W.H.O. Says Outbreak of Ebola Virus Is Outpacing Control Efforts
Source: New York Times
ABUJA, Nigeria In an ominous warning as fatalities mounted in West Africa from the worst known outbreak of the Ebola virus, the head of the World Health Organization said on Friday that the disease was moving faster than efforts to curb it, with potentially catastrophic consequences including a high risk that it will spread.
The assessment was among the most dire since the outbreak was identified in March. The outbreak has been blamed for the deaths of 729 people, according to W.H.O. figures, and left over 1,300 people with confirmed or suspected infections.
Dr. Margaret Chan, the W.H.O. director general, was speaking as she met with the leaders of the three most affected countries Guinea, Liberia and Sierra Leone in Conakry, the Guinean capital, for the introduction of a $100 million plan to deploy hundreds more medical professionals in support of overstretched regional and international health workers.
This meeting must mark a turning point in the outbreak response, Dr. Chan said, according to a W.H.O. transcript of her remarks. This outbreak is moving faster than our efforts to control it. If the situation continues to deteriorate, the consequences can be catastrophic in terms of lost lives but also severe socioeconomic disruption and a high risk of spread to other countries.
Read more: http://mobile.nytimes.com/2014/08/02/world/africa/african-leaders-and-who-intensify-effort-to-combat-ebola-virus.html?_r=0&referrer=
Lint Head
(15,064 posts)Plucketeer
(12,882 posts)A factor that could bring the WORLD together in one united effort!
Nah..... it'll simply be justification for finger-pointing and turning borders in to LITERAL IRON CURTAINS!
cstanleytech
(26,293 posts)from infected people and or from their bodily fluids which means its ability to spread is limited which is why there have been relatively few deaths overall so providing they implement decent quarantine methods and maintain them for awhile the outbreak should dry up in a few weeks.
If and this is a huge if (and an unlikely one from what I have read) it should somehow find a way to go airborne then its a whole different story.
Marrah_G
(28,581 posts)The major reason for the spread in Africa is poverty and culture.
PasadenaTrudy
(3,998 posts)Morocco. I know they are some distance away from these western countries, but it does make me nervous.
Bragi
(7,650 posts)Things for first-worlders to consider:
Ebola doesn't spread quickly or easily because a) while the disease can have a 21-day incubation period, it is NOT communicable until actual noticeable symptoms develop (Fever, etc.) b) it is not airborne or easy to transmit from one person to another, and b) it is so virulent that most infected people die from it before they can infect many other people.
What is fueling the spread of the disease in West Africa is mostly ignorance among a largely uneducated and illiterate population about how the disease is spread and what's needed to contain it; fear of medical personnel, who many people think are causing the disease, and hence to be avoided or assaulted; and mistrust of their own governments, for a whole bunch of sensible reasons.
eShirl
(18,494 posts)unless and until a mutation occurs to change it into something slightly worse
charlie and algernon
(13,447 posts)But Reston wasn't lethal to humans, though it wiped out a bunch of monkeys. If Ebola Zaire (what's going around West Africa) goes airborne, we're all fucked.
TygrBright
(20,760 posts)...it does so in a direction that will increase its capacity to survive and propagate. Killing host organisms too quickly is not in the evolutionary interest of the virus.
Most viral killers are at their most virulent shortly after they make the crossover from an animal host, to humans, and then it is because the new hosts have fewer resources to keep the virus in check. Generally, within a couple of generations, mutations appear that lower host mortality rates, not raise them. Its those first waves that are responsible for the vast majority of fatalities.
The ideal situation from the virus' standpoint is to keep the host alive longer, allowing it to transmit more of the virus material to other hosts.
It's a never-ending process.
biologically,
Bright
B2G
(9,766 posts)if it isn't already.
We are already seeing a lowered mortality rate from other outbreaks (90% to 60%).
Next step will be to make transmission to other hosts easier. Ebola Reston already figured out how to do that.
roamer65
(36,745 posts)less virulent strains of a virus are "selected" over time. Eventually HIV will have a very low mortality rate and the same goes for Ebola. However, many people will die during that process
Tommymac
(7,263 posts)Reported in another recent diary here on DU that some aid workers have contracted the disease regardless of following all current protocols, so there is some speculation in the medical community that the attack vector of the disease may have changed. Fueling speculation and concerns, is that this strain 'only' has a 60-70% fatality rate, where past strains have been closer to 90%.
Regardless, the disease has many potential genetic attack vectors open to it that it could mutate to use at any time.
Ironically, there are several studies out there that have had some success in working towards a cure that will be effective in fighting this disease, but because in the past the disease has been limited to occurring in very poor countries, perhaps Big Pharm has not found it economically worth its while to spend the big $$ needed to bring these efforts to fruition. Again this has been linked to in another current diary here on DU. Have to run out but could look those links up later.
840high
(17,196 posts)stonecutter357
(12,697 posts)LeftishBrit
(41,208 posts)grahamhgreen
(15,741 posts)mainer
(12,022 posts)Ebola has taken months to accrue 700+ deaths.
Bird flu could do that in days.
Marrah_G
(28,581 posts)Hortensis
(58,785 posts)Given how flus sweep around the planet every year, it'll be downright strange if we don't see a killer pandemic before too many years pass. Notably, to keep bioterrorists from learning too much, reporting on research into mutations of these strains, and research itself, are occasionally being quashed, so we can't really know how close many strains might be to becoming airborne and transmittable to humans.