Florida

OrlandoDem2

(2,065 posts) Tue Oct 23, 2018, 08:41 PM Oct 2018

FL vote projection model - Day 12 - WTF are Democrats waiting on?

Effing get up and go vote!!!

https://thefloridasqueeze.com

14 replies

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FL vote projection model - Day 12 - WTF are Democrats waiting on? (Original Post) OrlandoDem2 Oct 2018 OP

are you freaking out over a model?? qazplm135 Oct 2018 #1

Nothing to be concern about...not sure why the freak out beachbum bob Oct 2018 #2

Thank you both. I want to leave nothing to chance. OrlandoDem2 Oct 2018 #3

Early voting timing. hay rick Oct 2018 #4

One of my concerns is that too many Florida African American voters wait until Election Day to vote. Blue_true Oct 2018 #5

I'm a little confused Dedzed Oct 2018 #6

If people want change, they have to make sure their vote counts and get counted. Blue_true Oct 2018 #8

IF PoC want change? WTF? Victim blaming on DU?????? PoC caused Trump's election???? marble falls Oct 2018 #10

No you aren't confused. He actually is blaming PoC for Trump. marble falls Oct 2018 #11

welcome to DU gopiscrap Oct 2018 #12

Are you a white guy signifying on how you think FL PoC don't vote correctly???? marble falls Oct 2018 #9

Hmm John Fante Oct 2018 #7

I vote on voting day radical noodle Oct 2018 #13

Republicans are extremely well organized in this state Awsi Dooger Oct 2018 #14

qazplm135

(7,447 posts)

1. are you freaking out over a model??

Reply to OrlandoDem2 (Original post)

Tue Oct 23, 2018, 08:48 PM

Oct 2018

I mean I'm sure they are putting a lot of work into it, but it's a model, not the actual vote.

beachbum bob

(10,437 posts)

2. Nothing to be concern about...not sure why the freak out

Reply to OrlandoDem2 (Original post)

Tue Oct 23, 2018, 09:08 PM

Oct 2018

OrlandoDem2

(2,065 posts)

3. Thank you both. I want to leave nothing to chance.

Reply to OrlandoDem2 (Original post)

Tue Oct 23, 2018, 09:11 PM

Oct 2018

I am excited and nervous both at the same time.

hay rick

(7,624 posts)

4. Early voting timing.

Reply to OrlandoDem2 (Original post)

Tue Oct 23, 2018, 09:36 PM

Oct 2018

The article cites counties not reporting yet. Another factor not noted is that the early voting does not yet include any "souls to the polls" voting for the first and second Sundays. The last Sunday should give us a significant boost at the very end of early voting.

Blue_true

(31,261 posts)

5. One of my concerns is that too many Florida African American voters wait until Election Day to vote.

Reply to OrlandoDem2 (Original post)

Tue Oct 23, 2018, 10:16 PM

Oct 2018

Almost anything can go wrong when voting comes down to a few hours on one day.

Dedzed

(1 post)

6. I'm a little confused

Reply to Blue_true (Reply #5)

Tue Oct 23, 2018, 10:34 PM

Oct 2018

Are you saying that if there isn't a large turnout in urban environments that it's African American voters fault?

Blue_true

(31,261 posts)

8. If people want change, they have to make sure their vote counts and get counted.

Reply to Dedzed (Reply #6)

Tue Oct 23, 2018, 10:45 PM

Oct 2018

Anyone who does not do that is in fact a party to any victimization that happens to them. Republicans can't cheat and suppress voting by any group when republicans can't get elected.

marble falls

(57,106 posts)

10. IF PoC want change? WTF? Victim blaming on DU?????? PoC caused Trump's election????

Reply to Blue_true (Reply #8)

Tue Oct 23, 2018, 11:01 PM

Oct 2018

marble falls

(57,106 posts)

11. No you aren't confused. He actually is blaming PoC for Trump.

Reply to Dedzed (Reply #6)

Tue Oct 23, 2018, 11:03 PM

Oct 2018

gopiscrap

(23,761 posts)

12. welcome to DU

Reply to Dedzed (Reply #6)

Wed Oct 24, 2018, 12:52 AM

Oct 2018

marble falls

(57,106 posts)

9. Are you a white guy signifying on how you think FL PoC don't vote correctly????

Reply to Blue_true (Reply #5)

Tue Oct 23, 2018, 10:58 PM

Oct 2018

John Fante

(3,479 posts)

7. Hmm

Reply to OrlandoDem2 (Original post)

Tue Oct 23, 2018, 10:42 PM

Oct 2018

It’s early days still, but all signs point to the Democrats performing well enough up and down I-95 to potentially win mutiple top-of-ticket cabinet races for the first time in generation. The Democrats it bears repeating have lost 17 of the last 18 races for Governor and Cabinet as well as losing 20 of the last 21 statewide races where Bill Nelson has not been the Democratic nominee. Nelson should be re-elected if these trends hold and several other Democrats could win statewide.

radical noodle

(8,003 posts)

13. I vote on voting day

Reply to OrlandoDem2 (Original post)

Wed Oct 24, 2018, 03:31 AM

Oct 2018

The polling place is nearer my home on voting day and it's never crowded. I have to go out of town to vote early. I promise I won't fail to vote and neither will my hubby.

Awsi Dooger

(14,565 posts)

14. Republicans are extremely well organized in this state

Reply to OrlandoDem2 (Original post)

Thu Oct 25, 2018, 02:23 AM

Oct 2018

It is simply a fact. They maximize opportunity. That's why I don't believe any poll numbers giving Nelson a large lead and to lesser extent with Gillum ahead big.

Since November 2016 Republicans have registered more voters in Florida than Democrats have. That should not be possible with a president stuck in mid 30s to low 40s approval rating throughout. But I am not surprised at all, given what I witness on the ground in Miami every cycle.

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