Republicans Decide Voter Fraud Is the Only Way They Can Win
http://prospect.org/article/republicans-decide-voter-fraud-only-way-they-can-win
Since the Virginia GOP moved forward with its bill to allocate the states electoral votes by congressional district, there have been several great analyses of what effect this arrangement would have on a national level. At the Crystal Ball, for instance, Emory University political scientist Alan Abramowitz finds that if every state distributed electoral votes by congressional district, Mitt Romney would have won the presidency with 276 electoral votes, despite losing the popular vote by 4 points. If you adopted the exact provisions of the Virginia billwhich gives the states remaining electoral votes to the winner of the most districts, and not the winner of the popular voteyoud have an even larger reversal. This map, from the Huffington Post, gives you a good sense of what the election would have looked like under these new rules:
If the rules had been in effect in the six largest battleground statesVirginia, Pennsylvania, Ohio, Wisconsin, Florida, and MichiganObama would have won, but by the narrowest of margins. And these are the states where this plan is most likely to happen, on account of the fact theyre states controlled by Republicans where Democrats are clustered into just a few districts. Heres the Center for American Progress with a nifty chart:
For as much as it sounds fair to allocate electoral votes by congressional district, the fact is it reduces representation by making land more important than votes. It takes all the problems of the Electoral Collegewhich itself is malapportionedand turns them up to 11.
The only way you could make this work without disenfranchising huge numbers of people is to create congressional districts that contain an even number of Democrats and Republicans. But of course, the point of this isnt to create a new, workable way of distributing electoral votes; its to turn the electoral college into the House of Representatives writ large, whichthanks to gerrymanderingis rigged to deliver a Republican majority regardless of the total popular vote (Democrats won more congressional votes in 2012).
Its worth reiterating a few points. First, a political party that seeks to rig the game is one that has given up on winning in the first place. The GOP shows no interest in reforming its policies or reaching out beyond a shrinking, right-wing base....
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