2014, 07:07 AM - Edit history (1)

There has to be a limit to this pervasive, head-over-heels, unconditional love affair for the fascists and technocrats who have seized power in Kiev! We have to at least recognize how dangerous those people can be unless they are restrained.

iamthebandfanman

(8,127 posts)
44. right wing hooligens
Tue Mar 11, 2014, 12:26 AM
Mar 2014

and criminals...

they traded one corrupt government for another corrupt government
the old being a centrist/corporatist government.. the 'new' some flavor of right wing nationalist nuttery


I feel for the people of Ukraine.. but they should have paid better attention to the folks leading these protests.. there was a reason they were going after statues of lenin (and it wasn't to insult Russia as some folks here think and im sure folks there who weren't extremists assumed.. Russia doesn't care about lenin anymore.. just like china doesn't care about mao).. it was to slap leftists in the face. i was shocked to find a few folks on DU celebrating their destruction when this all first started to happen...
and I get it, I do .. I don't like putin either.. and what he did by moving troops into that region is wrong..
but that doesn't change the fact that this was an attempted take over by extremist right wing groups..
and I think crimea should have the right to separate if it wishes .. they didn't elect the government in charge now in kiev after all.. but I think a vote should only occur while NOT under an occupation by a foreign nation. how could you possibly have a fair vote with that going on?

 

another_liberal

(8,821 posts)
54. We in the U. S. need to recognize our responsibility for causing this mess . . .
Tue Mar 11, 2014, 07:17 AM
Mar 2014

We broke our treaty agreements to not interfere in the internal affairs of Ukraine when we manipulated and encouraged the protest movement on the streets of Kiev. What Victoria Nuland, our Ambassador to Ukraine and other of our agents did was a serious breach of international treaties we had signed. Picking who will be the new leader of another nation is an affront to the very principles of democracy.

What Russia did was respond to our original violation of the principle of non interference in the internal affairs of another sovereign nation. When we complain about Russia's actions in Crimea, we are just "The pot calling the kettle black."

 

rdharma

(6,057 posts)
18. Klitschko took too many shots to the head in the ring. His brain damage is very evident.
Mon Mar 10, 2014, 09:20 PM
Mar 2014

He got a shower of rotten eggs in Kharkiv today. Pulled out his umbrella for "ballistic missile defense".

"Moscow (dpa) - Ukrainian presidential candidate Vladimir Klitschko was attacked with eggs, stones and fireworks by pro-Russian protesters while campaigning in the north-eastern city of Kharkiv.

Bodyguards used umbrellas to shield Klitschko, who finished his speech."

jsr

(7,712 posts)
20. "The pact said nothing that requires a nation to act against another that invades Ukraine"
Mon Mar 10, 2014, 09:21 PM
Mar 2014

The U.S. has no obligation to get involved.

kelly1mm

(4,733 posts)
31. Was the foreign aid promised in the Budapest agreement? I did not see that when I looked.
Mon Mar 10, 2014, 10:01 PM
Mar 2014

While it may be true that the Budapest Agreement did not obligate the US/UK to intervene militarily to protect Ukraine's territorial integrity, the language has to mean something. At this point, it seems to mean 'a strongly worded diplomatic cable'. Somehow I don't think that was what the Ukrainians thought they were getting.

I actually don't blame Ukraine from at least contemplating going nuclear again. If anything, what this crisis has shown is that nuclear nations attacking/annexing a non-nuclear nation will not have any meaningful pushback from the world community.

If Ukraine still had it's nuclear weapons, do you think Russia would have taken the Crimea?

jsr

(7,712 posts)
37. Dunno, but the U.S. has no legal obligation to intervene.
Mon Mar 10, 2014, 10:18 PM
Mar 2014

And we shouldn't intervene. We have enormous problems here at home, and we should stay out of it. (Having said that, I am no fan of Putin, and I have no problem with sanctions against Russia).

kelly1mm

(4,733 posts)
40. Ok- and I accept for the purpose of this discussion that the US/UK have no legal obigation
Mon Mar 10, 2014, 10:27 PM
Mar 2014

to intervene.

I do think that if I was a non-nuclear nation and had the technical ability to produce nukes, I would seriously consider it. I am thinking of Japan, South Korea, Brazil, South Africa, Finland, Poland, the Baltic states, Ukraine, and others. Not that I LIKE if those nations were to go nuclear, but I certainly would understand the motivations to after the last month.

 

Elmergantry

(884 posts)
34. As it appears now, a worthless piece of Chamberlin-esque paper
Mon Mar 10, 2014, 10:05 PM
Mar 2014

Russia is much more integrated with the world economy than during the Soviet days. There is a lot the West could do to squeeze Russia short of military action. But they don't appear to want to do much at this time - God forbid any blowback would hurt their wallet, "guarantee" be damned.

