The midterms may be cruel to House Republicans who signed DACA discharge

The midterms may be cruel to House Republicans who signed DACA discharge
Name

2018 election status
Mark Amodei Solid Republican
Mike Coffman Toss-up
Chris Collins Solid Republican
Ryan Costello Retiring
Carlos Curbelo Toss-up
Jeff Denham Toss-up
Charlie Dent Resigned
Mario Diaz-Balart Likely Republican
John Faso Toss-up
Brian Fitzpatrick Toss-up
Will Hurd Toss-up
John Katko Likely Republican
Stephen Knight Toss-up
Leonard Lance Toss-up
Mia Love Lean Republican
Erik Paulsen Toss-up
Tom Reed Solid Republican
David Reichert Retiring
Ileana Ros-Lehtinen Retiring
Elise Stefanik Solid Republican
David Trott Retiring
Fred Upton Likely Republican
David Valadao Likely Republican

Source: Status according to CNN House Ratings






Moderate GOP voices on immigration are at risk of a November wipeout in the House


https://www.cnn.com/2018/06/18/politics/immigration-moderate-gop-november-midterms/index.html?utm_medium=social&utm_source=twCNNp&utm_content=2018-06-18T21%3A24%3A56&CNNPolitics=Tw

Analysis by Harry Enten, CNN

Updated 5:10 PM ET, Mon June 18, 2018





(CNN)House Republicans are at risk of losing several of their members in the midterm elections who are more moderate on the issue of immigration.


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Three of the most prominent members who signed the petition -- Reps. Carlos Curbelo, Will Hurd and Jeff Denham -- are in particularly tough re-election battles. CNN rates those three races as tossups.



Overall, of the 28 House Republicans whose districts are rated as toss-up, leaning or likely to go Democratic and could have signed the discharge petition (i.e. hadn't left the House), half of them did. That's incredibly high number given that there were only 23 in the entire House who signed it. Among the 159 seats rated as solid Republican at this point, only four House Republicans signed the petition.

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In the seats rated as toss-up or worse for the Republicans (i.e. seats Republicans are the most endangered in), the average Republican representative scores about a C+. That means the Republicans who are facing the toughest re-election races this fall are generally more moderate on immigration policy. (For comparison's sake, in seats that are rated as at least leaning towards the Republican, the average House Republican scores about a B+/B.)


All of this is to say that a big Democratic victory in November could lead to a Republican caucus in the House that is even more hardline on immigration than it is now. And while a Democratic-controlled House will lead to a more forceful pushback on Trump's immigration policies (the average House Democrat scores an F on NumbersUSA's scorecard), without moderate Republicans present, it might be more difficult to reach any agreement with the President and sign anything into law..................................