Democrats To Win Back House This Fall By 78%, fivethirtyeight
Forecasting the race for the House, Updated Sep. 11, 2018, at 10:49 PM
7 in 9 Chance Democrats win control (78.7%)
2 in 9 Chance Republicans keep control (21.3%)
AverageMedianCurrentbreakdownCurrentbreakdownMajorityMajorityBreakdown of seats byparty?Higherprobability267 D168 R247 D188 R227 D208 R227 R208 D247 R188 D
More, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2018-midterm-election-forecast/house/
JoeOtterbein
(7,702 posts)4 in 5 Chance to adjust for the pre-hacked machines.
appalachiablue
(41,182 posts)RockRaven
(15,024 posts)B/c the GOP never stops those efforts. Even when the districts are gerrymandered the same way from one election to the next, the GOP has had 2 more years of f-ing with voting rolls, closing polling places, etc.
We've got to fight for every vote in every district in every election regardless of what we think or hope might happen, b/c there's a crap-load of dirty tricks and rat f-ing going on to try to prevent the people's will from being enacted.
appalachiablue
(41,182 posts)but won't of course. I've rarely followed 5/38 liked this fall 'forecast' number.
Staph
(6,253 posts)Hillary Clinton was at about 75%.
G. O. T. V.!!!