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kpete

(72,014 posts)
Mon May 28, 2012, 06:17 PM May 2012

Paul Krugman Destroys Every Republican Argument for Austerity

Paul Krugman Destroys Every Republican Argument for Austerity

By: Jason EasleyMay 26, 2012see more posts by Jason Easley


Krugman said,

We are in a depression. We are actually in a classic depression. A depression is when nobody wants to spend. Everybody wants to pay down their debt at the same time. Everybody is trying to pull back, either because they got too far into debt, or because if they’re a corporation, they can’t sell because consumers are pulling back. The thing about an economy is that it fits together. My spending is your income. Your spending is my income, so if we all pull back at the same time, we’re in a depression. The way to get out of it is for somebody to spend so that people can pay down their debt, so that we don’t have a depression. So that we have a chance to work out of whatever excesses we had in the past, and that somebody has to be the government.

We ended the Great Depression with a great program of government spending for an unfortunate reason. It was known as World War II…but when the war broke out in Europe, and we began our buildup that Great Depression that had been going on for ten years. People thought it would go on forever. Learned people stroked their chins and said there are no quick answers. In two years, employment rose 20%. That’s the equivalent of 26 million jobs today, the depression was over. We had full employment, and it never came back, or it didn’t come back until 2008, because people managed to pay down those debts, and we had a durable recovery.


great discussion:
http://www.politicususa.com/paul-krugman-bill-maher.html
37 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
Paul Krugman Destroys Every Republican Argument for Austerity (Original Post) kpete May 2012 OP
Keep on speaking the truth Paul....we are listening... MindMover May 2012 #1
That's the problem radiclib May 2012 #6
Sorry, they're busy listening to Teabagger propaganda, they don't have the time... freshwest May 2012 #28
he needs to be talking to the democrats running the place nt msongs May 2012 #2
He is correct of course but the one thing they do not believe is that we are in a depression. jwirr May 2012 #3
Help us Obi Wan.. We are Devo May 2012 #4
HUGE K & R !!! WillyT May 2012 #5
FDR would have had Krugman in his Brain Trust MannyGoldstein May 2012 #7
Bookmarked. sarcasmo May 2012 #8
We are in a depression that could be ended in ONE day... lib2DaBone May 2012 #9
Well, in defense of Reaganomics... Orrex May 2012 #11
Glad he called it what it is abelenkpe May 2012 #10
The Administration is patently NOT listening to Krugman, it listens to Goldman Sachs, GE, & the Fed. lark May 2012 #27
Yeah abelenkpe May 2012 #35
Finally! The "D-WORD"!!! MNBrewer May 2012 #12
ROMNEY actually said it too! Cut spending by $1 trillion you cut the GDP by 5% which leads to ErikJ May 2012 #13
The conservative argument goes that it took WW II to get us out of the depression. jerseyjack May 2012 #14
War on Global Warming ErikJ May 2012 #22
That would be ideal. Good for economy and environment abelenkpe May 2012 #36
YES, this IS a depression! Odin2005 May 2012 #15
Kick & Rec!!! jannyk May 2012 #16
Vision -- put the money into energy MLKJrInspired May 2012 #17
Yup, we need to invest in the generation of energy infrastructure FogerRox May 2012 #18
Guy Whitey Corngood posted this great pic tblue37 May 2012 #19
Krugman's comment on poster JohnWxy May 2012 #32
K&R. n/t Egalitarian Thug May 2012 #20
k & r thanks for posting...nt Stuart G May 2012 #21
Wow! He used that word. longship May 2012 #23
+1000 LongTomH May 2012 #34
Kicked and recommended. Uncle Joe May 2012 #24
I hate knowing that so many of us are preaching to the choir... Brooklyn Dame May 2012 #25
K & R Lefty Thinker May 2012 #26
Well, we've had no shortage of war. paparush May 2012 #29
Yeah, ok, I get it but. AtheistCrusader May 2012 #30
It really does have to be the government Lefty Thinker May 2012 #37
thanks for this post. thank god for Paul Krugman, the economist M$M barely knows. Bill USA May 2012 #31
over and over and over again Iris May 2012 #33

jwirr

(39,215 posts)
3. He is correct of course but the one thing they do not believe is that we are in a depression.
Mon May 28, 2012, 06:49 PM
May 2012

After all just look at the stock market and the profits all the corporations are making.

