Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

MindMover

(5,016 posts)
Mon Mar 19, 2012, 03:11 PM Mar 2012

Prediction is Very Hard, Especially About the Future

Commentary by El Gallinazo.

I find it very unlikely that we would see hyperinflation (as opposed to, perhaps, CoL increases in the 10% annual range) before the the Ponzi collapses. The collapse of the Ponzi will be really caused by a freeze up of credit although the idiot media will focus on a plummeting DOW. It is against their religion to analyze with any honesty.

Right now we have several competing forces. The global money/credit supply is in an accelerating deflationary collapse which is most apparent in the Greek sovereign default as well as a collapsing shadow banking system including many hedge funds. The Central Banking Mafia is trying to stall the collapse and save the Too Big to Jails by loaning them money at no or almost no interest.

This allows them to mask their insolvency for a certain period of time. In their arrogance and desperation (admittedly cognitively dissonant), the TBTJ are doubling down on risk markets including commodities with their interest free money, which is the main reason that we are seeing CoL increases in many countries. I have seen a 15% increase in the price of my favorite cut of beef and type of cheese where I live in NW Mexico.


http://theautomaticearth.org/Finance/prediction-is-very-hard-especially-about-the-future.html

============================================================

"A lot of people are still buying the Kool-Aide that they are un- or under- employed because they are under-educated, so it's time to double down with another $100k in the hole. Since reportedly more than 50% of Usacos think that Africa is a country as opposed to a continent, maybe this is a good thing. But if Penn State is any example, marinating your brain in ethanol may be counterproductive." .....
6 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
Prediction is Very Hard, Especially About the Future (Original Post) MindMover Mar 2012 OP
I find it easier to predict the past. n/t lumberjack_jeff Mar 2012 #1
Even That, Sir, Can Lead To Uncomfortable Surprises.... The Magistrate Mar 2012 #2
Well at least the future won't prove me wrong. lumberjack_jeff Mar 2012 #3
............ MindMover Mar 2012 #4
Yogi Berra, a brilliant prognosticator longship Mar 2012 #5
"And while the future's there for anyone to change, still... malthaussen Mar 2012 #6

The Magistrate

(95,247 posts)
2. Even That, Sir, Can Lead To Uncomfortable Surprises....
Mon Mar 19, 2012, 03:17 PM
Mar 2012

"It ain't what ya don't know, it's what ya know that ain't so, gets you every time."

 

lumberjack_jeff

(33,224 posts)
3. Well at least the future won't prove me wrong.
Mon Mar 19, 2012, 03:21 PM
Mar 2012

I can be wrong in real time.

At least I don't have apprehension.

longship

(40,416 posts)
5. Yogi Berra, a brilliant prognosticator
Mon Mar 19, 2012, 06:39 PM
Mar 2012

Good post.

But I'll drink to the Yogi Berra quote in your title.


malthaussen

(17,195 posts)
6. "And while the future's there for anyone to change, still...
Tue Mar 20, 2012, 04:14 AM
Mar 2012

... you know, it seems it would be easier sometimes to change the past."

(Jackson Browne)

-- Mal

Latest Discussions»Issue Forums»Editorials & Other Articles»Prediction is Very Hard, ...