Ukraine may have to go nuclear, says Kiev lawmaker
Source: USA Today
KIEV, Ukraine Ukraine may have to arm itself with nuclear weapons if the United States and other world powers refuse to enforce a security pact that obligates them to reverse the Moscow-backed takeover of Crimea, a member of the Ukraine parliament told USA TODAY.
The United States, Great Britain and Russia agreed in a pact "to assure Ukraine's territorial integrity" in return for Ukraine giving up a nuclear arsenal it inherited from the Soviet Union after declaring independence in 1991, said Pavlo Rizanenko, a member of the Ukrainian parliament.
"We gave up nuclear weapons because of this agreement," said Rizanenko, a member of the Udar Party headed by Vitali Klitschko, a candidate for president. "Now there's a strong sentiment in Ukraine that we made a big mistake."
His statements come as Russia raised the possibility it may send its troops beyond the Crimean peninsula on the Black Sea into the eastern half of Ukraine.
Read more: http://www.usatoday.com/story/news/world/2014/03/10/ukraine-nuclear/6250815/
Travis_0004
(5,417 posts)bemildred
(90,061 posts)Travis_0004
(5,417 posts)bemildred
(90,061 posts)FailureToCommunicate
(14,014 posts)bemildred
(90,061 posts)dipsydoodle
(42,239 posts)Good move.
Gore1FL
(21,132 posts)Is he their "Ted Cruz?"
bemildred
(90,061 posts)Gore1FL
(21,132 posts)Cruz, a member of the Republican Party headed by Mitch McConnell, a candidate struggling to retain his seat.
Neither sentence tells me if the person in question is a crazy person spouting off whack-job rhetoric to whip up support, or if he represents the mainstream thinking on the matter at hand.
bemildred
(90,061 posts)Gore1FL
(21,132 posts)I still don't know if this guy is their "Ted Cruz" or if he is someone worth listening to. Sadly, knowing that he is a member of a party that is fielding a presidential candidate doesn't provide me with the information.
bemildred
(90,061 posts)Gore1FL
(21,132 posts)bemildred
(90,061 posts)blackspade
(10,056 posts)There will be no nuclear exchange over this.
That is fucking madness.
bemildred
(90,061 posts)Igel
(35,320 posts)It would take years for Ukaine to do all the things necessary for building a nuclear bomb--and that's if they have the expertise and can buck international public opinion and pressure.
It's rhetoric, which is pretty pointless against some people.
bemildred
(90,061 posts)Xithras
(16,191 posts)Ukraine was a center for Soviet nuclear weapons production and they still have a large pool of engineers who are not only knowledgeable about nuclear weapons, but experienced in building them. Even today, Ukraine is one of the worlds top 10 uranium producers, and ALL of their Soviet-era nuclear power plants are capable of rapidly producing weapons-grade uranium.
You are only correct in that it would "take years". It would probably take Ukraine about two years to put together a fully functional and deliverable nuclear bomb, simply because organizing and coordinating the startup of the program would take a bit of time.
Their biggest issue would probably be the Russians. I see LOTS of assassinations in Ukraine if they tried to go nuclear.
another_liberal
(8,821 posts)I wonder if we will treat Ukraine the way we have done Iran and North Korea? They are clearly threatening to build and use nuclear weapons against Russia, a permanent member of the United Nations Security Council no less. This is not an empty threat. Ukraine has the technical skill and fissionable materials needed to build a bomb very quickly indeed. They even have delivery systems already in place.
Don't we have an international responsibility to do something which will stop them from taking the whole World to the brink of a nuclear catastrophe?
bemildred
(90,061 posts)And I sympathize with Ukraine in this.
another_liberal
(8,821 posts)Seriously.
bemildred
(90,061 posts)another_liberal
(8,821 posts)Last edited Tue Mar 11, 2014, 07:07 AM - Edit history (1)
There has to be a limit to this pervasive, head-over-heels, unconditional love affair for the fascists and technocrats who have seized power in Kiev! We have to at least recognize how dangerous those people can be unless they are restrained.
iamthebandfanman
(8,127 posts)and criminals...
they traded one corrupt government for another corrupt government
the old being a centrist/corporatist government.. the 'new' some flavor of right wing nationalist nuttery
I feel for the people of Ukraine.. but they should have paid better attention to the folks leading these protests.. there was a reason they were going after statues of lenin (and it wasn't to insult Russia as some folks here think and im sure folks there who weren't extremists assumed.. Russia doesn't care about lenin anymore.. just like china doesn't care about mao).. it was to slap leftists in the face. i was shocked to find a few folks on DU celebrating their destruction when this all first started to happen...
and I get it, I do .. I don't like putin either.. and what he did by moving troops into that region is wrong..
but that doesn't change the fact that this was an attempted take over by extremist right wing groups..
and I think crimea should have the right to separate if it wishes .. they didn't elect the government in charge now in kiev after all.. but I think a vote should only occur while NOT under an occupation by a foreign nation. how could you possibly have a fair vote with that going on?
another_liberal
(8,821 posts)We broke our treaty agreements to not interfere in the internal affairs of Ukraine when we manipulated and encouraged the protest movement on the streets of Kiev. What Victoria Nuland, our Ambassador to Ukraine and other of our agents did was a serious breach of international treaties we had signed. Picking who will be the new leader of another nation is an affront to the very principles of democracy.
What Russia did was respond to our original violation of the principle of non interference in the internal affairs of another sovereign nation. When we complain about Russia's actions in Crimea, we are just "The pot calling the kettle black."
rdharma
(6,057 posts)He got a shower of rotten eggs in Kharkiv today. Pulled out his umbrella for "ballistic missile defense".
