Donald Trump’s Crucial Pillar of Support, White Men, Shows Weakness

Very interesting article. 3 months yet to go. Trump is who he is. And will not change. We need to work hard to GOTV



Donald Trump’s Crucial Pillar of Support, White Men, Shows Weakness

http://www.nytimes.com/2016/08/19/us/politics/donald-trump-white-men.html?hp&action=click&pgtype=Homepage&clickSource=story-heading&module=first-column-region&region=top-news&WT.nav=top-news&_r=0


By JEREMY W. PETERS


AUG. 18, 2016



Photo
Supporters of Donald J. Trump in West Bend, Wis., on Tuesday. One of the central questions of the presidential election has been whether enough white men will turn out to vote to lift Mr. Trump to victory. Credit Damon Winter/The New York Times





Donald J. Trump’s support among white men, the linchpin of his presidential campaign, is showing surprising signs of weakness that could foreclose his only remaining path to victory in November.



..........Even under the rosiest projections of white turnout, Mr. Trump would still lose the popular vote if his poll numbers among whites do not improve considerably.

William H. Frey, a demographics expert with the Brookings Institution, a nonpartisan think tank, conducted several simulations that tried to determine how much the turnout among white men without college educations would have to increase for Mr. Trump to win. He used the most recent ABC News/Washington Post poll of registered voters that had Mrs. Clinton beating Mr. Trump in a nationwide two-way race, 50 percent to 42 percent. It was among the better polls for Mr. Trump lately.

Mr. Frey tested different turnout assumptions, including improbably optimistic ones, like if 99 percent of white, non-college-educated men turned out to vote. None of the chain of events produced a Trump victory............










A Trump rally in Fairfield, Conn., on Saturday. “If you set out to design a strategy to produce the lowest popular vote possible in the new American electorate of 2016, you would be hard-pressed to do a better job than Donald Trump has,” said Whit Ayres, a pollster. Credit Hilary Swift for The New York Times