 

MannyGoldstein

(34,589 posts)
7. FDR would have had Krugman in his Brain Trust
Mon May 28, 2012, 08:09 PM
May 2012

We are lucky to have him.

We'd be luckier if anyone in power gave a crap about what he says.

 

lib2DaBone

(8,124 posts)
9. We are in a depression that could be ended in ONE day...
Mon May 28, 2012, 08:26 PM
May 2012

Reaganomics.. Supply side.. Voodoo Math.

32 years of FAILURE.. and we still acknowledge Reaganomics as the leading economic plan.

32 Years.. how much more will it take to convince them that this is a FAILURE?

Orrex

(63,223 posts)
11. Well, in defense of Reaganomics...
Mon May 28, 2012, 08:48 PM
May 2012

It has consistently and substantially enriched the people it was intended to enrich, so you can see why they'd want to maintain it.

abelenkpe

(9,933 posts)
10. Glad he called it what it is
Mon May 28, 2012, 08:41 PM
May 2012

A depression. He's right, we do need to follow FDR. Hope the administration starts listening.

lark

(23,155 posts)
27. The Administration is patently NOT listening to Krugman, it listens to Goldman Sachs, GE, & the Fed.
Tue May 29, 2012, 02:40 PM
May 2012

All it's finance people came from these places, that's who they listen to. Obama is not a liberal and never has been - that's just his election face. Once the election is over and IF the crazies don't win - we will see the culmination of the debt talks that Obama wanted in the first place. In other words, bye bye SSI, Medicare, NlRB, any/all regulation of Wall St. and Bush tax cuts made permanent AND he'll say he doesn't like it but had no choice those mean Repugs made him do it!

The problem is, he's still 100% better than the alternative. We are so f#d.

 

ErikJ

(6,335 posts)
13. ROMNEY actually said it too! Cut spending by $1 trillion you cut the GDP by 5% which leads to
Mon May 28, 2012, 09:16 PM
May 2012

depression. The problem is, he would slash social spending and explode defense spending. Classic Republican Keynesian economics, though they claim to hate Keynesianism.

 

jerseyjack

(1,361 posts)
14. The conservative argument goes that it took WW II to get us out of the depression.
Mon May 28, 2012, 09:23 PM
May 2012

The New Deal had nothing to do with it as far as they are concerned. If the same amount of money spent on the war had been spent on domestic programs, would the depression still have ended? What else could the government have spent money on?

 

ErikJ

(6,335 posts)
22. War on Global Warming
Tue May 29, 2012, 11:38 AM
May 2012

The engineers say the US has a backlog of $2.3 TRILLION of infrastructure that needs repair and replacement.
I'm sure that it wasnt much different then.

NOW we should declare a war on global warming with a 100% green energy goal in 10 years minimum. Green energy, High-speed rail, infrastructure, education.

abelenkpe

(9,933 posts)
36. That would be ideal. Good for economy and environment
Wed May 30, 2012, 12:47 AM
May 2012

But well probably go to war with Iran instead. Gotta keep feeding the MIC. It's the only sector unaffected by the global downturn. A real growth industry!


MLKJrInspired

(17 posts)
17. Vision -- put the money into energy
Mon May 28, 2012, 10:29 PM
May 2012

It's really so simple. Obama just needs to articulate a vision (which he has already done) and then follow through (which he's been half hearted about). Here it is:

Spend/invest government money into energy: renewable energy, energy efficiency, installing energy efficient lighting, energy efficient HVAC, large solar panel installations, etc. Some of this is kind of happening, but it's not being highlighted or pushed hard enough. It creates jobs. It makes the environmentalists happy. It should make unions happy. It's like a quadruple win.

longship

(40,416 posts)
23. Wow! He used that word.
Tue May 29, 2012, 01:19 PM
May 2012

Even Krugman has turned the corner. Call it what it is.