So let any other country who is thinking of developing nukes to protect themselves remember what happen to the "guarantee" given to Ukraine to disarm should they get the same offer.

The flaccid western response sets back nuclear disarmament efforts much.

bemildred

(90,061 posts)
35. Yes. Terrible. Chasing money.
Mon Mar 10, 2014, 10:08 PM
Mar 2014

You guarantee them protection, and then you turn the place into a political football.

 

Elmergantry

(884 posts)
36. Who said that is what is wanted from Ukraine
Mon Mar 10, 2014, 10:09 PM
Mar 2014

There is a lot the west could do without military action.

Besides, what good is a guarantee if it obligates you to do nothing to keep you end of the deal?

 

go west young man

(4,856 posts)
24. They're already acting extreme.
Mon Mar 10, 2014, 09:27 PM
Mar 2014

This should ring a few alarm bells about the coup and the new government.

 

go west young man

(4,856 posts)
46. Of course it is.
Tue Mar 11, 2014, 01:50 AM
Mar 2014
The Guardian UK doesn't seem to think so.

http://www.theguardian.com/world/2014/mar/10/ukraine-and-west-hot-air-hypocrisy-crimea-russia

Excerpt:

When things turned nasty in Kiev as armed protesters, some of them with fascist insignia, seized control of government buildings, the police cracked down, and snipers gunned down police and protesters in the streets. But who exactly were these snipers? The Estonian foreign minister, Urmas Paet, not a natural ally of Moscow, thought it was at least credible that they belonged to the anti-government Maidan protesters. "Gosh!" said the EU's Lady Ashton in a leaked phone call.

For a moment, the frothing stopped and a truce was negotiated, with the help of Poland, Germany and France, and supported by the US, Russia and the Kiev protesters, all realising that things had gone too far. The agreement allowed for a return to the old constitution, and new elections. Order was restored. Phew!

But this compromise was quickly sabotaged by extreme elements among the protesters, including some sinister far-right elements who are now a de facto part of the government. They pre-empted the outcome of the elections by continuing the occupations and installing themselves in power. (But it's OK: it's not a coup, because they are pro-west.) The Russians were alarmed. What was the point of negotiating, if the agreements were not respected, the Russian interior minister demanded to know.

bemildred

(90,061 posts)
26. There you go. I rather doubt "the West" will think much of it either.
Mon Mar 10, 2014, 09:39 PM
Mar 2014

Edit: but you never know these days, look at McCain, for example.

 

bigdarryl

(13,190 posts)
30. If Putin gets the whole country Ukraine GAME OVER!!
Mon Mar 10, 2014, 09:56 PM
Mar 2014

He will put nucular weopons back in that country.

daleo

(21,317 posts)
32. I don't think going nuclear is that easy
Mon Mar 10, 2014, 10:02 PM
Mar 2014

Even if the nuclear powers went along, it requires a huge infrastructure to build, maintain and deliver nuclear weapons. That would take a lot of money, among other things. That doesn't seem likely, for a country teetering on the edge of bankruptcy.

Pterodactyl

(1,687 posts)
43. In retrospect, giving up nukes was a huge mistake on their part.
Mon Mar 10, 2014, 11:45 PM
Mar 2014

If only they knew the great powers would not guarantee their security.

bemildred

(90,061 posts)
59. Self interest is always the best default assumption.
Sun Mar 16, 2014, 01:20 AM
Mar 2014

Not a rule, but it makes a great heuristic, almost never wrong.

defacto7

(13,485 posts)
45. Do we know
Tue Mar 11, 2014, 01:11 AM
Mar 2014

they don't still have nuclear weapons? Has this been carried out and confirmed that we know of? They had nukes and made a pact to give them up... do we know it was completed? We have reason to think it's been completed but what do we know?

bemildred

(90,061 posts)
48. That is an interesting question. I don't know.
Tue Mar 11, 2014, 05:50 AM
Mar 2014

If you ask me to guess, they have what they need for their nuclear power plants, and that's it.

But that's plenty.

And I would think it likely that somebody or other has kept tabs on that, the NPT enforcement people.

dipsydoodle

(42,239 posts)
52. Even if they did have a few tucked away for a rainy day
Tue Mar 11, 2014, 06:07 AM
Mar 2014

they would lack the necessary defense systems to block immediate retaliation.

The mere suggestion by "a member of the Ukraine parliament" may convey their general level of intelligence : about the same as a daisy.

joshcryer

(62,276 posts)
57. That's the pont of MAD.
Sat Mar 15, 2014, 10:34 PM
Mar 2014

Plus they could hope that the US SBIRS system is as good as it probably is and would stop retaliation from the sky. Hopefully they're not getting shitty advice like that from the State Department. "Hey, you can build nukes, why don't mention that fact?"

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