Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

pinto

(106,886 posts)
Sat Apr 28, 2012, 08:53 AM Apr 2012

Al Qaeda now incapable of 9/11-scale attack: U.S. officials (Reuters)

Counterterrorism officials cite the possibility of home-grown extremists, or "lone wolves"...as a threat. ~pinto

Al Qaeda now incapable of 9/11-scale attack: U.S. officials

By Mark Hosenball
Washington | Sat Apr 28, 2012

(Reuters) - Al Qaeda's core organization is likely incapable of carrying out another mass-casualty attack on the scale of September 11, 2001, U.S. intelligence and counterterrorism officials said on Friday.

U.S. government experts also believe that the likelihood of an attack using chemical, biological, atomic or radiological weapons over the next year was not high, said Robert Cardillo, deputy director of U.S. National Intelligence.

Cardillo and other U.S. officials, who spoke on condition of anonymity, described these assessments on a conference call with journalists billed as an opportunity for government experts to voice their assessments of al Qaeda's potency a year after the killing of Osama bin Laden in a U.S. commando raid.

Cardillo said the al Qaeda "core" organization that bin Laden created has suffered strategic setbacks due to the outbreak of "Arab Spring" protests and rebellions in Islamic countries, which have not spread great sympathy for al Qaeda's hardline and violent brand of Islam.

http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/04/28/us-usa-alqaeda-idUSBRE83Q1BX20120428

11 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
 

cbrer

(1,831 posts)
4. Does this mean we can scale back our Acft. Carrier Battlegroups
Sat Apr 28, 2012, 12:41 PM
Apr 2012

To just equal what the rest of the world has combined?

And start a space program again?

fujiyama

(15,185 posts)
9. Don't be silly
Sat Apr 28, 2012, 08:29 PM
Apr 2012

Don't you know how effective aircraft carriers are against guys with box cutters. And space, pshhh, final frontier my ass. Screw scientific research and exploration. Science is only useful if its going toward building the next gen fighter which will cost as much as Australia's GDP: http://www.theatlantic.com/national/archive/2011/03/the-f-35-a-weapon-that-costs-more-than-australia/72454/

TheKentuckian

(25,026 posts)
5. Yup, BushCo is no longer in charge to willfully allow such a thing or even set it up.
Sat Apr 28, 2012, 01:47 PM
Apr 2012

Reasonable due diligence would have caught that attack, shrub ignored warning after warning and it still took perfect storm scenario for them to pull it off, which in turn forces me to at least consider the possibility that the situation was purposefully not prevented or even a part of an inside job.

Bush didn't lift a pinky. Someone who gives about a third of a fuck in charge of national security automatically minimizes the possibility of such a thing.

I think shrubCo had to do something...anything to get out of instant lame duck mode and went with a Pearl Harbor type thing whether they participated in or just allowed the attack.

It was either ineptitude, willful ineptitude, or treason none are acceptable.

pinto

(106,886 posts)
7. I think the point is the lack of organizational capabilities.
Sat Apr 28, 2012, 02:34 PM
Apr 2012

And thought the mention of the "Arab Spring" an interesting, pertinent facet to the picture.

fujiyama

(15,185 posts)
8. I'll say this
Sat Apr 28, 2012, 08:26 PM
Apr 2012

It's refreshing to see something other than "ooga booga, terrorists will kill us!" from government officials.

But seriously though. 9/11 was about as low tech as it gets. It required precise planning and coordination, but ultimately it was 19 guys that were seriously fucked up in the head with some box cutters that just needed to fly planes into buildings.

So if the threat is lower, can we scale back or eliminate TSA and start employing smarter screening and security tactics? Do we need to continue patting down 8 year olds or 80 year olds with braces and wheelchairs? Do we have to live in a permanent security state?

Unfortunately I doubt we'll see any changes. Too much money to be made with those rape-a-scan machines.

 

ocpagu

(1,954 posts)
10. Oh, it's like a fairy tale.
Sun Apr 29, 2012, 02:01 PM
Apr 2012

Bad Al Qaeda disappeared with the coming of (Arab) Spring. How cute.

So, the Al Qaeda hardline and violent brand of Islam are susceptible to change their ways and minds due to... protests and rebellions in Islamic countries...

So, we'll be ok, because, now we can have as a guarantee the goodwill of hardline and violent brand of Islam.

Yep. Definetely someone is taking us for complete idiots.

pinto

(106,886 posts)
11. No, on the "Arab Spring" point, the article notes less support especially among Arab youth.
Sun Apr 29, 2012, 03:40 PM
Apr 2012

The al Qaeda hardliners haven't changed their extremist views - they've lost some recruitment possibilities due to the overall tone of the various youth movements. Broadly anti-authoritarian rule, some holding a largely secular point of view. Many of the protesters wouldn't be likely candidates for jihad, imo.

And the article doesn't claim that al Qaeda has "disappeared". It does note that they have fragmented into various spin-offs.



Latest Discussions»Issue Forums»Editorials & Other Articles»Al Qaeda now incapable of...