Here's a great quote from fiction, from Stieg Larsson's Män Som Hatar Kvinnor (aka The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo) that might be appropriate here. In the story, the Swedish Stock Market is tanking and the main character is telling a journalist the difference between the economy and the stock market.

"You have to distinguish between two things -- the Swedish economy and the Swedish stock market. The Swedish economy is the sum of all the goods and services that are produced in this country every day. There are telephones from Ericsson, cars from Volvo, chickens from Scan, and shipments from Kiruna to Skövde. That's the Swedish economy, and it's just as strong or weak today as it was a week ago."

He paused for effect and took a sip of water.

"The Stock Exchange is something different. There is no economy and no production of goods and services. There are only fantasies in which people from one hour to the next decide that this or that company is worth so many billions, more or less. It doesn't have a thing to do with reality or with the Swedish economy."


In the US today, we have things just the opposite. The economy is in the tank and the stock market is booming.

Cui bono?

Lefty Thinker

(96 posts)
26. K & R
Tue May 29, 2012, 02:40 PM
May 2012

I still feel like Keynesianism is a guilt-over-debt-ridden version of Modern Monetary Theory, but anything that pokes hole in the laughable, supply-side-only, neo-liberal economic models is welcome. Especially if it comes from a winner of the Sveriges Riksbank Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel.

AtheistCrusader

(33,982 posts)
30. Yeah, ok, I get it but.
Tue May 29, 2012, 05:49 PM
May 2012

"and that somebody has to be the government"

He needs to support this when he runs with this line. For starters, lets ignore that not ALL spending has been pulled back. Where does one entice additional spending, IF we don't assume the Government is the pocketbook of last resort?

I have some ideas on those sources, some of which might make people uncomfortable because some involve foreign investment, and that will require collateral, but why not private groups that, say, purchase several urban sprawl properties, raze the houses off them, and build a single, high-value home on a larger piece of property? There you get some construction spending, and some under-valued properties off the market. People with large sums of money are still buying homes. Urban sprawl sets back mass transit and other urban population-density related issues. This sort of economic downturn is an opportunity to leverage the market to reverse that, and get more people concentrated into the cities, so Metro can turn a profit, that Sound Transit can turn a profit, that we can get ridership levels that will support more light rail, etc.

So while I don't necessarily disagree with Krugman, (and in fact, I think he was particularly relaxed and approachable here, had some good comments) it is vital that when he makes a statement like "and that somebody has to be the government", that he support that. At the least, with an idea of just how deep the government's pockets can be, if needed, and at what cost, as well as, how shallow everyone else's pockets are, and that there is nothing beyond monetary policy and the treasury to leverage.

If I sat down and tried to explain this to my mom, and I skipped over that line without explaining it, all my time explaining everything else would be wasted, because she'd want to know the answer to that question. And my mom is NOT an economist.

Lefty Thinker

(96 posts)
37. It really does have to be the government
Wed May 30, 2012, 10:14 AM
May 2012

Ummm...I'm thinking that, if there's a reasonable profit to be had, then someone with the money would be doing this already. So that means they would need "incentive," which is, to me, code for skewing the tax regime in favor of the wealthy. Another way to look at the "incentive" is as some kind of government spending (at the very least, foregone taxation or some kind of risky guarantee), and we're back to the government spending money, but instead of going directly to the middle class, the rich get a cut.

Operationally, there is very little that can be achieved through legislation to shift either the domestic or external sectoral balances, especially when we are looking at over US$1 trillion worth of demand shortage. A higher level of inflation would, at least, spur dis-saving, which would help put people to work. But the simplest way to achieve that is for the government to spend money non-productively (and not on buying back Treasuries...that's just an exchange of government liabilities). Productive spending, on the other hand, would directly stimulate GDP and employ idle labor, leading to a direct and immediate improvement in unemployment (something the GOP is loathe to see before the election) without significant increase in inflation. The likely result of increased government sector net spending is somewhere between these points - some inflation, but not as much as is possible.

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