Solar Report Stunner: Unsubsidized ‘Grid Parity Has Been Reached In India’, Italy–With More
Countries Coming in 2014
Deutsche bank says demand expected in subsidised markets such as Japan and the UK, including Northern Ireland, is expected to be strong, the US is likely to introduce favourable legislation, including giving solar installations the same status as real estate investment trusts, strong pipelines in Africa and the Middle east, and unexpectedly strong demand in countries such as Mexico and Caribbean nations means that its forecasts for the year are likely to rise.
As Renew Economy also points out, this is the third report in the past month anticipating a bright future for the global solar market: UBS released a report that concluded an unsubsidized solar revolution was in the works, Thanks to significant cost reductions and rising retail tariffs, households and commercial users are set to install solar systems to reduce electricity bills without any subsidies. And Macquarie Group argued that costs for rooftop solar in Germany have fallen so far that even with subsidy cuts solar installations could continue at a torrid pace.
Here in America, solar power installations boomed over the course of 2011 and 2012, even as the price of solar power systems continued to plunge. To a large extent, the American solar boom has been driven by third party leasing agreements which are heavily involved in rooftop installation.
Meanwhile, on the international scene, the cost of manufacturing solar panels in China is expected to drop to an all-new low of 42 cents per watt in 2015, and power generated from solar is predicted to undercut that produced by both coal and most forms of natural gas within a decade.
http://thinkprogress.org/climate/2013/03/03/1664481/solar-report-stunner-unsubsidized-grid-parity-has-been-reached-in-india-italy-with-more-countries-coming-in-2014/
msongs
(67,417 posts)midnight
(26,624 posts)And it's too bad, we can't get Washington on board, because the rest of the developed world is passing us by... First with the rail system and now the solar system....
In combination, we see this as a game-changer for the competitiveness of solar systems, the UBS energy team writes. Private households and commercial users will be able to save on their electricity bills if they install a solar system without any benefits from subsidies. As we noted yesterday, just on economics, it said every household in Germany, Italy and Spain should have a solar system by the end of the decade.
UBS says unsubsidised solar systems are now at break-even but, on its estimates, the payback time of unsubsidised solar systems will shrink to some five years for commercial installations and some 10 years for residential rooftops by 2020. It says the economics work in Germany, Italy and Spain, even if financing might be a problem for the latter economy.
As an example, UBS gave the cost of a family-home rooftop solar system (4kWp) in Germany at todays prices (7,400 fully installed) which amortised over 20 years equated to 450 a year. Without subsidies, a solar systems profitability depends almost entirely on the amount of solar power directly consumed by its owner (rather than sold back into the grid with a feed in tariff).
UBS estimates a 4,500kWh household with a 4kWp PV system should be able to reduce its electricity purchases from a utility by 30 per cent without significantly changing its consumption habits. In southern Germany, such a household would save around 380 on its electricity bill, which would otherwise amount to some 1,260. Another 80 of income results from the sale of excess electricity if a price of 25 /MWh is assumed. In the example above, it would already be worth installing a PV system, as the combined cost would be slightly smaller. It says solar PV systems will become even more attractive as retail tariffs continue to rise, and solar costs continue to fall.
http://reneweconomy.com.au/2013/why-solar-pv-without-subsidies-is-a-no-brainer-for-households-49391
AllyCat
(16,189 posts)were going to cost about $5000. I was stunned. Thought it would be a little cheaper than that. Will have to be content with the solar phone charger which actually works pretty slick.
fasttense
(17,301 posts)If I had $20,000 just hanging around I would NOT spend it on installing solar energy. I would repair the basement, build the barns, get a dryer, replace the broken microwave......
Anyway, you see my point, only the rich can afford solar right now.
But I got a solar powered electric fence to keep our sheep in. Works like a charm.
midnight
(26,624 posts)done in our country.... You are most likely aware of tax credits Gov. Brown gave out for California to use solar power in his first time in office...