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Minnesota

FiveGoodMen

(20,018 posts) Mon Feb 15, 2016, 06:47 PM Feb 2016

0

Horrifying

http://www.citypages.com/news/hillary-clinton-is-crushing-bernie-sanders-in-new-minnesota-poll-7990984

6 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

Horrifying (Original Post) FiveGoodMen Feb 2016 OP

That poll is three weeks old The Velveteen Ocelot Feb 2016 #1

I think I also read that the poll did not ask about how likely it was the respondents would attend dflprincess Feb 2016 #6

That's now....wait till he gets there angstlessk Feb 2016 #2

"Then again, there could be a reason for that." arcane1 Feb 2016 #3

Have you seen this article? Green Texan Feb 2016 #4

Generally the senate districts decide where they'll hold their caucuses. dflprincess Feb 2016 #5

The Velveteen Ocelot

(115,836 posts)

1. That poll is three weeks old

Reply to FiveGoodMen (Original post)

Mon Feb 15, 2016, 06:49 PM

Feb 2016

and it depended heavily on land line users. Don't panic. I doubt very much that it reflects what's really going on.

dflprincess

(28,082 posts)

6. I think I also read that the poll did not ask about how likely it was the respondents would attend

Reply to The Velveteen Ocelot (Reply #1)

Mon Feb 15, 2016, 10:52 PM

Feb 2016

their caucus.

Turnout will mean everything this year.

angstlessk

(11,862 posts)

2. That's now....wait till he gets there

Reply to FiveGoodMen (Original post)

Mon Feb 15, 2016, 06:51 PM

Feb 2016

Her message is more of the same, his is of change...REAL change not Obama's change

arcane1

(38,613 posts)

3. "Then again, there could be a reason for that."

Reply to FiveGoodMen (Original post)

Mon Feb 15, 2016, 06:54 PM

Feb 2016

"Then again, there could be a reason for that. The survey suffers from the same problem as a lot of modern opinion polling. Some 70 percent of its respondents were reached on a landline telephone, with the other percent contacted on a cell phone. That's out of proportion to the number of landline phones still out there, and skews the results toward an older audience. (About 44 percent of U.S. homes were landline-free by the end of 2014, including half of those occupied by people between the ages of 18 and 44.)"

Green Texan

(31 posts)

4. Have you seen this article?

Reply to FiveGoodMen (Original post)

Mon Feb 15, 2016, 07:20 PM

Feb 2016

http://www.citypages.com/news/the-dfl-is-accused-of-trying-to-squeeze-out-bernie-sanders-supporters-in-minneapolis-8039715

dflprincess

(28,082 posts)

5. Generally the senate districts decide where they'll hold their caucuses.

Reply to Green Texan (Reply #4)

Mon Feb 15, 2016, 10:50 PM

Feb 2016

My district always uses one of the local high schools with a room assigned to each precinct.

We are assuming we will have a record turn out this year - similar to 2008 (we hope). On the other hand, we're in the 'burbs so it could turn out to be just the same old bunch of faithful caucus attenders we always see.

But we're trying to prepare for a crowd and many new people showing up.

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