I went there looking for data on a poll a RWer sent to me.

http://96.127.53.23/election/

Apparently Hannity is touting this one.

I'm too tired to deal with it now.

However, may your faith be rewarded.

Only exception in recent years was Bush in 2004, and that was an anomaly.

As to your counter examples, Iowa's a purple state. To generalize a little, As you may know Dems don't always come out to vote in midterms but they are generally very motivated to come out for Presidential ones.

Cheers and best regards.

That would be a great way to start rolling back Republican gains in the House and in the Senate.

Have a nice evening.

I watched on non-commercial TV. Cannot stand the bubble heads who don't know sqwat

Means nothing right now. Let this week finish.

Seriously, back to worrying about virtually tied state polls tonight?

That we've sunk to this level is depressing

There will be a bounce.

Iowa has been tight all along. We don't need it if we win Virginia and Florida. And we will.

Don't worry. Vote.

Organize.

You can't change them; they are meaningless individually; trends matter more than momentary results; the margins of error is such that either a lead or a deficit needs to be tempered by the realization that it could be off 3-4 points in either direction for either or both candidates; state polls are both more variable and generally lower in quality and accuracy and less frequent; all likely voter models are guesses and predictions; and it's far too early for polls to be meaningfully predictive.


We know Trump can win. We know it's close. That's all that we need to know to push harder. There will be surprises and scares and trash talk and bad polls and good ones.

Watch next week's national polls from the major pollsters. If this convention doesn't earn a substantial bounce for Hillary Ill be surprised.

Trump is his own worst enemy. Remember there's still debates to come and he is completely overmatched by Hillary.

I want to see polls next week.

Unless Hillary shows up to the debates on PCP, that should be the end of Drumpf.