Trump’s Other Demographic Problem
By Jamelle Bouie
JULY 13 2016 4:28 PM
... The ostensible candidate for white America has a white-voter problem ...
At this point in the 2012 election, according to the Pew Research Center, Mitt Romney held a 13 point lead among all white voters. He led Barack Obama by 21 points among white men, and by 6 points among white women. Among whites age 18 to 49, he led by 7 points; among whites older than 50, he led by 17 points. At elections end, Romney had won 59 percent of white voters, on par with the highest modern total since Ronald Reagans 1984 landslide against Walter Mondale. Romneys success with whites while higher than usual was on trend. Since 1968, Republicans had won the lions share of white voters ...
... Trump has ruined the Republican Partys tenuous ties to nonwhite communities, and Hispanic Americans in particular. Less remarked on is the extent to which hes moving white votersor at least a meaningful segment of theminto the Democratic column. For the first time in modern elections, a majority of college-educated whites are backing the Democratic candidate for president. According to Pews June survey a comprehensive look at the electorate Clinton holds a 12 point advantage among whites with a college degree, 52 percent to 40 percent. If you break that into men and women, she trails among the former losing college-educated white men by 7 points but holds a 31 point advantage with the latter, swamping Trump, 62 percent to 31 percent ...
http://www.slate.com/articles/news_and_politics/politics/2016/07/donald_trump_is_headed_for_a_historic_loss_with_some_whites.html
villager
(26,001 posts)...in past elections.
Middle aged white guy saying this, btw.
Wounded Bear
(58,685 posts)traditionally, "college educated" meant "high paying jobs." Wealthy people kind of naturally lean repub, almost can't blame them, since the repubs protect weathy interests.
However, in the past decade or so there aren't the good high paying jobs automatically waiting for college grads like before, partly because they are flooding the market with the commercialization of education, and partly because of the job drain to outsourcing and automation. 'College educated' doesn't mean 'higher paid' like it used to. When the economy is stressed, people turn to the Dems to bail them out.
Like always, follow the money.
villager
(26,001 posts)Wounded Bear
(58,685 posts)but valid, TBS.