"Moscow (dpa) - Ukrainian presidential candidate Vladimir Klitschko was attacked with eggs, stones and fireworks by pro-Russian protesters while campaigning in the north-eastern city of Kharkiv.
Bodyguards used umbrellas to shield Klitschko, who finished his speech."
jsr
(7,712 posts)The U.S. has no obligation to get involved.
kelly1mm
(4,733 posts)jsr
(7,712 posts)kelly1mm
(4,733 posts)While it may be true that the Budapest Agreement did not obligate the US/UK to intervene militarily to protect Ukraine's territorial integrity, the language has to mean something. At this point, it seems to mean 'a strongly worded diplomatic cable'. Somehow I don't think that was what the Ukrainians thought they were getting.
I actually don't blame Ukraine from at least contemplating going nuclear again. If anything, what this crisis has shown is that nuclear nations attacking/annexing a non-nuclear nation will not have any meaningful pushback from the world community.
If Ukraine still had it's nuclear weapons, do you think Russia would have taken the Crimea?
jsr
(7,712 posts)And we shouldn't intervene. We have enormous problems here at home, and we should stay out of it. (Having said that, I am no fan of Putin, and I have no problem with sanctions against Russia).
kelly1mm
(4,733 posts)to intervene.
I do think that if I was a non-nuclear nation and had the technical ability to produce nukes, I would seriously consider it. I am thinking of Japan, South Korea, Brazil, South Africa, Finland, Poland, the Baltic states, Ukraine, and others. Not that I LIKE if those nations were to go nuclear, but I certainly would understand the motivations to after the last month.
bemildred
(90,061 posts)Elmergantry
(884 posts)Russia is much more integrated with the world economy than during the Soviet days. There is a lot the West could do to squeeze Russia short of military action. But they don't appear to want to do much at this time - God forbid any blowback would hurt their wallet, "guarantee" be damned.
So let any other country who is thinking of developing nukes to protect themselves remember what happen to the "guarantee" given to Ukraine to disarm should they get the same offer.
The flaccid western response sets back nuclear disarmament efforts much.
bemildred
(90,061 posts)You guarantee them protection, and then you turn the place into a political football.
Elmergantry
(884 posts)There is a lot the west could do without military action.
Besides, what good is a guarantee if it obligates you to do nothing to keep you end of the deal?
go west young man
(4,856 posts)This should ring a few alarm bells about the coup and the new government.
Kolesar
(31,182 posts)go west young man
(4,856 posts)http://www.theguardian.com/world/2014/mar/10/ukraine-and-west-hot-air-hypocrisy-crimea-russia
Excerpt:
When things turned nasty in Kiev as armed protesters, some of them with fascist insignia, seized control of government buildings, the police cracked down, and snipers gunned down police and protesters in the streets. But who exactly were these snipers? The Estonian foreign minister, Urmas Paet, not a natural ally of Moscow, thought it was at least credible that they belonged to the anti-government Maidan protesters. "Gosh!" said the EU's Lady Ashton in a leaked phone call.
For a moment, the frothing stopped and a truce was negotiated, with the help of Poland, Germany and France, and supported by the US, Russia and the Kiev protesters, all realising that things had gone too far. The agreement allowed for a return to the old constitution, and new elections. Order was restored. Phew!
But this compromise was quickly sabotaged by extreme elements among the protesters, including some sinister far-right elements who are now a de facto part of the government. They pre-empted the outcome of the elections by continuing the occupations and installing themselves in power. (But it's OK: it's not a coup, because they are pro-west.) The Russians were alarmed. What was the point of negotiating, if the agreements were not respected, the Russian interior minister demanded to know.
jtuck004
(15,882 posts)bemildred
(90,061 posts)Edit: but you never know these days, look at McCain, for example.
bigdarryl
(13,190 posts)He will put nucular weopons back in that country.
daleo
(21,317 posts)Even if the nuclear powers went along, it requires a huge infrastructure to build, maintain and deliver nuclear weapons. That would take a lot of money, among other things. That doesn't seem likely, for a country teetering on the edge of bankruptcy.
Hey.
MindMover
(5,016 posts)That we took away nuclear...
Pterodactyl
(1,687 posts)If only they knew the great powers would not guarantee their security.
bemildred
(90,061 posts)Pterodactyl
(1,687 posts)bemildred
(90,061 posts)Not a rule, but it makes a great heuristic, almost never wrong.
defacto7
(13,485 posts)they don't still have nuclear weapons? Has this been carried out and confirmed that we know of? They had nukes and made a pact to give them up... do we know it was completed? We have reason to think it's been completed but what do we know?
bemildred
(90,061 posts)If you ask me to guess, they have what they need for their nuclear power plants, and that's it.
But that's plenty.
And I would think it likely that somebody or other has kept tabs on that, the NPT enforcement people.
dipsydoodle
(42,239 posts)bemildred
(90,061 posts)dipsydoodle
(42,239 posts)they would lack the necessary defense systems to block immediate retaliation.
The mere suggestion by "a member of the Ukraine parliament" may convey their general level of intelligence : about the same as a daisy.
bemildred
(90,061 posts)joshcryer
(62,276 posts)Plus they could hope that the US SBIRS system is as good as it probably is and would stop retaliation from the sky. Hopefully they're not getting shitty advice like that from the State Department. "Hey, you can build nukes, why don't mention that fact?"