Florida

Roland99

(53,342 posts) Wed Jul 22, 2020, 11:48 AM Jul 2020

FL's 7-Day trends for Covid showing maybe perhaps some signs of hope?

Seeing the 7-day trends either rising more slowly or actually appearing to plateau and even tick downward on some.

Link to tweet

All of my data can be seen here:

Data source: https://tinyurl.com/y7dvoc9w
(data based on daily FL DOH PDF report)
http://ww11.doh.state.fl.us/comm/_partners/covid19_report_archive/state_reports_latest.pdf

18 replies

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FL's 7-Day trends for Covid showing maybe perhaps some signs of hope? (Original Post) Roland99 Jul 2020 OP

Nope -- capacity limit asymptote JT45242 Jul 2020 #1

Plenty of capacity still in terms of beds that can be converted Roland99 Jul 2020 #2

"Let's wait a week and see what happens to the death rate." Towlie Jul 2020 #18

The South Florida Sun Sentinel reported that Florida may be misrepresenting their numbers by Native Jul 2020 #3

Some somewhat poor reporting by the Sun Sentinel and even worse by that Tampa Bay writer. Roland99 Jul 2020 #6

meh...forgot a pic. Roland99 Jul 2020 #8

Still in the 10,000 daily range for new cases (just under that today) Chainfire Jul 2020 #4

Just as trump has left it up to the states, #DeathSantis has left it up to the counties Roland99 Jul 2020 #10

I don't believe a word they say or a number they cite. n/t rzemanfl Jul 2020 #5

Yup. Rebekah Jones. Native Jul 2020 #11

Don't trust her Roland99 Jul 2020 #13

She may have made an error, but she doesn't have the agenda that our Gov has. Native Jul 2020 #14

No, he can't. But she's not trustworthy either Roland99 Jul 2020 #16

Orlando Sentinel today said the state positivity rate was 10.7% yesterday. OrlandoDem2 Jul 2020 #7

See post #6. I breakdown the state report in detail Roland99 Jul 2020 #9

I don't trust DeathSantis' numbers -- more like 20% obamanut2012 Jul 2020 #17

who trusts data coming out of repugs including Florida? samsingh Jul 2020 #12

No one I know. Native Jul 2020 #15

JT45242

(2,272 posts)

1. Nope -- capacity limit asymptote

Reply to Roland99 (Original post)

Wed Jul 22, 2020, 11:54 AM

Jul 2020

Hospitalizations are flat because there are no more beds.

Cases are flat because they are put of testing supplies(or just not testing).

Let's wait a week and see what happens to the death rate. Of course, In Florida if you have a second residence somewhere else (as many retirees do), they will not count them in the state statistics and those Covid deaths disappear into the bureaucratic ether.

This is the dangerous kind of false narrative with statistics that will allow the evil governors to justify their decisions.

Roland99

(53,342 posts)

2. Plenty of capacity still in terms of beds that can be converted

Reply to JT45242 (Reply #1)

Wed Jul 22, 2020, 11:58 AM

Jul 2020

https://bi.ahca.myflorida.com/t/ABICC/views/Public/ICUBedsCounty?%3AshowAppBanner=false&%3Adisplay_count=n&%3AshowVizHome=n&%3Aorigin=viz_share_link&%3Aembed=y

The ICUBedsCounty is the one I've paid attention to most and I've never seen it drop below 15% statewide. Some counties have dropped to low single digits but then they convert beds into ICU.

Death rate does lag hospitalizations by 2-3 weeks so that will continue to rise but seeing signs of reaching the peak

Towlie

(5,324 posts)

18. "Let's wait a week and see what happens to the death rate."

Reply to JT45242 (Reply #1)

Sun Jul 26, 2020, 10:10 AM

Jul 2020

Right! It's relatively fast and easy to test for death.

Native

(5,942 posts)

3. The South Florida Sun Sentinel reported that Florida may be misrepresenting their numbers by

Reply to Roland99 (Original post)

Wed Jul 22, 2020, 12:01 PM

Jul 2020

Counting their negative cases twice. In today's Tampa Bay Times:

Follow the link below to view the article.
Florida cases point to spread
https://tampabaytimes-fl.newsmemory.com/?publink=063ce0a10

Roland99

(53,342 posts)

6. Some somewhat poor reporting by the Sun Sentinel and even worse by that Tampa Bay writer.

Reply to Native (Reply #3)

Wed Jul 22, 2020, 12:46 PM

Jul 2020

The FL DOH PDF has multiple sections to it.

I just made a series of tweets to show what's going on with that report.

Link to tweet

Full thread
https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1285974509053513731.html?refreshed=1595436733

Hope that helps

Roland99

(53,342 posts)

8. meh...forgot a pic.

Reply to Roland99 (Reply #6)

Wed Jul 22, 2020, 12:52 PM

Jul 2020

this is the Grand Total at the last page of the report.

Link to tweet

Chainfire

(17,537 posts)

4. Still in the 10,000 daily range for new cases (just under that today)

Reply to Roland99 (Original post)

Wed Jul 22, 2020, 12:07 PM

Jul 2020

In my layman's opinion, we are seeing the end of the 4th of July surge. We will probably see another huge rush on, the reopening of schools, Labor day, or in the event of a hurricane forcing people into crowed shelters, or to travel, to be followed by Thanksgiving and Christmas rushes.

There is no force in play in Florida to tamp down the pandemic, Florida's governor has decided to just go with the flow, and ignore the virus; the ass will not even mandate mask usage. It is leadership Republican style. Desantis is trying to prove that he is Presidential material and that he can beat Rick Scott to the Oval Office.

Roland99

(53,342 posts)

10. Just as trump has left it up to the states, #DeathSantis has left it up to the counties

Reply to Chainfire (Reply #4)

Wed Jul 22, 2020, 12:54 PM

Jul 2020

piss-poor leadership at the national and (FL) state levels.

rzemanfl

(29,557 posts)

5. I don't believe a word they say or a number they cite. n/t

Reply to Roland99 (Original post)

Wed Jul 22, 2020, 12:20 PM

Jul 2020

Native

(5,942 posts)

11. Yup. Rebekah Jones.

Reply to rzemanfl (Reply #5)

Wed Jul 22, 2020, 12:58 PM

Jul 2020

Roland99

(53,342 posts)

13. Don't trust her

Reply to Native (Reply #11)

Wed Jul 22, 2020, 01:10 PM

Jul 2020

She artificially inflates the daily numbers by including unreliable antibody test results. Those offer nothing and distort the true growth.

FL already publishes those weekly in a separate report.